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Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

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Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#391
post #113

Where Anthropic f'ed up was treating their monetization the way they treat model training. Turns out that success in experimentation is not transferrable. They have tried to find the highest that the market pays for sota models; however, on the consumer side, this is just too confusing and unsettling: "You can only use Fable for a week as a part of your plan" "Be ready! You have to start paying per token!" "Nevermind…

>You don't feel they want to give you a dependable service for an, albeit premium, price. It's a constant bargaining game We all know that the subscription prices are not at all sustainable for these providers. You all do, right? Yes, they're struggling to segment the market and find a way to make money, and that basically relies upon emptying the pockets of whales. As someone enjoying a hilariously subsidized Max pl…

I dont see why user should care. OK, they are selling at loss so that they can build a monopoly. That is not something positive or good, not something to cheer on.

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#392
post #245

There is a difference between needing frontier capability because one is solving a truly open ended problem, and needing a reliable workhorse model to do something well understood. Local models (like Qwen 3.8 27B) have gotten so good that they can do all routine tasks at a fraction of the cost of frontier models.

That model costing $3/M output tokens on Openrouter is a mystery to me.

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#393

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Funny I'm a physicist and worked as a power grid quant. Batteries aren't the answer.

This battle of giants is so interesting I can't wait for the next information-filled reply to teach me something new about the batteries vs no batteries battle. I love how both of you are arguing about what the solution is, yet the problem isn't even clearly defined yet :P

Sure, let me help.

Let P = batteries;

If (P == NP) then both are the answer.

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#394
More recently, after building something with direct chatgpt access I’m just baffled by the difference in speed between sol and opus. Opus hadn’t even finished making a plan, and sol was already done with executing. It’s like…

Then on top of that opus slurps tokens like Anthropic is afraid they’re losing money. Read 200 lines of file, +20k tokens. Excuse me?

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#395
post #27

They've put themselves in a corner. Fable was too good and they gave it away with the $20 plan. It had to be a big step from Opus 4.8 to show progress, and Opus 4.8 is GREAT at coding in many different domains. But they're getting killed on token cost. They have to get people paying more for tokens. So then they put Fable in the $200 plan and release Opus 5. I'm suspicious of Opus 5. It is mostly worse than 4.8. It _…

I'm using company Claude for work with no choice what provider I use.

I did a quickie test with Fable when they were OMG TRY IT NOW, didn't see much of a difference from Opus 4.8. Except i ran into one of their stupid security guardrails. Yes I'm doing security on the software my employer owns, silly.

Then I didn't notice the US unbanned Fable after banning it, or that they extended the "trial" Fable period where it worked on fixed price plans. Not in time to bother trying again.

After that Opus 5 showed up. Language changed, okay, I don't care much. However it seems to create busywork for itself. Spawning subagents on tasks that don't do that with 4.8. Overall taking longer.

So I'm back on pinned 4.8 and doing actual work. Main problem - for Anthropic - is it's good enough.

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#396
post #177

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As Anthropic does this, OpenAI Is giving everybody resets like every other day now on Twitter. I'm strongly considering biting the bullet and just ditching my $200/month Claude Code plan for the Codex one instead, especially because I keep running into my weekly limits (even sticking to Opus.)

I ditched Claude Code $200/month a couple of months ago in favor of Codex $200/month. The value is night and day. 1. No 5 hour usage limit 2. Weekly usage gets reset CONSTANTLY. It's crazy. The longest I've ever seen it go without a reset is maybe 5 days? 3. I don't feel like OpenAI is constantly trying to fuck with me. Unlike Anthropic. I would way rather have Sol all day every data, consistently, than a slightly be…

> The longest I've ever seen it go without a reset is maybe 5 days?

This last reset took 6’ish days. I know because I was almost out of limit.

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#397
post #102

For many coders including myself, LLM based coding agents work well enough to be useful, and in some cases worth paying for. What I don't see is vast areas of industry finding $10s to $100s of billions of value in LLMs. There's no lint or compiler that can check for correctly constructed contracts. So LLMs, which should be useful to law firms, incur a lot more manual checking of their work than coding agents. Less fo…

I have a family member that is an attorney in housing law. She claimed that LLMs are not particularly useful for her work. If she asked a simple question like, "Find all the for all 50 states," then she still has to go and check every single one of the laws. Since the legislature is modified so often, she cannot look at, say, Maryland's law and know if it the LLM output was the 1990, 2014, 2018, or 2026 version of th…

You can reproduce these results even if you're not a lawyer, if you've dabbled in any MMO that has been around for a few years and had multiple patches.

Ask any LLM about a random game mechanic and then be prepared to verify if the answer is for the patch in 2025, 2023 or 2020...

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#398
post #66

The problem is that they are not solving the problem they ought to be solving. I don't want Shakespeare, I want Bob the builder. Half of my work is telling claude how to behave. I'm pretty certain they have enough _data_ to realize people do the same thing time and time again. Check this comment of mine for a better explanation of this: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49413353

>Half of my work is telling claude how to behave Dijkstra in the Foolishness of Natural Language Programming [...] the "naturalness" with which we use our native tongues boils down to the ease with which we can use them for making statements the nonsense of which is not obvious. It may be illuminating to try to imagine what would have happened if, right from the start our native tongue would have been the only vehicl…

> Imagine if only we had languages at our fingertips whose explicit purpose was to precisely and unambiguously tell a machine what to do!

But that would require people to think! And the marketing is they don't need to do that...

Last consumer (ish!) product that required people to learn something to use it was PalmOS with Grafitti, wasn't it?

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#399
post #102

For many coders including myself, LLM based coding agents work well enough to be useful, and in some cases worth paying for. What I don't see is vast areas of industry finding $10s to $100s of billions of value in LLMs. There's no lint or compiler that can check for correctly constructed contracts. So LLMs, which should be useful to law firms, incur a lot more manual checking of their work than coding agents. Less fo…

I have a family member that is an attorney in housing law. She claimed that LLMs are not particularly useful for her work. If she asked a simple question like, "Find all the for all 50 states," then she still has to go and check every single one of the laws. Since the legislature is modified so often, she cannot look at, say, Maryland's law and know if it the LLM output was the 1990, 2014, 2018, or 2026 version of th…

This doesn’t sound as much that “LLMs can’t help me” as much as “trying to one-shot a complicated answer in a chatbot can’t help me”. Output straight from a generative model definitely should not be trusted.

But that doesn’t mean that an appropriate harness (even Claude code and a dynamic workflow) can’t complete, and validate, an answer.

Re: Anthropic's best AI model struggles to attract users as cheaper tools thrive

#400
All of the version 5s have been truly disappointing.

- Fable, nerfed or whatever, too expensive and not fully included in subscriptions.

- Opus, neurotic (excessive) slop machine.

- Sonnet, way too token hungry, cost much more than 4 series.

Their almost daily outages does improve the experience. Anthropic really have messed up this year.

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