Earlier quoted context omitted.
> In my experience Do you work for one of these companies? If not, you have no experience with any of the models that carried out these attacks, and your experience with publicly available models is not super helpful for understanding the behavior of internal OpenAI models that lack the guardrails of publicly available models. Also, the lawnmower analogy is a worse way of understanding LLMs than anthropomorphising th…
> Lawnmowers never break out of your garden and into your neighbor's house and eat their dog because you've told them to be careful when mowing the lawn because the neighbor's dog pooped in it. All the accounts I read about these incidents just sound like a variant of paper clip optimising. An agent is given a highly restricted environment, a difficult (or impossible) task and a large amount of time/compute it exhaus…
There's nothing in the evidence to suggest they exhausted all of the other options first. We know that they did some work and eventually settled on escaping the sandbox. That's basically it. This tells us:
- Compute is getting faster and LLMs are being optimized, so time to escape will drop. That's likely greater than linear growth.
- Restrictions and sandboxes don't always work. If there's a route to the open internet we should assume an LLM will find and exploit it, and we should probably assume that this is always possible for any non-air-gapped system (and even then, you can escape that...)
- We don't know the goal mechanism, so a future LLM might reach for cheating first even if a current one doesn't. It might try to obfuscate what it's doing, and derive its own goals outside of the prompt, especially if it manages to find a state mechanism like a message board.
I'm not an AI-doomer but this should be giving us a reason to think about how to control a rogue AI better. There's a lot going on here that we don't properly understand. That is a worry.