All current era models overthink as it's a product of their RL incentives (or distillation of models with them...) From my reading of the Fable 5 and Opus 5 System cards, my reconstruction is something like: Finish the task → make externally observable evidence that it is finished → check your own work → fix problems → don't stop prematurely → satisfy the evaluator comprehensively. That is fantastic for SWE benchmark…
For coding, this is very interesting because the same incentives were present for humans before AI. Tech companies which had a culture of rewarding complexity would see huge Pull Requests and a lot of unnecessary complexity. I've worked in companies which would require a thousand lines of code to implement a feature which would require only a hundred or so lines at a different company. The shorter one was more reliab…
Qwen 3.8 27B is excellent, but it defaults to overthinking things
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Re: Qwen 3.8 27B is excellent, but it defaults to overthinking things
#192And before the benchmark of the finished LLM, it would be interesting to consider the techniques used by LLM producers during training to optimize the "think" chunk quality. I cannot remember any good articles about it now.
Re: Qwen 3.8 27B is excellent, but it defaults to overthinking things
#193“The fact that a 17GB file can do all of this stuff on my home machines is a miracle. Once again, I’m delighted and amazed at how much progress local models have made this year.” I think that should be the blinking headline - this shows what can be done with consumer hardware.
For me that moment was Gemma 4 12B QAT. You're not suddenly going to start throwing your hardest programming problems at Gemma 4 12B QAT, it is still 15B parameters less. It's more that, aside from pelican art which isn't what local models are for, I didn't see anything on Simon's post that it couldn't assist with or largely succeed at. It can run 80-100t/s on a laptop, can understand images natively and do bounding…
Re: Qwen 3.8 27B is excellent, but it defaults to overthinking things
#194“The fact that a 17GB file can do all of this stuff on my home machines is a miracle. Once again, I’m delighted and amazed at how much progress local models have made this year.” I think that should be the blinking headline - this shows what can be done with consumer hardware.
Re: Qwen 3.8 27B is excellent, but it defaults to overthinking things
#195"The models at this size continue to get better at an impressive rate. We don’t need to spend half a million dollars on datacenter-class hardware just to run a competent model."
Re: Qwen 3.8 27B is excellent, but it defaults to overthinking things
#196Earlier quoted context omitted.
I mean, I might be missing something, but isn't part of the idea with cloud infra that you can scale down as well? Large orgs with significant demand might go out and buy local LLM hardware, but most businesses probably don't want to bother dropping $2k on a box with a beefy GPU and would rather just pay the lowest subscription tier so their employees can occasionally make queries. Plus, you know, the whole economies…
I'm pretty sure a small-to-medium org has plenty of things that could be queued/scheduled to run when there is downtime. It requires some planning and thought though and I don't think most orgs are there yet.
Seriously, you can do years of Deepseek inference for the hardware to run just 1 or 2 requests against a slower, dumbed down model on your own hardware.
It makes no sense to buy hardware right now, when the price is completely disconnected from any material reality. It's much better to use the cloud providers VC funding by using their cheap as F offering. Either AI becomes less useful, or hardware costs come down. Either way, you'll be in a better position in 3 years than you are today.
Re: Qwen 3.8 27B is excellent, but it defaults to overthinking things
#197Re: Qwen 3.8 27B is excellent, but it defaults to overthinking things
#198Earlier quoted context omitted.
It should just about be usable in 32GB.
RAM is never the issue, it's always the compute power
Re: Qwen 3.8 27B is excellent, but it defaults to overthinking things
#199Re: Qwen 3.8 27B is excellent, but it defaults to overthinking things
#200Earlier quoted context omitted.
Indeed. LLMs resemble human intelligence in more or less the same way that the output of the TI-99/4A speech synthesizer resembles a human voice.
Not if an LLM over chat can fool most people they're talking to a human (which it can), where the TI-99 speech synthesizer voice absolutely can not.