Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's Adam Back.
It is against HN ethos to be make bold claims about things you know nothing about.
This may be the funniest comment ever put on HN.
Fable 5.1 Solves the Cyphral Distich, a 370-year-old cipher
301–310 of 569 posts
Re: Fable 5.1 Solves the Cyphral Distich, a 370-year-old cipher
#302A very neat problem and result. I often find myself swinging between "It's so over" and "We're so back" - some days I roll out of bed thinking I could have Claude solve some random unproven OEIS sequence before breakfast; other days, I wake up in a cold sweat worried about the fate of humanity and what the world might look like in a decade. I think it's that I don't have a very high p(doom) or p(utopia), and I don't…
Congrats on your map! I am leaning more towards the optimism side. Like you I've had some real breakthroughs myself. Personal akin your garden map, no where near solving millennium problems. My take is that all these (Fable solves this, OpenAI does that, AI will take over the world) Marketing Stunts will fade some day when the true cost of tokens hits the market. You and I may have to contend with lesser models, but will probably get work done just fine.
Re: Fable 5.1 Solves the Cyphral Distich, a 370-year-old cipher
#303Earlier quoted context omitted.
It was only when native English speakers—or those I presumed were—started calling out how bad "GPT/Claude speak" has become that I realized I wasn't actually losing my grip on English as a second language. For a second, I thought, Oh, I learned this language on my own, but it seems I've hit a wall and need to study further. It didn't help that I've also been trying to acquire Swedish as a third language for a while n…
LLMs speak every language. I wonder if they're as insane in the other ones!
My experience with opus 5 is that its results are lower quality in dutch, but that its dutch is more readable than its english.
Re: Fable 5.1 Solves the Cyphral Distich, a 370-year-old cipher
#304Earlier quoted context omitted.
on older gemini models ide have to actively give them encouragement and/or easy bait problems that they can correctively solve without issue to avoid runaway spiraling into "i'm useless and i want to kms" behaviour with complex use case. I have not seen this in other models.
I assumed it was more because the LLM might echo an understandable human claim of "if it's been unsolved for 370 years, it's unlikely to be solved now/likely to need expert knowledge", which is probably a mindset that appears in its training data. The LLM likely needs to be reminded of its abilities.
> The LLM likely needs to be reminded of its abilities
Like when it tells you something is 3 days of work but it can do it with some degree of guidance in a couple hours
Re: Fable 5.1 Solves the Cyphral Distich, a 370-year-old cipher
#305Earlier quoted context omitted.
If we doubled our energy out - not easy, but plausible with mass solar - carbon capture becomes practical enough to essentially end CO2 accumulation. It might take a couple of decades and a lot of reorganisation to build the capture facilities. But CO2 is not an unsolvable problem with current tech. What's missing is the political and organisational intelligence to make it happen. Part of that is solving problems at…
Tasking AI with "solving climate change" is exactly a scenario in which the doomer worry comes true.
Yeah much paperclip optimization opportunities here.
‘Figure out fusion powered CO2 sequestration’ is much better.
Re: Fable 5.1 Solves the Cyphral Distich, a 370-year-old cipher
#306How are these models being used to solve all these problems. Is it just "please solve this problem", "keep trying" repeatedly in a loop, or is there are more grounded workflow?
Re: Fable 5.1 Solves the Cyphral Distich, a 370-year-old cipher
#307Earlier quoted context omitted.
Renewables growth is so fast that it will exceed 100% of electricity in the early, and 100% of all form power in the late, 2030s. It's the meat methane and cement CO2 that's now a big question.
I think your prediction is a bit early. Maybe a decade early. 2033 is 7 years away. The transition is happening really fast, faster than most people (or political leaders) know, but not that fast. We will hit 1TW per year of new solar soon, but to get to 100% electricity by the end of 2033 I think we would need closer to 3TW per year.
Exponential growth curve(s) has yet to flatten; but you do also need to account for capacity factor, which is different between wind and PV.
Re: Fable 5.1 Solves the Cyphral Distich, a 370-year-old cipher
#308Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's Adam Back.
You know, it could have been more than one person. At this point I don't think it really matters, unless he/she starts selling their coins.
Howabout getting an LLM to decipher the password of wallet containing those coins.
Surely the point must have come where the required compute would be paid off by the value of the coins.
But that’s a wild speculation on my part.
Re: Fable 5.1 Solves the Cyphral Distich, a 370-year-old cipher
#309how?