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Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

gatesnotes.com

81–90 of 234 posts

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#82

> With its ability to synthesize knowledge from every scientific field, AI can accelerate innovation in the world’s toughest technical challenges: providing reliable clean energy for everyone, combating climate change, growing enough food, eradicating diseases, and more I really think this is overstated. So far everything is pointing towards AI accelerating climate change. Especially if we'll automate everything with…

> I really think this is overstated. So far everything is pointing towards AI accelerating climate change.

Ok but if we sprint the Delorean towards the brick wall as fast as possible we might be able to hit 88mph just in time to save ourselves

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#83

It’s a good thoughtful piece. If I may suggest, the main problem and I mean the actual main problem are those people who underestimate the capabilities of AI. The ones who think it hallucinates all the time, unreliable and mostly useless. The average person thinks this technology is overhyped (like Emily Bender) so how would one even begin to have a conversation with them on the risks?

It is overhyped.

It's powerful, and very useful in specific situations.

It's not the second coming of jesus christ.

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#85
post #13

> We have to think now about how to reduce job losses so that everyone can share in the prosperity that AI creates. And I thought he is a smart man. This is so last century thinking. We need to prepare that there will definitely be no jobs for everyone and that will be falling all the time, it’s not a one-time event you should “prepare for”. There’s nothing to prepare, we already have funds and productivity to feed a…

I really don't think UBI can ever happen in the US. There is a moral imperative of "industriousness". Keynes' prediction (or maybe desire) ~100 years ago of the 15 hour workweek never panned out.

Keynes prediction more than panned out if you look at the population level.

Instead of everyone working less what happened is less people work. The fact that it took that specific shape is a source of A LOT of problems.

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#86

This essay kind of rubs me the wrong way. Starting from the very beginning. During my entire life I’ve only had two jobs. In the first one, I played a role in developing software to empower people through my work at Microsoft. Yikes. We all know powerful people have an incentive to whitewash their pasts but there is whitewashing and then there is whatever that is. I have to mention this because we can't forget that M…

Is there an essay from a tech leader than HASN’T rubbed anyone the wrong way, in some time? Eric Schmidt, Dario Amodei, Palmer Luckey, Elon Musk, Bill Gates, etc etc they all seem one or the other of out of touch or unlikable or unable to connect with rapport to the general public these days

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#87
post #53

This essay kind of rubs me the wrong way. Starting from the very beginning. During my entire life I’ve only had two jobs. In the first one, I played a role in developing software to empower people through my work at Microsoft. Yikes. We all know powerful people have an incentive to whitewash their pasts but there is whitewashing and then there is whatever that is. I have to mention this because we can't forget that M…

...and this is only his professional life ;)

I heard he likes to work with professionals in his private life too.

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#88

It’s a good thoughtful piece. If I may suggest, the main problem and I mean the actual main problem are those people who underestimate the capabilities of AI. The ones who think it hallucinates all the time, unreliable and mostly useless. The average person thinks this technology is overhyped (like Emily Bender) so how would one even begin to have a conversation with them on the risks?

Can you offer you argument you would provide to those people? I use the top SOTA models for software development and it is certainly an impressive and useful function. The quality of the code is however fairly poor, explicit architectural guardrails are frequently circumvented and the "human readable" outputs are very reminiscent of gish-gallop debate strategies.

Software development, as opposed to many many other fields also offers nearly unlimited training data and is one of the few areas with modifiable inputs and testable outputs.

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#90
post #70

If all jobs are taken away for the sake of robot driven productivity, who will consume the products and services being offered that result in profit?! (EDIT: I am not against AI at all, just trying to understand where this all leads)

Please, don't ask logical questions.
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