321–330 of 490 posts
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For better or for worse, this technology isn't going away any more than search engines, smartphones, or social media have gone away.
Those technologies reached profitability relatively early, if not immediately.
Computers never got profitable. They just made the alternative infeasible.
Also, if you believe Amazon accounting, e-commerce only very recently got somewhat profitable.
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Maybe I just lack imagination, but I don't really know how jobs are supposed to solidify around the role of giving prompts to agents and then looking at the results. I mean, engineers will be in the breadline because their role was simply to prompt the agents.. only to be superseded by managers or executives who no longer manage engineers but themselves prompt the agents? And, for this previously considered obsolete…
There are two things SOTA LLMs fundamentally cannot do. They cannot take financial or legal responsibility for mistakes, and they cannot learn new things without forgetting things (except to a limited degree by adding it to their context). This is clear to anyone who has used even the smartest models for tasks requiring domain knowledge outside of math and coding, for which it's not possible to generate an infinite a…
Where did you get that idea from? Basically last few years was them constantly learning new things while improving their capability on the things they already knew.
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It's hard to get humans to agree to things that are in their collective interest but many not be in their individual interest. It is at the root of many problems. Look up "collective action problem."
What do you think it might take to precipitate collective action in this case?
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Yeah, on the topic of alignment, a few thousand religions and political parties would like to have a word. It's so simple, Churchill, Stalin, Hitler, Roosevelt, do you all agree this AI is correctly aligned? ...Morals are relative to frame of reference. Throwing out the word "alignment" as if its a singular quantity is like trying to get all observers to agree on the speed an object is moving without first agreeing o…
That's the point. The topic of AI alignment cuts through all human values, morals and ethics in all frames of references.
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This is an element of the delusion. The koolaid drinkers will all tell you that we're on the edge of AGI, but if you ask them for simple examples of breakthroughs made by current AI, they can name none. The entire thing absolutely wreaks of mass psychosis.
Would the recent AI-aided math proofs count as breakthroughs?
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The results we've been seeing internally on our physics and circuit design environments are expert-level and beyond-expert-level results from models that Astra completely outclasses across the board on our evaluation suite (Fable 5+/Opus 5/Grok 4.6 were all worthy of being called AGI in my opinion). That's hard tech that will translate to real product innovation. But you don't need any kind of insider information to…
I mean honestly, that's the problem. I'm actually not seeing the world changing. What specific advances in robotics, unsolved maths, and software have LLMs provided? What is the finished result that affects everyday life? In all categories, it's been hype with little actual real results. The robots are still doing the things they did before 2022. The maths are a handful of fairly insignificant proofs that have no sig…
One of my favorite things to do with these blog posts is to imagine an Alien Museum on the Remains of Humanity, and wonder what the little text flyouts and commentary on the screenshot of this one might say. Some ideas: "Despite a nuanced view of the complexities of what lay ahead, humanity found itself collectively unable to stop the process it had set in motion." "Despite significant progress on the mechanisms of a…
I asked GPT Astra to make this: https://sayyss.github.io/human-archive/ It's a little unsettling.
I am still waiting for a cure to cancer. For a guaranteed prophylactic against Alzheimer's and dementia. For flying cars for everyone. For space bases throughout the solar system. For weather control. For all trains to be self-driving. For all those power lines across the world to go away. For an end to poverty. If things are going so well, then how come things still aren't going so well?
>For all trains to be self-driving Given that we have self-driving cars, isn't this easier if someone really wanted? I guess compared to cars the marginal savings is not worth it though.
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Collectively, humans aren't aligned, and don't build aligned systems. Humans have a concept of alignment, and multiple traditions, practices, and systems that aggressively oppose it. Why would AI be any different?
My opinion is that serious repercussions for lying would fix the world overnight. Everything bad stems from lying, it is the root of all evil. It creates distrust, fear, paranoia. It re-inforces bad ideas and groupthink. It creates delusions and delusional people. It makes weaker people, too. People don't get an opportunity to learn to deal with criticism. People don't get an accurate reflection of how others see the…
Comforting a toddler/child often requires bending the truth and is pretty essential imho.