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Anthropic expected to tell investors it sees over $30T in potential revenue

reuters.com

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Re: Anthropic expected to tell investors it sees over $30T in potential revenue

#11
post #8

$30T seems like a lot, but Anthropic and OpenAI will need to be making ten times that to match investor expectations.

In what world is 10x US GDP, 3-4x US Marketcap, or 60x the US annual tax collection the requirement for investor expectations?

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Re: Anthropic expected to tell investors it sees over $30T in potential revenue

#12
post #2

Reuters should know better. While $30T is probably absurd, Anthropic is claiming that's the total addressable market for AI services, not that they will capture 100% of that market

I figured that’s what it was, TAM numbers in S-1 filings are always hyperbolic. AirBNB’s claimed TAM in their S-1 was over $3T.

AirBNB TTM revenue (7/25-6/26) is $13.5B, which is 0.45% of $3T.

Re: Anthropic expected to tell investors it sees over $30T in potential revenue

#15
post #2

Reuters should know better. While $30T is probably absurd, Anthropic is claiming that's the total addressable market for AI services, not that they will capture 100% of that market

I figured that’s what it was, TAM numbers in S-1 filings are always hyperbolic. AirBNB’s claimed TAM in their S-1 was over $3T. AirBNB TTM revenue (7/25-6/26) is $13.5B, which is 0.45% of $3T.

“Imagine if we capture even just 0.5% of the market!”

That feels very 2010s Silicon Valley. Simpler times.

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