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Universal health coverage could save $1T and 114k lives a year: study

ysph.yale.edu

511–520 of 1001 posts

Re: Universal health coverage could save $1T and 114k lives a year: study

#511
post #32

What about quality of care tradeoffs? In Canada, for example, you are forced to use the government system, and if it doesn't deem you important enough, there is no private option.

Same here in the UK. If you need to see a specialist, you regularly have to wait months, assuming you can even get a referral in the first place.

My mother needed to see a Alzheimers specialist. I called around large metro area....wait times were 6 months minimum.

Re: Universal health coverage could save $1T and 114k lives a year: study

#512
post #419

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Hospitals have an operating margin of 2-5% Very curious where this comes from and how accurate it is. For example the $37 a provider charges for an Aspirin seems like more than 2-5% margin.

Hospital billing practices are often terrible or even fraudulent, but stories about the $37 aspirin are generally misleading. Most hospital claims and bills are actually coded around day rates and DRGs, so even if the aspirin shows up as a line item it doesn't actually impact the patient's financial responsibility or the amount allowed by their health plan. (I'm not trying to defend such a confusing system, just expl…

>Most hospital claims and bills are actually coded around day rates and DRGs, so even if the aspirin shows up as a line item it doesn't actually impact the patient's financial responsibility or the amount allowed by their health plan. (I'm not trying to defend such a confusing system, just explaining how it works.)

Yep. Hospital "bills" are a fiction. On one occasion I was presented with an "Explanation of Benefits" for a hospital stay where I was "charged" for being in two hospital rooms at the same time. As if that weren't enough I was also "charged" with having a "Pap smear"[0], even though I don't have a cervix.

I complained bitterly and after making a big stink was informed by the hospital my insurer that the items weren't actually "billed". Rather, the insurance company paid $1500/day regardless of the treatment provided.

It's disgusting!

Re: Universal health coverage could save $1T and 114k lives a year: study

#513
Universal health coverage will asymptotically reach infinity costs (same as private health insurance).

This is the harsh reality. No system (private or public) can save all of the lives.

We are debating who will make the decision of who gets to get a chance to live longer.

Re: Universal health coverage could save $1T and 114k lives a year: study

#514

I'd like to believe this, but the study makes a bunch of really hasty assumptions. The authors derive the $1T number from $1.3T in total cost savings and $304B in incremental spend (incremental spend is due to insuring more people). The $1.3T in cost savings come from five big buckets: lower pharmaceutical prices, Medicare-level payments to providers, reduced administrative overhead, less fraudulent billing, and fewe…

Why is the United States the only country on Earth where free healthcare doesn't work?

Re: Universal health coverage could save $1T and 114k lives a year: study

#515

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Physician/nurse salary is not the major driver of the cost of healthcare. It's around 12-15% spending, depending on the methodology. Even if you force doctors to work for free, it won't meaningfully affect the cost. It's really the overhead costs that are so Byzantine that they can't be quantified properly. Hospitals have teams of coders, insurance companies have teams of counter-coders, physicians have to waste thei…

https://nationalhealthspending.org/ BIR is 8.5% of provider spending, once you add the multiple cells up that constitute providers. I don't think your argument is going to survive contact with the numbers here.

I just don't believe that it's correct. The Kraken hides here: Hospital Expenditures - 31.2%

I have a bit of personal experience here. I had a partner working as an endocrinologist, one of the higher-compensated medical professions. They were spending at least 1 _hour_ every day on calls with the insurance companies for prior authorization instead of seeing patients.

Some things are also weirdly broken down:

> Net Cost of Health Insurance Expenditures - 6.2% > Administration and Net Cost of Health Insurance - 7.4%

Why are they split?

I also suspect that they included some admin personnel cost in the physician/nurse salary. For my partner, their office employed a person just to deal with insurance. There is no easy way to break down these costs for small practices.

Re: Universal health coverage could save $1T and 114k lives a year: study

#516

Earlier quoted context omitted.

https://nationalhealthspending.org/ BIR is 8.5% of provider spending, once you add the multiple cells up that constitute providers. I don't think your argument is going to survive contact with the numbers here.

I just don't believe that it's correct. The Kraken hides here: Hospital Expenditures - 31.2% I have a bit of personal experience here. I had a partner working as an endocrinologist, one of the higher-compensated medical professions. They were spending at least 1 _hour_ every day on calls with the insurance companies for prior authorization instead of seeing patients. Some things are also weirdly broken down: > Net Co…

It's the CME NHE. It's literally the same data this study is based on. It's what every study of health care spending in the US is based on.

And they're not split: one row is an aggregate of subsequent rows, as you can see by simply adding them up.

This is just a colorized table view of a spreadsheet Medicare publishes every year.

Re: Universal health coverage could save $1T and 114k lives a year: study

#517
post #479

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Here you go, a recent survey: https://www.jgwentworth.com/resources/medical-emergency > The survey showed that over nine in ten (92%) of insured respondents had delayed or avoided medical care because of concern about cost. > In fact, 95% of those surveyed said a medical emergency would likely put them into serious debt even with insurance.

We want consumers to consider cost when evaluating what services to buy, though. That's a feature. The medical emergency debt statistic is just the usual thing of people not really understanding how medical insurance works.

When I’m having a heart attack, or when I’m in anaphylactic shock - you know, some of the most expensive procedures that happen - I’ll make sure to confirm the ambulance is in network, the hospital, the specific first ER doctor, the specialist, the surgeon, the lab, the lab techs, the anesthesiologists and so on, while I’m either unconscious or actively dying.

Re: Universal health coverage could save $1T and 114k lives a year: study

#518
post #18

There have been studies like this for decades, going back to at least the Clinton administration. And nothing will come of it. Too many entrenched interests, regulatory capture, and lobbying + political donations.

If spending drops by $1t, it will come out of someone's paycheck. Yes, some are greedy folks who will be just fine making 20% less a year. But many will be nurses or hospitals or some combination of providers.

That you actually believe that is so sad. No, the money would come out of the pockets of insurance CEOs.

Re: Universal health coverage could save $1T and 114k lives a year: study

#519
post #509

Earlier quoted context omitted.

One can always craft some excuse, which is how the terrible system continues to perpetuate itself. Doctors cannot even tell you how much they themselves will charge for anything . The problem I'm describing originates completely with them - no escaping blame here. (And " might take years " lol. How about eliminate whatever flagrant regulatory capture is allowing providers to create and enforce post-facto and downrigh…

Feel free to blame doctors if that makes you feel better but the reality is that in most cases they literally have no way to accurately calculate a patient's out-of-pocket cost in advance. Like there's just no technical way to do it. If you have specific suggestions for fixing the regulatory capture problem then you can submit a petition for rule making under the Administrative Procedures Act. https://www.govinfo.gov…

You keep misinterpreting "how much [a doctor] themselves will charge for something" as "patient's out-of-pocket cost". I'm certainly not asking for the doctor to get involved between the patient and their health plan [0], but rather what the doctor charges, regardless of who might pay. In other words, the straightforwardly-legible prices that exist in every other market - even markets where insurance companies often pay (eg auto repair).

I don't know the specific legal details that allow doctors to make up these post-facto bills (often fraudulent) and send them to patients, but I feel it's probably at the state level rather than federal. Also the big problem with regulatory capture is that businesses paying off politicians makes that kind of citizen feedback meaningless.

[0] in fact I think another good angle of reform would be "if a patient has a health plan, providers are prohibited from billing the patient directly". Any copays, outstanding balances, etc should flow through the health plan.

Re: Universal health coverage could save $1T and 114k lives a year: study

#520
post #507

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Exactly this. They need to offset the areas where they lose money. And we have federal laws (justifiably so, IMHO) that ERs must provide stabilizing services regardless of insurance and ability to pay. And while that law is obviously humane and reasonable, my only gripe is that the rest of our system is so backwards that it increasingly forces people to leverage that. There was a story about a woman who needed dialys…

But wouldn't nationalized healthcare help with this? The amount of uninsured individuals would drop drastically.

Nationalized healthcare might help with certain things but it can't create capacity out of thin air. Just because the government theoretically covers everyone doesn't mean that services are actually available when needed. In general the countries with the highest levels of nationalization also have the most problems with shortages. When everything comes straight out of the government budget there's always a political tendency to cut costs by reducing provider payrolls, imposing waiting lists for expensive treatments, or refusing to cover certain treatments at all.
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