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Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields

reuters.com

51–60 of 239 posts

Re: Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields

#51
post #27

Prediction: this causes a recession in two years, right after a Democrat wins the White House, who will be blamed for it. The economy will turn around after a few years, just in time for a Republican to win and claim they fixed it. This is how Republicans have a reputation for being economically savvy despite actual evidence to the contrary, because the general population doesn’t understand that economics runs on a t…

I doubt it will take 2 years as other ingredients are already at play.

Re: Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields

#52
post #40

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is the right move. Inflationary pressures due to high oil prices and tariffs are not going away anytime soon. All the economic numbers point to a need for a rate hike. Not doing so has a much larger effect on the financial system than a 25 bps rate hike. Stagflation is a bigger risk to the economy. Counterintuitively the rate hike can help lower things like mortgage rates by stabilizing the bond yields.

Definitely the right move, 100% agree. I don't think that mortgage rates are going to go down; I think they will go up. Just my opinion. I also think oil is about to go up even more, maybe for multiple years, which is going to be inflationary on everything we do. But, could be really good for solar growth, electrification, and electric cars.

Re: mortgage rates

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2026/09/16/heres-wha...

Re: Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields

#53
post #45
post #27

Prediction: this causes a recession in two years, right after a Democrat wins the White House, who will be blamed for it. The economy will turn around after a few years, just in time for a Republican to win and claim they fixed it. This is how Republicans have a reputation for being economically savvy despite actual evidence to the contrary, because the general population doesn’t understand that economics runs on a t…

Easy fix, have the democrats lose the next election and you break the spell. It's all military industrial complex anyway.

I wish they'd lost in 2020, that's for sure.

Re: Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields

#54
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Inflation is high, so interest rates need to go up to try to slow that, but the economy isn't doing amazing already, and higher interest rates won't help that. Not to mention the US debt is _high_ as hell and bond yields mean that's more expensive. And the country is run by a broken fool who has no interest or ability to fix any of that.

It’s worse than no ability to fix it — he caused a large part of it for unclear reasons

Covid? Half the money printed happened under his watch the first admin. Biden continued the other half. Now we have yet another war to make matters worse. What are you proposing be done to fix it?

Re: Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields

#55
It bugs me that the Fed has no mechanism to really deal with supply-shock driven inflation. Prices are shooting up, but not strongly correlated to money supply at the moment. They’re shooting up because there are a dozen or more entirely capricious and totally self-inflicted supply-shocks due to bizzaro tariff “policy”, disastrous military adventurism, and general erosion of the USD the prime vessel for international trade.

The Fed tightening the money supply isn’t going to materially bring prices down, because the money supply isn’t driving the price increases.

Re: Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields

#56
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> And the country is run by a broken fool who has no interest or ability to fix any of that. Trump will be gone in three years, but you'll still have an electorate that wants more free stuff while also getting tax cuts. There is zero appetite for fiscal reform in the U.S. The geometric growth rate of U.S. debt has been consistent since 2010 and will remain so when AOC is President: https://usafacts.org/answers/how-mu…

You really really just need to raise taxes. Just find a way to sell that to the public (focus on the rich or large corporations or whatever outgroup you want basically)

Disagree. We have a spending problem, not a tax revenue problem. No matter how much the govt brings in, it will want to spend an increasing amount more.

Re: Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields

#57
post #27

Prediction: this causes a recession in two years, right after a Democrat wins the White House, who will be blamed for it. The economy will turn around after a few years, just in time for a Republican to win and claim they fixed it. This is how Republicans have a reputation for being economically savvy despite actual evidence to the contrary, because the general population doesn’t understand that economics runs on a t…

Both parties are responsible for the inflation and debt. Fiscal policy is largely driven by congress, not the president

Re: Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields

#58
post #7
post #3

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This comment isn't helpful. Please explain for those of us without a degree in economics.

Inflation is high, so interest rates need to go up to try to slow that, but the economy isn't doing amazing already, and higher interest rates won't help that. Not to mention the US debt is _high_ as hell and bond yields mean that's more expensive. And the country is run by a broken fool who has no interest or ability to fix any of that.

The country has been _run_ by fools for 26 years. Congress has had 26 years to do something about the fiscal situation, and we've had four presidents, and the fiscal responsible side of the electorate is never listened to.

Both sides are to blame - neither will fix the problem. Obama could've made that his goal - he was competent, had a lot of political good will, and many people were frustrated at the bailout policy Bush did, but instead it was inflationary printing (quantitative easing), Obamacare and Cash 4 Clunkers (which the used car market still hasn't recovered from).

I never voted for him - I didn't view him as honest, nor did he seem to indicate that he liked America, but was rather just a good talker - but I think he could've been a great president given a less radicalizing agenda.

He was probably the best situated president in terms of timing to fix the debt problem, but instead it was a good time for divisive politics. By the time Obama finished, it became clear neither party actually cared about the fiscally conservative Ron Paul supporting voting block.

Re: Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields

#59
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Inflation is high, so interest rates need to go up to try to slow that, but the economy isn't doing amazing already, and higher interest rates won't help that. Not to mention the US debt is _high_ as hell and bond yields mean that's more expensive. And the country is run by a broken fool who has no interest or ability to fix any of that.

It’s worse than no ability to fix it — he caused a large part of it for unclear reasons

> he caused a large part of it for unclear reasons

Technically it was Besset, but Trump gave him the reigns.

The purpose seems to be to radically debase the dollar and setup a crises that requires an entitlement cut (Social Security) for "the good of the economy" while also expanding military spending at the same time.

Re: Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields

#60
post #27

Prediction: this causes a recession in two years, right after a Democrat wins the White House, who will be blamed for it. The economy will turn around after a few years, just in time for a Republican to win and claim they fixed it. This is how Republicans have a reputation for being economically savvy despite actual evidence to the contrary, because the general population doesn’t understand that economics runs on a t…

(deleted, political, no point)
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