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Super El Niño Keeps Growing as New Forecasts Reach Record Territory Ahead Winter

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71–80 of 401 posts

Re: Super El Niño Keeps Growing as New Forecasts Reach Record Territory Ahead Winter

#71

All we needed to do was stop burning fossil fuels we really are fucking dense.

Ah yes it could have been so easy: All we needed to do was convince everyone in the world to behave a certain way.

individual people don't matter, they're peanuts. otoh the single biggest consumer of fossil fuels is the US DOD. and why is that, really?

Re: Super El Niño Keeps Growing as New Forecasts Reach Record Territory Ahead Winter

#72
post #70
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

Your linked figure confirms that 2018 was cooler than things are today. The chapter 11 temperature over view is concerning for the consequences: The frequency and intensity of hot extremes will continue to increase and those of cold extremes will continue to decrease, at global and continental scales and in nearly all inhabited regions with increasing global warming levels. This will be the case even if global warmin…

> Your linked figure confirms that 2018 was cooler than things are today.

So? what does that have to do with the question at hand? An 8 year change is irrelevant in the world of climate science. It's statistical noise in a system where cycles run for decades. Weather, not climate.

> The chapter 11 temperature over view is concerning for the consequences:

...and then you quote the part that says exactly what I explained to you, as some kind of counter-argument?

You will note that the part you quoted is, again, combining the types of extremes. They're not talking about just hot days.

I honestly do not understand this need to fatalize data. You don't have a counterargument (because what I said was factually true) so your only rebuttal is to wave your hands and say that it's all scary.

We can be honest -- the world is getting warmer -- and admit when the people predicting imminent death and destruction are exaggerating. This is good!

Re: Super El Niño Keeps Growing as New Forecasts Reach Record Territory Ahead Winter

#73
post #52

All we needed to do was stop burning fossil fuels we really are fucking dense.

If only China and US could get their shit together....

https://apnews.com/article/wind-solar-energy-china-climate-c...

Republicans are the bad guys right now.

Re: Super El Niño Keeps Growing as New Forecasts Reach Record Territory Ahead Winter

#74
post #6

People really don’t appreciate yet. How really bad this situation is and will be. They’re talking about 1.76°C higher temperatures next year because of this El Niño. Those are climate change temperatures that are not supposed to be around until 2035. So it’ll give us a sneak peek into our future. But the biggest effect and this is noted by many insurance companies now is going to be in places like India. But this is…

The future will be much worse. Some effects take years or decades to manifest and we wont see them during a relatively short event like El Niño.

Eg: the severe disruption of the jet stream or the collapse of the AMOC.

Plus all the long term feedbacks like methane etc.

Re: Super El Niño Keeps Growing as New Forecasts Reach Record Territory Ahead Winter

#76
post #69

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I think energy production would be much more abundant and directly in control of the people if governments stopped... Lots of people pat themselves on the back for (correctly) believing that climate change is real. Why is it so hard for people to also believe that regulatory capture and oligarchy are real, and directly responsible for the lack of action against climate change ? Think of all the for-profit power uti…

I'm pretty sure that GP agrees with you on this point? You just cut off the rest of their quote where they point that out.

Do they?

Unless stuff like "Why not give solar an advantage..." is a rhetorical question with the answer of "Because lots of current billionaires would make less money", I don't think they are pointing out the same stuff I said.

Re: Super El Niño Keeps Growing as New Forecasts Reach Record Territory Ahead Winter

#77
post #18

The strongest El Niño ever caused a massive famine: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1877%E2%80%931878_El_Ni%C3%B1o...

To be fair, we didn't have the World Food Programme in 1877 which lets us anticipate droughts distribution and crop failures months ahead of time.

That being said, the existing energy crisis and fertilizer crisis can significantly compound the negative impacts of this El Niño even if we are able to anticipate it.

Re: Super El Niño Keeps Growing as New Forecasts Reach Record Territory Ahead Winter

#78
post #68
post #52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If only China and US could get their shit together....

China is the only country that is seriously doing anything about anything. They've single handedly built more renewable energy capacity than every other country combined, they've pulled millions of diesel and gasoline cars off roads, reforested one of the world's biggest deserts, this year they've finally reduced coal usage, and next year the long awaited Tokamak is set to fire for the first time. The US is busy send…

And with that they built the manufacturing engine that is supplying the rest of the world with renewable tech

Re: Super El Niño Keeps Growing as New Forecasts Reach Record Territory Ahead Winter

#79
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ah yes it could have been so easy: All we needed to do was convince everyone in the world to behave a certain way.

Most people agree on basic values. It's really not that big a stretch to appeal to such common values, seeing as rapid global warming would cause mass relocation, suffering, adaptation costs for those who can stay put, etc.

Considering how current world powers are heavily increasing military spending as well as the heavy rightward shift in many governments, I'm no longer convinced we'll do the right thing. It feels more and more like poor countries will be left to fend for themselves, so the "developed world" can plunder the remains to prop ourselves up just a bit longer.

Re: Super El Niño Keeps Growing as New Forecasts Reach Record Territory Ahead Winter

#80
post #21
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It was inevitable we'd get to the point where climate change began substantially disrupting ecology and human livelihoods. Looks like we're ahead of schedule. People dying from extreme heatwaves, weather, and famines due to climate change has been predicted for decades at this point; and this is exactly the sort of climatic setup that will enable this to happen.

> People dying from extreme heatwaves, weather, and famines due to climate change has been predicted for decades at this point; and this is exactly the sort of climatic setup that will enable this to happen. The rhetoric is all well and good, but if you look at the numbers according to the WMO[0], deaths from climate-related hazards have been dropping steadily in the 50-year period from 1970 to 2019, even as atmosphe…

all airconditioning brands had massive uptick in sales in Europe; Spain and other southern countries over 100%. what anti air conditioning sentiment?
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