Earlier quoted context omitted.
It is still an unknown whether an unqualified increase in productivity in the long-term for software engineering is a given.
Really? OK - then let me stand up and vouch that I am at least 20X more productive with AI.
If people use AI for libraries, OSs, and mission critical software, the apparent productivity gains would have to be weighed against the reliability and performance hits that bubble up to the things that are built on them and rely on them.