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Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

gatesnotes.com

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Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#71

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Somehow, I don't think the people with all the money, gunmen and (soon) robots will be OK with the world you envision.

True. Expecting the super rich to be concerned a lot about the poor - especially when they aren't useful as employees, is quite a stretch.

Not useful as soldiers even, and that includes those on the enemy side.

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#73
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Taxing AI tokens and Robots is not going to work. We can’t even define a robot, tokens are also too abstract and there is endless ways of gaming it, and let’s not forget cross border operations. Tax profits, it was always the most equitable option.

I do think taxing profits is still insufficient, because unless the tax rate is close to 100% (lol) the "k-shaped" economy is still reinforced, but just slowed slightly. In combination with a wealth/holdings tax, maybe. Personally I think the idea of taxing robots/tokens directly is too narrow an idea.

It's undesirable by the companies, but it's not impossible. There's this constant talk about "Making American Great Again (Again)", but not much talk about the economic conditions that made America Great. Like high corporate tax.

That's half the battle. The other half is closing all the loopholes and making stuff that used to be illegal, illegal again (e.g. stock buybacks).

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#75

> In the United States, I’ve met families who, understandably, were overwhelmed by the process of applying for health insurance, student aid, or food assistance. Faced with a huge stack of complicated bureaucratic forms, many felt like giving up. AI can streamline things dramatically I'd love to see anyone building Grokbot or ChatGPT Work talk about how they're thinking about this use case, specifically. It seems gre…

If the goal is to make things easier for everyday Americans, replacing these with universal schemes would do that and will also prevent abuse and fraud (most of which comes down to forgetting to dot your lowercase j on work requirement form #27).

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#76
- If AI and robots are as good as Bill suggests , one can infer that AI will signal the end of cities, at least the end of megacities. If the home robot can clean and cook and also do my taxes, hair, and diagnose my health , one is more likely to escape unemployment by moving to a small town where he can find land and resources, and use robots to exploit them, just like humans have always done when economy was based in agriculture. If there is no longer a reason for people to live close together, decentralization is the most likely outcome.

- The biggest geopolitical impact will probably come from AI weapons. Just like previous shifts in weaponry caused the fall of empires , the rise of naval empires and the rise of national modern superpowers, AI may lead to the end of the UN and beginning of something new.

- Societies will change but a plan is not needed and it's most likely useless. Societies adapt , and nobody has ever been able to predict how. Let's not make the same mistake again.

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#77
> I doubt I would have put in the same work if I had had an AI companion back then. They talk to you in ways you’re already comfortable with. They don’t push you outside your comfort zone. They are always available and never get mad at you. This gives them the potential to become highly addictive and to rob us of the lessons we learn from connecting with other people.

I've been waiting for a long, long time for us to figure out how AI makes us more social, not less. Outside of memes of course.

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I love how comments that point the strong and proven connection of the OP to the Epstein islands are either dead, flagged or removed. You might be on to something here.

That particular post went well past that, into both personal attack and racism. It was very properly flagged to death.

Man you are a real defender of the honour the wealthy elite.

Re: Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here

#79

It’s a good thoughtful piece. If I may suggest, the main problem and I mean the actual main problem are those people who underestimate the capabilities of AI. The ones who think it hallucinates all the time, unreliable and mostly useless. The average person thinks this technology is overhyped (like Emily Bender) so how would one even begin to have a conversation with them on the risks?

> the actual main problem are those people who underestimate the capabilities of AI

Nope. The actual main problem are those people who totally ignore the real costs of AI.

Remind me, when was the last time when billions and trillions of dollars were spent on workers (education, healthcare, insurance, etc. all together)?

You try to compare the capabilities without comparing the costs. That won't do.

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