Live data from Hacker News

The Gargantuan Lie That Is Collapsing the Climate

currentaffairs.org

201–210 of 212 posts

Re: The Gargantuan Lie That Is Collapsing the Climate

#201

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The report does include a >50% human mortality extreme category and the author of the article is referring to a separate report suggesting 3°C is much more likely than expected. I think it's pretty reasonable to think that an extreme climate would cause extreme mortality. The report is pretty confusing to digest. But because you think that particular consequence is overstated in the article, you're suggesting that th…

> I think it's pretty reasonable to think that an extreme climate would cause extreme mortality. Classic equivocation fallacy on the word “extreme” in two different contexts. If our arguments are so transparently wrong, it makes it easier to dismiss climate change. > So, are you suggesting that we actually have plenty of time to deal with climate change As Babbage put it, I am not able rightly to apprehend the kind o…

The article is about not having time to waste. It is not about the expectation of what might happen at the extreme. I understand it's easier to dismiss and point out an equivocation fallacy than to discuss the main position of the article.

As T.S Eliot put it, humankind cannot bear very much reality.

Re: The Gargantuan Lie That Is Collapsing the Climate

#202
post #195
post #194

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Nowadays, a farmer who can't grow crops anymore doesn't necessarily have to find a farm elsewhere, but could also move to a nearby city and work in a factory. That option is enticing enough for many that they'll choose it even when their farm is doing fine. Agricultural employment is generally on a downward trend. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.AGR.EMPL.ZS?most_rec... You may wonder where that city is going…

Canada expand agriculture. Where? Certainly not to land up north. Growing seasons are bracketed by more than just land and temperature. It's also bracketed by sunlight. Very little will grow north. (22 hour long summer days for a one month period doesn't equate to six months of sunlight half the day. It just doesn't work that way.)

Even though I agree that what the other commenter is saying is a fever dream, I do have to note that crops grow great in Norway and Sweden... so it's at least a little to do with temperature, surely.

Re: The Gargantuan Lie That Is Collapsing the Climate

#203
post #195
post #194

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Nowadays, a farmer who can't grow crops anymore doesn't necessarily have to find a farm elsewhere, but could also move to a nearby city and work in a factory. That option is enticing enough for many that they'll choose it even when their farm is doing fine. Agricultural employment is generally on a downward trend. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.AGR.EMPL.ZS?most_rec... You may wonder where that city is going…

Canada expand agriculture. Where? Certainly not to land up north. Growing seasons are bracketed by more than just land and temperature. It's also bracketed by sunlight. Very little will grow north. (22 hour long summer days for a one month period doesn't equate to six months of sunlight half the day. It just doesn't work that way.)

The duration between the equinoxes is the same six months everywhere on earth. 22-hour days are balanced out by 2-hour days, not a smaller number of days with more than 12 hours of daylight. Of course plants that need, say, 10 hours of light for 9 continuous months to mature would be in trouble, but a lot more could grow closer to the poles if it were warmer. A lot more did grow closer to the poles during the Early Eocene Climatic Optimum. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Early_Eocene_Climatic_Optimum#...

Re: The Gargantuan Lie That Is Collapsing the Climate

#204
post #195

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Canada expand agriculture. Where? Certainly not to land up north. Growing seasons are bracketed by more than just land and temperature. It's also bracketed by sunlight. Very little will grow north. (22 hour long summer days for a one month period doesn't equate to six months of sunlight half the day. It just doesn't work that way.)

Even though I agree that what the other commenter is saying is a fever dream, I do have to note that crops grow great in Norway and Sweden... so it's at least a little to do with temperature, surely.

That's a good point. So then what makes it a fever dream?

Re: The Gargantuan Lie That Is Collapsing the Climate

#205
post #175

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The report does include a >50% human mortality extreme category and the author of the article is referring to a separate report suggesting 3°C is much more likely than expected. I think it's pretty reasonable to think that an extreme climate would cause extreme mortality. The report is pretty confusing to digest. But because you think that particular consequence is overstated in the article, you're suggesting that th…

> I think it's pretty reasonable to think that an extreme climate would cause extreme mortality. Is this the standard of evidence we want to use to develop policies that will upend economies and impact the lives of billions of people? "It sounds about right"?

So just crack on with a +3 degree rise.

So much for human ingenuity, when being able to buy plastic shit on amazon is prized over having a temperate world.

We wouldn’t want anything to threaten the line going up.

Re: The Gargantuan Lie That Is Collapsing the Climate

#206
post #82

I wondered where this article got the idea that "half the planet" would die "in 26 years or less" with 3°C of warming. It appears to be a misreading of the table in https://actuaries.org.uk/media/ni4erlna/planetary-solvency.p... "Figure 12: Planetary solvency risk impact and likelihood definitions (illustrative)" qualified by "A risk impact matrix is a methodology for ranking potential impacts, not a prediction or ce…

Thank you for putting this here. While I do believe in climate change, I could not finish reading the article as it seemed like the authors opinions are led more by emotions rather than facts. And gourds.

An emotional reaction is rational.

Re: The Gargantuan Lie That Is Collapsing the Climate

#207
post #203
post #195

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Canada expand agriculture. Where? Certainly not to land up north. Growing seasons are bracketed by more than just land and temperature. It's also bracketed by sunlight. Very little will grow north. (22 hour long summer days for a one month period doesn't equate to six months of sunlight half the day. It just doesn't work that way.)

The duration between the equinoxes is the same six months everywhere on earth. 22-hour days are balanced out by 2-hour days, not a smaller number of days with more than 12 hours of daylight. Of course plants that need, say, 10 hours of light for 9 continuous months to mature would be in trouble, but a lot more could grow closer to the poles if it were warmer. A lot more did grow closer to the poles during the Early E…

This is a classic example of book knowledge, and reality.

The type of light is important. Days of sunlight mean little, if the sun barely gets more than a few degrees above the horizon. And our human bred crops? Well, we'd need to take time to even hope to adapt them.

They are very coddled, and need loadd of sun.

Re: The Gargantuan Lie That Is Collapsing the Climate

#208
post #195

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Canada expand agriculture. Where? Certainly not to land up north. Growing seasons are bracketed by more than just land and temperature. It's also bracketed by sunlight. Very little will grow north. (22 hour long summer days for a one month period doesn't equate to six months of sunlight half the day. It just doesn't work that way.)

Even though I agree that what the other commenter is saying is a fever dream, I do have to note that crops grow great in Norway and Sweden... so it's at least a little to do with temperature, surely.

There's North and then there's North. Canada already uses all the sensible land to use.

Re: The Gargantuan Lie That Is Collapsing the Climate

#209

> This massive lie can best be summed up as “when it comes to climate change... we have more time.” This time we have no more time but 25 years ago when we had no more time it was true? Or we've never had more time?

Alternatively, think of an alcoholic telling his doctor ‘you told me to stop drinking 5 years ago but i’m still fine’

It’s a slow train, but the damage is cumulative and it will get us eventually.

Re: The Gargantuan Lie That Is Collapsing the Climate

#210
post #173

Bullshit alarmism like this helps no one.

Just because it makes you feel uncomfortable doesn’t mean it’s bullshit.

Global economy could face 50% loss in GDP between 2070 and 2090 from climate shocks, say actuaries

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jan/16/economic...

German scientists warn global warming is accelerating faster than expected, raising the risk of a 3 °C rise by 2050 https://worldcrunch.com/focus/green-or-gone/global-warming-a...

Post reply on HN