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Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

gatesnotes.com

101–110 of 226 posts

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#102
Interesting read, good to see some nuance in this space for once: not evil, can be used for evil, not good, can be used for good, but requires a lot of safeguards. What really got me is the concept of "Human Reserved" - man that is a depressing thought...

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#104
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Taxing AI tokens and Robots is not going to work. We can’t even define a robot, tokens are also too abstract and there is endless ways of gaming it, and let’s not forget cross border operations. Tax profits, it was always the most equitable option.

I do think taxing profits is still insufficient, because unless the tax rate is close to 100% (lol) the "k-shaped" economy is still reinforced, but just slowed slightly. In combination with a wealth/holdings tax, maybe. Personally I think the idea of taxing robots/tokens directly is too narrow an idea.

It is because personal income tax should have never existed. Nor should have taxes on primary residence. These are the most regressive taxes possible, it is basically serfdom.

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#105
post #24

It’s a good thoughtful piece. If I may suggest, the main problem and I mean the actual main problem are those people who underestimate the capabilities of AI. The ones who think it hallucinates all the time, unreliable and mostly useless. The average person thinks this technology is overhyped (like Emily Bender) so how would one even begin to have a conversation with them on the risks?

This is my experience too. Many people in my offline, non-techy life seem to get almost upset when I argue that models are good at many things (and getting better fast). And I kind of get it! If your primary exposure to AI is Google search summaries (from their cheapest models) and shitty AI graphic design, it makes sense to think it's vastly overhyped.

I like how Tyler Cowen puts it: "This is the worst they will ever be".

And some people are still stuck on what AI was capable of when GPT-3.5 was SOTA. They don't realize how much they've improved in ~4 years. Even if the rate of improvement slows down, AI will be tremendously more capable in another ~4 years.

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#106
post #12

> Instead, solutions should be developed through a public democratic process that includes elected officials, policymakers, educators, health workers, local officials, and community leaders. Millions of people will have their lives disrupted, and we’ll need a stronger, more flexible social safety net to help them manage the transition. Local communities are already raising concerns about the energy and water needed f…

Election denialism is unbecoming of anyone with a brain

Being an apologist for the state and our current system is unbecoming of anybody with a brain

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#108
post #12

> Instead, solutions should be developed through a public democratic process that includes elected officials, policymakers, educators, health workers, local officials, and community leaders. Millions of people will have their lives disrupted, and we’ll need a stronger, more flexible social safety net to help them manage the transition. Local communities are already raising concerns about the energy and water needed f…

Election denialism is unbecoming of anyone with a brain

The post you are responding to is not election denialism.

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#109
post #55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Election denialism is unbecoming of anyone with a brain

> Election denialism is unbecoming of anyone with a brain Convincing argument you have there, but the choices we're provided between shit sandwich A and shit sandwich B are the problem, not which one wins.

This is akin to arguing "nothing ever changes or improves in Liberal democracies", when policy history doesn't reflect that.

Large parties represent large coalitions, so there are more compromises and things happen slower, but they still happen. Not always for the better, as we're seeing when populists are elected.

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#110
post #12

> Instead, solutions should be developed through a public democratic process that includes elected officials, policymakers, educators, health workers, local officials, and community leaders. Millions of people will have their lives disrupted, and we’ll need a stronger, more flexible social safety net to help them manage the transition. Local communities are already raising concerns about the energy and water needed f…

Election denialism is unbecoming of anyone with a brain

Lol if voting changed anything they'd make it illegal.
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