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Tao: Open math problems being non-renewably mined by AI

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Re: Tao: Open math problems being non-renewably mined by AI

#11
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

Do you have a real argument to make rather than just appealing to authority?

So let me get this straight: you're saying that Terrence Tao, one of the most prominent mathematicians alive today, doesn't know math history? And me pointing this out is merely an appeal to authority?

Get outta here.

Re: Tao: Open math problems being non-renewably mined by AI

#12
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

Do you have a real argument to make rather than just appealing to authority?

It is a strong argument in this case though, because Terence Taos expertise is directly linked to his ability to not misstate the history of mathematics.

Also note how the quote by Tao is in all likelyhood not meant as an absolute; rather than a statement of a trend - a handfull of counterexamples do I no way change anything about the truth value of Tao's quote.

On the other heand; consider how absurd it would be if "... in the direction of no longer sharing any promising research directions with the broader community, which would reverse centuries of traditions of open science ..." would indeed be a misstatement; which would imply that far more promising research directions were not shared with the broader community (i.e.: published). I wonder what different reading of that counterfactual there could be other than secret societies that kept their discoveries and research directions to themselves - which we just learned about (since we would otherwise not be refering to the secret societies and their supposed promising research directions).

All pretty straightforward, I would say - both that "misstatement" is hopefully based an overly strict reading of Tao's quote, and that mentioning Tao's background as one of the fields leading practitioners is relevant as well. Again; to make sure: A few counterexamples achieves nothing here. It would need to reach a certain threshold of such counterexamples before we will have to write the history of mathematics; and before Tao actually made a misstatement here.

Re: Tao: Open math problems being non-renewably mined by AI

#14
post #3

That’s not untrue. But it’s also a misstatement of mathematical history. Many leading mathematicians historically have been highly competitive — Gauss comes to mind. Woe betide the lesser intellect that sent Gauss some ideas. The Newton Leibniz controversy was very serious business at the time in the UK and the continent. It was considered at the least a sin to reveal that sqrt(2) was irrational to those outside Pyth…

Also Andrew Wiles working in secret for 7 years out of fear of someone scooping him.

Partially; but also in order to be able to focus, as stated by himself in https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/transcripts/2414proof.html:

"But I realized after a while that talking to people casually about Fermat was impossible, because it just generates too much interest, and you can't really focus yourself for years unless you have this kind of undivided concentration, which too many spectators would have destroyed."

But yes; him reaping the benefits of himself having the idea first was part of it too; as far as I am aware.

-----

Which is still something completely different than some anonymous organisation keeping mathematical research secret because it is better for hype reasons. One is competition between individuals or groups within a field; the other is boring and sometimes borderline nihilistic generating of mathematical knowledge as an marketing asset.

Re: Tao: Open math problems being non-renewably mined by AI

#15

Isn't it safe to say that all famous unsolved math problems will get a "massive amount of AI-powered effort" pointed at them regardless?

While AI companies have almost infinite money, they still don’t want to blow million dollar budgets on problems if there isn’t high likelihood that it will be successful.

But within next 10 years as costs drop significantly and even more improvements are made, yes it is very likely that almost every single existing math problem will get a serious AI cracking done on it

Re: Tao: Open math problems being non-renewably mined by AI

#16
>"While it may be technically infeasible to completely prohibit the use of automated tools to perform indiscriminate solution extraction, I believe that we can still designate many classes of problems as being desirous of a careful analysis that not only solves the problem, but identifies insights from the solution process, and learn more about the difficulty landscape for nearby problems, and for which raw solutions without such analysis would be of negligible or even negative value for these purposes."

Not sure I agree with this. AI generated proofs can still be analyzed and mined for useful insights. I suppose he's saying the process of banging our heads against the wall on a problem can itself yield useful insight? But what is stopping us from analyzing a proof after the fact. And if we can generate many different versions of a proof that should help us develop a much deeper understanding of the problem than we would have without being able to perceive the "proof landscape"...

Re: Tao: Open math problems being non-renewably mined by AI

#17

I think he's suffering from a sort of static-universe fallacy. People aren't going to keep doing what they are doing, but secretly. What is going to happen is a complete revaluation of things like "finding a counter example to a famous problem". Even if someone finds a solution to a problem like this with pencil and paper, nobody will believe it, and they will assume that there was an AI involved. Further, sitting an…

> If this turns out to be true I think my take above is not correct, in the short term people will have to stop sharing updates because otherwise openai will dishonestly race to finish their work.

Which I don't see a reason for Anthropic and "Open"AI not to, given their not so stellar track record with IP of individuals/entities-that-are-not-rich-enough ;)

Re: Tao: Open math problems being non-renewably mined by AI

#18
No matter what happened this must be a wake up call for all of us. We’re basically sharing everything we have with these companies/AI systems. This is wildly different than a human wiretapping our private messages. Because it is systematic and automated in an astronomical scale. There is no real privacy in this new world. Law? I think “National Security” is a good enough excuse to screen anything constantly, including foreign researchers in case they are close to a breakthrough.

Re: Tao: Open math problems being non-renewably mined by AI

#19

>"While it may be technically infeasible to completely prohibit the use of automated tools to perform indiscriminate solution extraction, I believe that we can still designate many classes of problems as being desirous of a careful analysis that not only solves the problem, but identifies insights from the solution process, and learn more about the difficulty landscape for nearby problems, and for which raw solutions…

He's saying that in such a scenario, almost all of the value is located in the analysis and just dumping the proof has "negligible or even negative value". (The negative value would occur in the cases where the proof doesn't contain enough information to reconstruct what insights would have led a person to it.)

Re: Tao: Open math problems being non-renewably mined by AI

#20
post #3

That’s not untrue. But it’s also a misstatement of mathematical history. Many leading mathematicians historically have been highly competitive — Gauss comes to mind. Woe betide the lesser intellect that sent Gauss some ideas. The Newton Leibniz controversy was very serious business at the time in the UK and the continent. It was considered at the least a sin to reveal that sqrt(2) was irrational to those outside Pyth…

Also Andrew Wiles working in secret for 7 years out of fear of someone scooping him.

I've always found the story of A. Wiles sad and frustrating. He worked in secret for 7 years. He submitted a (incorrect) proof at year 4 or so. Reviewers found a problem, but he decided kept all secret for many years after. He didn't even proof the last theorem of Fermat directly, he proved some conjeture that someone else before him, proved that it implied Fermat last theorem...

I found this behavior against healthy science practices and only driven by ego. Unfortunately, I find this too often at work (working in academia). Most probably I'm too naive...

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