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GPT-6 Astra

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Re: GPT-6 Astra

#962
post #768

I have nothing to say about the actual model, but unrelated--why do so many of these demos include people buying things autonomously? Even if I did trust an AI to get everything right, it's not like the AI can read my mind. If I was ordering food normally and without AI, I would want more control over the process--looking over the options, prices, thinking about what I really want. People don't know what they really…

Maybe we are not the real audience. I wonder if they are trying to convince the advertising industry/investors that in the future it won't be Google search that stands between the consumer and the product, but rather their LLM.

Bingo

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#964

I wonder if this is going to be one of those days where you'll be like: Oh yeah I remember where I was when the first version of AGI launched

More likely ten years from now you’ll think, “man, we were pretty naive to think we were on the cusp of AGI back when LLMs automated low-level software engineering.”

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#966

"""OpenAI called the model a "generational leap" for areas such as cybersecurity, professional work, software engineering, and science, with the company's president Greg Brockman saying that it could eventually be seen as the arrival of artificial general intelligence""" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GPT-6_Astra according to Sam Altman from last year, an LLM should 'solve quantum gravity', if it is to count as AGI. D…

I think that would be more of ASI than AGI, AGI is a smart human, I'd say we're pretty close if not already there for most stuff we've been focusing on like coding. ASI is a super genius, beyond the smartest human, and we're nowhere near that. But as we've already seen with LLMs you don't need to wait for ASI to solve hard problems in math and physics.

I find the distinction between AGI and ASI to be a red herring. In my mind, we humans already have enough intelligence to basically solve any problem given enough time and a 'scratch pad'. It's sort of like Turing-completeness but for intelligence.

Saying that a computer exhibits artificial-SUPER-intelligence feels a little like saying that one universal Turing machine is more expressive than another universal Turing machine. The thing that sets the two Turing machines apart is not how expressive they are but how quickly and efficiently they can arrive at the given output.

It's hard for me to imagine a task that ASI could complete which a human with enough time and determination couldn't also complete, although I can imagine such tasks for dogs which don't exhibit the same level of intelligence as humans. Maybe I'm too human-centric and naive. Maybe there are other tasks out there that are beyond human intelligence even given infinite time.

If, however, my view of intelligence is correct, then the distinction between ASI and AGI is illusory, and the real distinction that we would see between systems is just their speed, efficiency, determination, etc.

In my mind, once we achieve AGI, we immediately have ASI: just run that AGI on a faster computer, across many nodes, etc. Instead of having humans solve quantum gravity over the next 1000 years, just have AGI solve it over the next month.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#967
post #859

I feel that for some time now, the biggest constraint when working with models is not their intelligence, but their speed. It does not matter how smart the model is, it will make mistakes, because the instructions are ambiguous and new facts are found during implementation. The biggest problem I've had working with software developers has always been the lag between seeing the results and steering towards the right d…

AI models do not live and learn - it's worse. They actually get DUMMER if you don't start with a clean slate. This is important. One has to curate the context carefully.

Try codex! This is not the case there at all.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#968

I think the thing I'm most excited about is the increase in _user prompting_. If I give a poorly constrained/ambiguous prompt, I don't want the model one-shotting assumptions left and right. The demos of Fable/GPT-6 are impressive, but "real AGI" should act more like a collaborator than either a peon or overachiever. It's a tough balance to get right, and although this has been possible to achieve with additional pro…

>>> The demos of Fable/GPT-6 are impressive, but "real AGI" should act more like a collaborator than either a peon or overachiever. I don't really agree. The thing that makes Fable feel like an actual collaborator is its ability to sus out your real intent when you give ambiguous instructions. It's really good at it. I watched some reviews today and came way with the impression that Astra is not better than Sol in th…

It shouldn't make this assumption, it should say "because xyz. You want it committed?".

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#969

Finally, OpenAI has a Fable/Mythos class model. 5.6 Sol felt like 5.5 on steroids, probably just a different checkpoint with a lot more RL post training. I wouldn't be surprised if there are some conceptual similarities to the kind of latent reasoning Anthropic sees in claude's J-space, although those aren't the same thing. Recurrent/looped transformers themselves aren't a new concept, but it's interesting to finally…

> Canceling my Anthropic Max sub when this ships. At this point, it reads like people are cancelling old ones and getting new subscriptions every two to three days, whenever a new ,model drops, and quite possibly by the end of the week they are back to the old provider while still having active subscriptions with at least two to three others. Interesting times.

Yeah I have a main $100 sub, a bunch of $20 subs and sometimes another simultaneous $100 when a really major model happens to drop. For the most part it seems better to have multiple subscriptions than a single $200-$300 one to stay more in touch with state of the art and get a feel for what's good at what.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#970

I have nothing to say about the actual model, but unrelated--why do so many of these demos include people buying things autonomously? Even if I did trust an AI to get everything right, it's not like the AI can read my mind. If I was ordering food normally and without AI, I would want more control over the process--looking over the options, prices, thinking about what I really want. People don't know what they really…

I think that one thing that "thinkers", academics and other smart people who LIKE to think/select/choose forget is that the majority of the population is not wired this way.

Most people go about their day absolutely minimizing the amount of mental energy they have to spend. They have priorities like kids, work, family, groceries, etc. If anything here can be automated its a fat win in their life. I have friends that are loving the features where meals are planned for them, food is home delivered, Uber is auto ordered, trip plans are made, etc. They don't mind paying more just to reduce mental load. Its a huhe market.

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