David Sacks: OpenAI and Anthropic Don't Need Regulations to Pace Frontier Models

They would absolutely love to not be sending their kids to die and selling natural resources to whomever again and traveling around the globe without sanctions.

The concessions they would have accepted at the beginning were less. However, now that they've lost so many men and risked their regime on it, they can't simply accept the same deal.

This is why the incentives that wars create are so terrible, especially for authoritarian regimes, even if they're at fault.

Say what? Could lead to extinction, sure. Does? And nobody honestly argues otherwise? Baloney.

The ACTUAL realism is to recognize Putin's Russia for what it is: a relentless aggressor who will respect no peace. Putin's Russia has violated EVERY "peace agreement it has ever made. "Peace" in their mind is merely a strategic pause in the conflict to regroup and rearm.

The list is extremely long, Chechnya, Georgia, Crimea, Donbas, and more. Exactly ZERO concessions brought peace.

The REALITY is Ukraine submitting to such a peace would merely be buying another worse war a few months or years down the road, after Russia has had a breather and a chance to rearm. It'll just be more deaths at a faster pace in Ukraine.

If you think otherwise, I'd have both a bridge and some oceanfront property in Kansas to sell you.

Meanwhile, your view of Ukraine is years out of date and was never true.

Ukraine has been anything but "completely decimated" — they have emerged as the leading global power in drones and air defense.

As to your 'half-million who have died', they are overwhelmingly Russian fighters — the absolute f'kn aggressors, and documented war criminals, torturers, rapists, thieves and worse. Zero sympathy. If they didn't want to die they could have just stayed home.

Also recognize the absolute goal of Russia, and Putin has NOT ONCE backed off from the stated goal: The entire concept of Ukraine as a people and as a state must be eliminated.

There is not even a surrender that can be acceptable to the people of Ukraine.

There is no compromise with someone who has the goal of murdering you or genociding your people.

The ONLY realistic solution is to boot Russia from every square inch of Ukrainian land, and force it back i it's box.

You obviously haven't noticed that Ukraine is on its way to accomplishing that, both decimating Russia's economic engine, and now taking back more land than RU has taken in 2026.

The shame here is the Western countries and Russia convinced Ukraine to give up nukes in return for inviolate borders, and when Russia violated that treaty back in 2014 taking Crimea, not one Western country pushed back.

Allowing Ukraine to get wiped off the map, and Ukrainians each, individually, to be forced to abandon their identity and language, and suffer rape, torture, and death may be a "realistic" option, but it is not an option to anyone who has an ounce of morality. Perhaps you should learn about it.

The only outcome that actually works is to force despots like Putin back into their box. Preferably six feet underground.

That's what we call a cartel. Like Apple and Google.

There are also other categories of risk such as biorisk. Open-weight means no guardrails.

Don't get me wrong, I like your idea of deflating the AI bubble, I'm just skeptical that this is a great way to do it.

The PauseAI people have some ideas: https://pauseai.info/proposal

* International body which must approve new training runs

* Ban training on copyrighted material

* Hold AI model creators liable

The essential benefit of your idea is making new training runs unprofitable. But I imagine there are other ways to accomplish that, e.g. by taxing AI companies to the point where they are just barely squeaking by financially.