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GPT-6 Astra

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Re: GPT-6 Astra

#431

Post by richstokes »

MrAbstract wrote: post #416
Chinjut wrote: post #351

What is going to become of life for those of us who do not work at AI labs and are unlikely to be hired by AI labs, despite all the years we put into learning coding, math, etc, as we were told to do? Those of us who made the mistake of studying anything other than machine learning. How will we make a living? (We don't live in a world that seems likely to distribute gains widely instead of largely to the handful of a…

I have exactly the same thoughts - or perhaps slightly bleaker ones - evry time I read this relentless stream of news about new model releases. I’m tired of all the enthusiastic comments about how excited everyone is about the latest benchmark results and so on. I have a strong suspicion that many of those comments are written by people who are already financially independent, have millions in stocks, and can just si…

I feel the same sometimes. I don’t see how this doesn’t lead to massive job losses. The thing we spent our lives/careers learning is now worth basically nothing in comparison.

AI is only going to get better and do more with less humans in the loop over time.

That said, I do also relate to the "coding was never the hard part"-type arguments, and much of my day is spent on the stuff in between writing code.. but still.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#432

Post by crooked-v »

zug_zug wrote: post #422
intenex wrote: post #272

The ARC-AGI-3 scorecard is extremely misleading given that it clearly states itself that "with [the responses API] harness, we estimate Sol would score in the ballpark of ~30%." but it shows a score of 7.8% for GPT-5.6 Sol presumably since if they updated the percentage for GPT-5.6 Sol to the score it would receive with the responses API harness they used for GPT-6 Astra they'd have to do the same for the percentage…

> I'd be curious to hear takes on what would make you think Astra is yet to be AGI, and what would still need to be achieved for this to effectively be AGI from this point forward. To me AGI is all about the "G" general (we already had the AI part). General meaning universal, everything. It's not a function of knowledge or specific hardcoded tests, it's that you could give it a test it's never heard of before and nev…

> come up with a new company idea, Run that company

So far nobody's even shown an LLM succesfully running a high-traffic vending machine for as much as 30 days at a time.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#433

Post by tonyhart7 »

zug_zug wrote: post #422
intenex wrote: post #272

The ARC-AGI-3 scorecard is extremely misleading given that it clearly states itself that "with [the responses API] harness, we estimate Sol would score in the ballpark of ~30%." but it shows a score of 7.8% for GPT-5.6 Sol presumably since if they updated the percentage for GPT-5.6 Sol to the score it would receive with the responses API harness they used for GPT-6 Astra they'd have to do the same for the percentage…

> I'd be curious to hear takes on what would make you think Astra is yet to be AGI, and what would still need to be achieved for this to effectively be AGI from this point forward. To me AGI is all about the "G" general (we already had the AI part). General meaning universal, everything. It's not a function of knowledge or specific hardcoded tests, it's that you could give it a test it's never heard of before and nev…

I don't agree with you how measure how intelligence is, because why ??? those list is not easy even for expert human to do it either

or are you miss the part "general intelligence" is ????

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#434

Post by [deleted] »

_superposition_ wrote: post #136
isoprophlex wrote: post #68

> We have found that GPT-6 Astra is more capable of controlling its own CoT than GPT 5.6-Sol, and less likely to include incriminating information in its CoT. In adversarial settings (where we push the model to evade our monitors) we find that the model is able to remain undetected when strategically underperforming in evaluations (sandbagging) and can sometimes evade our internal monitors when asked to perform certa…

I really wish it was called chain of instruction. Because it's definitely not thought.

[deleted]

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#435

Post by Aurornis »

jdprgm wrote: post #317

Is anyone else just exhausted by the pace of all this. The models change constantly and relentlessly and so does the pricing, basically weekly at this point between all the labs. It feels nearly impossible to have any rigorous approach when choosing a particular model and price point for a task and more like blindly picking one. The time period needed to actually get familiar with various models to a degree you can i…

I could see how this might feel frustrating to someone who doesn't enjoy experimenting with new things all the time.

In practice, you can get away without keeping up with everything all the time. For personal use, pick a provider and get on their ~$20/month plan. Learn their high/medium/low model hierarchy. Start with their highest or second-highest model (GPT-5.6, Opus, etc) and observe your quota usage. If you're doing a lot of manual code review and analysis, the $20/month plan goes very far even on the highest models. If you're trying to vibecode everything as fast as possible it's a different story.

If you keep running into quota limits, experiment with the next model down for easier tasks or adjusting the effort level. If the results are good enough, you've found your fit. If they're not, you might need the next plan up.

For API/business use, you have to be checking your token spend as you go to calibrate to how much each task costs and where you fall in your budget. There are a lot of different tools that make this easy to visualize.

For data tasks, you should have an eval with a golden dataset that you can run against new models for a nominal amount of token expenditure. It should be as simple as pointing the eval script at a new API or model and checking the score versus price.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#436

Post by RSHEPP »

Chinjut wrote: post #351

What is going to become of life for those of us who do not work at AI labs and are unlikely to be hired by AI labs, despite all the years we put into learning coding, math, etc, as we were told to do? Those of us who made the mistake of studying anything other than machine learning. How will we make a living? (We don't live in a world that seems likely to distribute gains widely instead of largely to the handful of a…

I am going to take my 401k and open up a coffee or bike shop. If I am going to be broke, might as well enjoy what I do.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#437

Post by amlib »

brindidrip wrote: post #395
Chinjut wrote: post #351

What is going to become of life for those of us who do not work at AI labs and are unlikely to be hired by AI labs, despite all the years we put into learning coding, math, etc, as we were told to do? Those of us who made the mistake of studying anything other than machine learning. How will we make a living? (We don't live in a world that seems likely to distribute gains widely instead of largely to the handful of a…

Learn to fish.

Are you even gonna have permission to fish when the quadrillionaires own all water bodies?

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#439

Post by kolinko »

zug_zug wrote: post #422
intenex wrote: post #272

The ARC-AGI-3 scorecard is extremely misleading given that it clearly states itself that "with [the responses API] harness, we estimate Sol would score in the ballpark of ~30%." but it shows a score of 7.8% for GPT-5.6 Sol presumably since if they updated the percentage for GPT-5.6 Sol to the score it would receive with the responses API harness they used for GPT-6 Astra they'd have to do the same for the percentage…

> I'd be curious to hear takes on what would make you think Astra is yet to be AGI, and what would still need to be achieved for this to effectively be AGI from this point forward. To me AGI is all about the "G" general (we already had the AI part). General meaning universal, everything. It's not a function of knowledge or specific hardcoded tests, it's that you could give it a test it's never heard of before and nev…

Most of humans don’t reach any of these levels.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#440

Post by kypro »

XCSme wrote: post #368

It's fun, but every new model release makes me even less interested to create cool stuff. Like, what's the point, if the next AI can do it in 5 seconds?

It's less lack of interest in creating that bothers me, it's my lack of interest in learning – it would surely be crazy for a SWE to care about how some new framework works anymore? Even if someone could reasonably argue that it might be slightly useful today there's almost zero chance it will be useful in 6-12 months times.

But it's not just tech – my lack of interest in learning and creating is starting to generalise with the models. Music, writing, coding, maths, etc...

I need to get used to switching my head off and asking the AIs to think for me whenever I need to engage my brain. It still feels very unnatural.

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