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More than half of adults in U.S. say they lack basic statistical understanding

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Re: More than half of adults in U.S. say they lack basic statistical understanding

#221

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think it's a question of design. Some ideas in stats are just fundamentally unintuitive. Pedagogy can help mitigate this, but it would take a revolution to fit it into a neat and intuitive framework, like calculus.

Can you give an example of a fundamentally unintuitive idea?

Central limit theorem

Re: More than half of adults in U.S. say they lack basic statistical understanding

#223
post #180

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem is that convincing yourself that you are smarter than your younger self with opposite views, means that you are right about the politics now, is just a fallacy.

The change doesn't come from thinking one is smarter or dumber, but you simply having much more information to work with. We form extensive opinions and views about the world relatively young, but it's largely based on things we have 0 personal knowledge or experience of. Again I think the internet/social media are perfect examples. Predicting what would happen isn't about being smart or dumb. It's a matter of just n…

This is an universal experience which wouldn't explain the vast difference in worldviews.

Re: More than half of adults in U.S. say they lack basic statistical understanding

#224
post #146
post #128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I’ve heard this phrased as “the average person has an above average number of legs”.

Wouldn't "the typical person has above average number of legs" or some such be better?

Median person?

Re: More than half of adults in U.S. say they lack basic statistical understanding

#225
post #223

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The change doesn't come from thinking one is smarter or dumber, but you simply having much more information to work with. We form extensive opinions and views about the world relatively young, but it's largely based on things we have 0 personal knowledge or experience of. Again I think the internet/social media are perfect examples. Predicting what would happen isn't about being smart or dumb. It's a matter of just n…

This is an universal experience which wouldn't explain the vast difference in worldviews.

I'd separate worldview from ideology. I think worldviews, for people who have all seen a comparable share of the world over a comparable time era, are going to fall quite close. But ideologies are something distinct from that. Worldviews should influence ideology, but in practice it's the other way around for many people - even as they age. In any case, without that world experience - the values we formulate when younger are going to be based on assumptions that will ultimately prove to be false.
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