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Adults over 65 will outnumber children by 2029

eco3min.fr

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Re: Adults over 65 will outnumber children by 2029

#13

>As the ratio of working-age adults (18–64) to older adults falls from about 3.4 today toward roughly 2.4 by 2060, the arithmetic that supports those programs tightens, all else equal. On this reading, the chart is an argument for some combination of higher productivity, longer working lives, higher fertility, or higher immigration to widen the working-age base. Or spend less.

Not gonna happen.

Re: Adults over 65 will outnumber children by 2029

#14
post #11

So a lot of problems will be solved by 2049 (overpopulation) and probably many others will arise (we never had worldwide decreasing demographics.)

Overpopulation is not solved. Many African and Middle Eastern cultures continue to have half a dozen children per wife.

Re: Adults over 65 will outnumber children by 2029

#16
post #11

So a lot of problems will be solved by 2049 (overpopulation) and probably many others will arise (we never had worldwide decreasing demographics.)

Overpopulation is not solved. Many African and Middle Eastern cultures continue to have half a dozen children per wife.

I don’t get this, doesn’t proof of an aging global population imply that overpopulation is solving itself? Also is it really that big of an issue? I’ve only heard bill gates talking about it, not sure what it’s got to do with that geezer tbh

Re: Adults over 65 will outnumber children by 2029

#17
post #15
post #12

This has to slow stock market growth, right? Less young people buying, more older people selling.

Most stock market trades aren't made by people, but by institutional money. That ain't going nowhere.

The institutions exist for people to do things like retire.

Re: Adults over 65 will outnumber children by 2029

#18
post #11

So a lot of problems will be solved by 2049 (overpopulation) and probably many others will arise (we never had worldwide decreasing demographics.)

Overpopulation is not solved. Many African and Middle Eastern cultures continue to have half a dozen children per wife.

> Overpopulation is not solved. Many African and Middle Eastern cultures continue to have a dozen children per wife.

It will be (eventually) when the worldwide birth rate drop below replacement. And it's close to that now: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN.

Re: Adults over 65 will outnumber children by 2029

#19
post #6
post #4

GOOD. We’ve done well to keep everyone alive. All that’s left is to implement sensible economic policies that allow normal folk to start families

But the people disinterested in starting families (boomers, genx) are going to be the majority of the voting base? We've already seen 20 years of policy driven by people who don't care about families being started.

What? If boomers and genx weren't interested in starting families, where did the generations after them come from?

Re: Adults over 65 will outnumber children by 2029

#20
post #16

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Overpopulation is not solved. Many African and Middle Eastern cultures continue to have half a dozen children per wife.

I don’t get this, doesn’t proof of an aging global population imply that overpopulation is solving itself? Also is it really that big of an issue? I’ve only heard bill gates talking about it, not sure what it’s got to do with that geezer tbh

> is it really that big of an issue?

Yes, because the aging population increases healthcare spending to support them while the working age population shrinks, eroding the tax base. This is currently happening in Japan right now.

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