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CEO fired developers to make room for AI. Developers create open source AI CEO

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Re: CEO fired developers to make room for AI. Developers create open source AI CEO

#641
Many comments are missing the point or just totally backwards. I have been both an IC eng and a founder / CTO (though me and my cofounder ran it more like co-CEOs). AI's will not be replacing CEOs (or other great execs) because being CEO (especially of a startup) is all about a few things, and all of those things are almost structurally what AI can not do. It's all about...

* Setting a strong, non-consensus vision. -> AI's are trained to produce the median / mode answer. So this almost disqualifies them by default.

* Having courage to do the correct, obvious thing even when your team or investors don't think it's the right call. (This might be firing someone everyone likes but who's role is no longer needed, it might be changing strategies away from the product everyone just spent 6 months on, etc. etc. the list goes on). -> Ben Horowitz has called this kind of decision basically the entire value of a CEO. This is also EXACTLY where today's LLMs keep getting worse and worse. They are utterly spineless.

* Having unique skills and credibility to build a team -> This can come from many sources (track record, vision, charisma, specific achievements, network, etc.) , but people need to want to join YOUR team, not someone else's. They have to believe that YOU are going to win against the market. There is no way you're going to have an edge by using a commercially available AI API with an open source harness at the helm. That is just so utterly uncompelling to top candidates.

* Fundraising -> On the surface, very ammenable to AI, but again, as an investor, would you seriously invest in a CEO that is literally replicatable by any other company?

The value I can see for something like this is a human to get a "2nd pair of eyes". But humans have tons of advisors already and generally speaking, getting takes on what you should do as CEO is not the hard part. It's seeing through the fog of war, finding clarity, and then implementing that clarity across the org, which is surprisingly hard.

Re: CEO fired developers to make room for AI. Developers create open source AI CEO

#643
post #225
post #219

I know it's a joke but... Power is what makes them what they are, not knowledge or skills or empathy. If you don't like what this thing tells you to do, you just won't. It's not going to fire you. Therefore it's not going to steer the company away from disaster, or towards something good. It will be just a talking box.

> Power is what makes them what they are, not knowledge or skills or empathy. No. Oh my god no. This is just engineers coping with the reality that they've been filtered by skillchecks of a system they do not (yet) understand. But instead of doing the engineering thing and starting to understand said system, fox and grapes gets deployed. Which isn't to say that there would be zero examples of what you describe, but t…

Wait a minute, so you (and your colleagues) deploy this thing, it tells you half the staff should go so the company can stay afloat. You GO?

Re: CEO fired developers to make room for AI. Developers create open source AI CEO

#644
post #643
post #225

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Power is what makes them what they are, not knowledge or skills or empathy. No. Oh my god no. This is just engineers coping with the reality that they've been filtered by skillchecks of a system they do not (yet) understand. But instead of doing the engineering thing and starting to understand said system, fox and grapes gets deployed. Which isn't to say that there would be zero examples of what you describe, but t…

Wait a minute, so you (and your colleagues) deploy this thing, it tells you half the staff should go so the company can stay afloat. You GO?

Because what I meant by that of course was power over money. You turn it on, put in the credit card info and let it rip, eh?

Re: CEO fired developers to make room for AI. Developers create open source AI CEO

#645

Many comments are missing the point or just totally backwards. I have been both an IC eng and a founder / CTO (though me and my cofounder ran it more like co-CEOs). AI's will not be replacing CEOs (or other great execs) because being CEO (especially of a startup) is all about a few things, and all of those things are almost structurally what AI can not do. It's all about... * Setting a strong, non-consensus vision. -…

> Setting a strong, non-consensus vision. -> AI's are trained to produce the median / mode answer. So this almost disqualifies them by default.

Most human CEOs are disqualified then. Whenever I join a company these days, they stress how important the company's values are, and they are somehow basically the same as every other company.

Re: CEO fired developers to make room for AI. Developers create open source AI CEO

#646
post #248

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yep. You're starting to catch on. Same functionality, significant cost savings for the organization.

The intern might be convinced to do something other than what the bot says.

Then the board can fire that CEO?

Re: CEO fired developers to make room for AI. Developers create open source AI CEO

#647

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Having been an engineer and then a founder (and CEO), neither can be automated. Both require organizational work to be effective, and developer productivity is so profitable in an outsized way that you'd always just hire more if you could, even if they were all 10x as productive (maybe this changes at some scale). I'd have loved for an AI to assist with a few things as a CEO but we would have probably just shipped fa…

> Having been an engineer and then a founder (and CEO), neither can be automated Can it be fully hands-off? No. But I think, as will all things, their both subject to the rise of the "technician"s. A mechanic doesn't change your brakes or flush your oil, a technician does. You don't see a doctor, you see a nurse practitioner and an MD just signs off. All the work that used to be done by someone with schooling to lear…

> Can it be fully hands-off? No. But I think, as will all things, their both subject to the rise of the "technician"s. A mechanic doesn't change your brakes or flush your oil, a technician does. You don't see a doctor, you see a nurse practitioner and an MD just signs off. All the work that used to be done by someone with schooling to learn how to do it is just done by a technician that learned how to use the tools without the critical thinking of the expert, but with an expert somewhere available if needed.

This already describes how CEOs work though. CEOs aren't experts in every part of the company, they sign off on things and delegate, and manage communications etc. There's very little additional room to delegate because the role already is extremely delegation heavy.

Re: CEO fired developers to make room for AI. Developers create open source AI CEO

#648
post #181

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A related point that I've been making privately for at least ten years to anyone that would listen, is that we've had Superhuman Intelligence for at least hundreds, if not thousands, of years in the form of corporations and institutions. No single human could design a rocket to go to the moon or keep all Wallmart stores supplied on a daily basis. Moreover when something like the CEO or US president changes, the polic…

“ This is also what i believe is wrong with Searle's Chinese Room argument - the algorithm is the intelligence.” “ and even what we call consciousness!” This misunderstands the point of the so-called Chinese room thought experiment. You want to conclude that consciousness is functional, but you cite a thought experiment which argues it is not, and then assert the thought experiment is wrong because it disagrees with…

Thanks for the reply. I was hoping to get some debate going and have my thoughts challenged in order to see how they hold up under scrutiny. You're right that I believe in Functionalism and Strong AI and in previous comment I only really stated my belief so please allow me to try and make a bit of an argument for it. My position probably falls under the "System reply" to the Chinese Room argument although I feel it's more restrictive in some aspects so perhaps it corresponds to a particular subtype (I don't know as I haven't read enough in the area).

My basic argument is that human *intelligence* (and understanding - I consider understanding as part of intelligence and consciousness separately but I can see how many might group understanding with consciousness and leave intelligence on its own) is a form of collective intelligence. Individual neurons acting based on local chemical and electrical signals collectively produce behaviour that we call intelligent, i.e. it can solve problems, respond to questions, etc ... . A particular configuration of neurons acting together I will call a particular software or algorithm (I understand that separating the software from the neural substrate in that way is part of what's in dispute, particularly by Searle, but that's my belief and what I feel is required to make the mapping to the Chinese Room argument). The Chinese Room thought experiment then is trying to refute Strong AI by arguing that the person in the Chinese Room has no understanding of the exchange with the outside world because they are just manipulating symbols incomprehensible to them. I agree that the person has no understanding. That person on their own would not be able to string together a sensible reply without the instruction cards. However another person with the same instruction cards, i.e. algorithm, would be able to reply sensibly, pass a Chinese Turing test, etc ..., thus demonstrating that the intelligence/understanding resides in the algorithm. The person is just an execution substrate. The mistake in the Chinese Room argument is identifying the locus of understanding in the person, which imho is failure of imagination. It's akin to saying that humans can have no understanding because each individual neuron has no understanding of our actions, something which the existence proof of human intelligence refutes.

What then of consciousness? Here I also have some beliefs which I'm happy to write down but in my assessment they're less substantiated so make of them what you will. I saw some things by Joscha Bach recently and I liked what he said about agents and consciousness as a form self-recognition of the agent as an entity in the environment and predictive modeling of future states of that entity in order to achieve the agents goals and realise some form of agency. I don't know where neuroscience and cognitive science stand on this but made sense to me as a sensible model of consciousness. Therefore I would even go so far as to say that I believe that entities such as the United States of America (and any country or institution really) are probably conscious in some form, because they are aware of themselves, model themselves, and try to project their agency in the environment that they find themselves in. We are not directly aware of this because we are like single neurons in our brain and this happens at a scale much larger than us. Moreover I suspect that as you go up each rung on the emergence ladder, the temporal scale of the phenomena gets an order slower as that level is composed of the interactions at the level below it. So the speed of interactions of our neurons is an order faster than our conscious processes and similarly the emergent bodies and institutions that we form part of act an order slower so their processes are more difficult for us to perceive.

Schematically then my beliefs organise roughly as follows:

- intelligence = algorithm: think neural network weights you can download of HuggingFace

- consciousness = self-aware world model + state: I speculate that the same NN world model weights running with separate state would perceive themselves as separate entities

Would love to hear some thoughts on this!

Re: CEO fired developers to make room for AI. Developers create open source AI CEO

#649
post #603

To be fair I think its far easier to automate leadership jobs despite how they believe in greater self-worth. As a developer I keep running into problems that require some measure of creativity to solve or workaround. And regardless of how many years I've been in the industry I'm not running out of issues. They just keep getting more obscure. On the other hand leadership communication and problem resolution seem like…

I think also it's extremely hard to fairly judge high level decisions whose outcomes may not materialize for a very long time. This makes it genuinely hard for humans to get better (and one gets the impression that most of them don't) with more experience at the helm of a large and complex org. But it also means that it's hard to evaluate or train a machine on the task. You can maybe automate getting something plausi…

By using historic data.

You should strictly segregate training and testing data, to be sure that your model has internalised decision-making principles. [0]

It is definitionally true that any given moment in history is unprecedented, and that old thinking is invalidated by paradigm shifts. But not every single variable is randomised. The launch of the PC didn't embarrass every executive, for example.

0: https://www.owlposting.com/p/an-ml-drug-discovery-startup-tr...

Re: CEO fired developers to make room for AI. Developers create open source AI CEO

#650
post #495
post #181

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A related point that I've been making privately for at least ten years to anyone that would listen, is that we've had Superhuman Intelligence for at least hundreds, if not thousands, of years in the form of corporations and institutions. No single human could design a rocket to go to the moon or keep all Wallmart stores supplied on a daily basis. Moreover when something like the CEO or US president changes, the polic…

Oh my friend your imagination is limited! The entire financial system is a form of artificial intelligence. We just never framed it that way. It only shocks humans now because they a) never thought about it - it was in the background b) it’s in your face and you can play with it

I kinda agree that the financial system is intelligent in the problem solving sense but disagree that it is pursuing a particular goal in the sense that institutions and organisations are.

It's more akin to an ecosystem to me. In nature we also have ecosystems organising and reusing resources but I would only ascribe intelligence to living organisms pursuing individual goals with agency.

Haven't thought too hard about the distinction though so happy to be shown a better principle.

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