281–284 of 284 posts
I appreciate this sentiment and I'll add that, as a writer, I've encountered and experienced it myself and among creative friends. The notion that a model can produce text, or images, that resemble our output is certainly dispiriting in some ways. But it also is empowering when you realize that what you create, and the way you feel when you do it, is independent of that. I don't write to put machines in their place -…
What Do You Care What Other People Think?
—Feynman
Earlier quoted context omitted.
> set of problems that you face as a software engineer and realize that there is so much left Definitely true at this exact moment, but very uncertain that AI won't also outrun those other areas faster than even existing experts.
You need expertise to productively use that AI. Try getting Claude to write you a graduate essay about quantum mechanics. If you don't have at least some understanding of the topic area it's effectively worthless. Now imagine someone with no existing web knowledge trying to get Claude to build them a Progressive Web App with offline capabilities that uses SQLite compiled to WASM. Moon language.
Certainly true now, but might not be in 2 years. Similar to how a person can hire a lawyer or a carpenter without knowing anything about those fields. Knowing what you want (even expressed imprecisely) might be all that is needed.
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I ran the numbers on Sam Altman flippant statement about wasted energy, and found roughly 40000 human 20 year old lives worth of energy are exchanged with every frontier model training-cycle release at OpenAI. Some history... Westinghouse Electric sold turbines to power stations in the 1950s, and promoted electronic home appliances to drive energy consumption to close the sales loop. While the scheme was not a direct…
> You pay more, have less, and reduce taxable labor incomes into demand deficient classes. This will not end well for people even if LLM are recognized as mostly hype. =3 Depends on how you view efficient market hypothesis. Computers and Memory was prohibitively expensive. "Putting a computer in every one's desk" was literal rallying cry for Microsoft because it appeared audacious, just like saying "Unlimited LLM usa…
Regulatory-captured markets have nothing to do with free competition, or bidding down price pressures. You do have monopolistic competitive firms drawing $4Tn in loans to artificially hyper-scale demands for NVIDIA hardware that earns you -$2.50 for every $1 in revenue.
Your home heating bill may double this winter because the economic engine is currently post-consumer/broken. We shall see how this plays out. =3