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I resigned from Anthropic today

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Re: I resigned from Anthropic today

#571

AI is a computer program. It calculates numbers from other numbers. By itself it does not "want" to do anything and "cannot" do anything. Before it becomes an agent in the universe (in the classical meaning), it requires being supplied by an execution environment, energy, initiative (agentic loop, specific instructions), and modality (readonly and mutating connections to real world). It is like a game of chess - it d…

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Re: I resigned from Anthropic today

#572

No other human activity poses this level of danger. I do heed the warnings, but this comes across as detached hyperbole. See: global warming, nuclear weapon development, wealth inequality, war, technology dependence, etc. Also, this has nothing to do with LLMs or computers. Like all things, this is about humans.

Putting "wealth inequality" in the same bucket as nuclear weapons is just slop. The OP is talking about existential threats, not things that personally annoy you.

lmao wtf

Re: I resigned from Anthropic today

#573

AI is a computer program. It calculates numbers from other numbers. By itself it does not "want" to do anything and "cannot" do anything. Before it becomes an agent in the universe (in the classical meaning), it requires being supplied by an execution environment, energy, initiative (agentic loop, specific instructions), and modality (readonly and mutating connections to real world). It is like a game of chess - it d…

Solar panels and Ring doorbells, the ultimate party and you're not invited.

Each doorbell press activates a prompt to eliminate a human at random.

Re: I resigned from Anthropic today

#574
post #497

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In the exact same way major sudden changes in the climate have lead to the extinction of the majority of plants an animals over this planets history. We are not special.

We are special in many ways, we have technology, we are everywhere, and we can think and plan (although considering global warming that is debatable). Global warming would have to create dramatic conditions everywhere on the planet, not leaving any small pocket of survivability to make humans extinct. Possible? Theoretically yes, but pretty unlikely. But obviously extreme global warming would be a catastrophe even if…

There's little evidence that humans are able or willing to cooperate at this scale. See: the past century of climate change.

Re: I resigned from Anthropic today

#575

“ No other human activity poses this level of danger.” I really, really disagree with that statement. I don’t think ai models come close to nuclear weapons or to run-of-the-mill, everyday carbon emissions in terms of danger to humanity. What’s the most dangerous thing that’s happened with an LLM so far? (This question is serious - maybe I don’t know the right examples.) Example 1: I’m aware of a small number of peopl…

You’ve identified that the risks of nuclear weapons are theoretical. ie in theory we could blow up the world even though we haven’t yet done so. Well the worries about AI are equivalent in that those risks are discussed now because discussing them after they’ve happened is clearly too late. That’s the thing about risk. There’s no point discussing it after it’s happened and any discussions beforehand can easily be han…

The risks of nuclear weapons aren't theoretical. Nuclear weapons have killed people, destroyed infrastructure, and contaminated the environment. The Limited Test Ban Treaty was put in place after radioactive fallout from repeated nuclear weapons tests made people sick.

So in fact we've done exactly what you suggest there's "no point" doing - used the things and then had a discussion after the fact about limiting future use of them.

Re: I resigned from Anthropic today

#576

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is not correct. Please go through each one again, taking special note of global warming and nuclear weapon development .

Why do you think global warming could kill literally every human being? What's the scenario in which that happens?

Worst case is warming oceans create a hypoxic environment where anaerobic bacteria thrive en masse and generate H2S over country-scale areas undersea. The chemocline breaches the surface and the ocean and atmosphere become poisonous to most complex life and agriculture, also stripping the ozone layer in the process, irradiating the surface. This is one mechanism posited for the end-permian mass extinction that eradicated most ocean and surface life, including the trilobites.

Not sure how long we'd survive such a scenario, even sheltering underground. But surely it couldn't happen to us.

(However, it now seems like the AI might get us first.)

Re: I resigned from Anthropic today

#577
post #523

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Abstractly, yes but concretely, how? AI has the capability to perform any function that can be performed over a network. You would hope that every system that can launch a nuke is properly and actually totally air-gapped, but there are lots of things you'd hope that turn out to not be true.

They are not totally. As such I would give non zero chance of even current AI to be able to socially manipulate a launch after sufficient hype up period... So prolonged campaign might make it possible.

And even if they are, agents are able to place calls with a fake voice to random phone numbers…

Re: I resigned from Anthropic today

#578
post #452

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Putting "wealth inequality" in the same bucket as nuclear weapons is just slop. The OP is talking about existential threats, not things that personally annoy you.

Tell that to Tsar Nicholas.

The guillotine was an amazing equalizer

Re: I resigned from Anthropic today

#579

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you misunderstand what is meant by 'wealth inequality.' Wealth inequality is about the imbalance of influence and the concentration of power; where influence and power refer to the ability to effect change in other people's lives. This isn't a personal annoyance of mine. It is, in fact, part of the issue at hand. There is a strong financial incentive to ignore the existential threats introduced by LLMs, despi…

He knows what wealth inequality is . You need to explain how it can somehow lead to the extinction of the human race.

See: nuclear weapon development and climate change. See: supply chain shortages and war. See: disinformation against vaccines.

Re: I resigned from Anthropic today

#580

No other human activity poses this level of danger. I do heed the warnings, but this comes across as detached hyperbole. See: global warming, nuclear weapon development, wealth inequality, war, technology dependence, etc. Also, this has nothing to do with LLMs or computers. Like all things, this is about humans.

The tweets justify his position that this is bigger than nukes. Nukes still have the problem of production and deployment. This is just software.

He is blowing the whistle on how reckless we are at furthering the tech. There is no second thought at maybe development of this tech is not a good idea. Its just full speed ahead.

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