For those who don't know what's going on in Korea, KOSPI is up 3x in the last year and a large amount of HBM employees have made huge amounts of bonus pay. This has led to an insane FOMO frenzy in a society that's already very competitive. Add to that, stock gains in Korea are often used to finance housing purchases (or real estate investment) so many retail investors are scared of being "locked out" of housing (whic…
I wish we had a word for this, where everyone’s getting rich, there’s a run on stocks, but prices of assets are all going up. Some people are missing out completely whereas a select few hoard wealth in other forms. And of course the government starting to notice and trying to intervene.
After Losses, Retail Investors Flock to 3x Leverage as 2x Product Are Restricted
91–100 of 129 posts
Re: After Losses, Retail Investors Flock to 3x Leverage as 2x Product Are Restricted
#92Earlier quoted context omitted.
Social status is a big part of what makes a person attractive especially if you're a man.
Sure, but - by definition - half the population is below average social status. At least here in the US, those people are still partnering up.
So in practice 80% or so of the population is below "average social status". People who don't absolutely need to pair up (historically women can't earn, but require, money and men can't take care of a home/place to sleep, but have to), will refuse to pair up with someone below their signaled social status. In other words: there are TWO average social statuses. First, there is what people believe their own social status is. Second there is what people, on average, see as others social status.
In a "natural" human society, it's basically impossible for anyone over 25 or so to "pair up", unless they have a partner, which is not common at all. Since social status ALSO determines the distribution of food, at that point the first real period of weakness (you get sick, you hurt your leg, you ...) is the end. You can delay this by forming cliques, but not by that much.
Oh and of course, that has an analog in our society. Look how much a plumber gets paid (ie. it's pretty disappointing), despite the shortage. There are low status and high status jobs, and even where it doesn't make sense they determine pay. E.g. there are a lot of cities with a total glut of lawyers ... it makes no sense to give 7 figure wages for people when 70% of whom can't find work, but we do. By contrast there is an incredible shortage of construction workers, and still they're not paid half what a lawyer gets. Rather we'll get immigrants to do it. Why? Because a great many people would rather signal that they're above manual labor than get 7 figures a year.
In other words: I will live in destitution rather than admit I'm low social status, even if low social status would pay well.
Oh and don't forget credit cards: 80%+ of people worldwide consider feeling rich (and showing off) more important than, ironically, money. Note also the many complaints about the economy, which are never about having or not having money, the big complaint seen everywhere is that people who don't have money "feel poor". One might think it should be perfectly normal to not have money and feel poor.
Which also is the big lesson in investment that's coming up: countries will raise inflation to any level rather than cut expenditures. That's how we got to 20% inflation in the 80s. That's how Argentina or even Zimbabwe got there. Ie: when we're getting close to that point, for the love of God, don't buy government bonds.
Preventing obvious human habits from destroying us seems to me the best reason to really give developing AI your best effort. Because the whole "job destruction" argument has a hole in it you could fit a planet through: people don't want to do the destroyed jobs. What do you think is the best: AI taking jobs? Or, that we force young people into nursing, plumbing, construction, ... through more and more extreme measures and making everyone a lot poorer? That's how the system rebalances after all, make people poorer until the plumbing gets done.
Those are the choices. AI it is. At least for me.
Re: After Losses, Retail Investors Flock to 3x Leverage as 2x Product Are Restricted
#93Earlier quoted context omitted.
If China takes over Taiwan, TMSC's assets are being reduced to rubble before Taiwan's first shot back.
> reduced to rubble By whom? China would be mad to destroy the most valuable building on that island. I doubt Taiwain would bomb themselves. I can't see anyone in the US acting like this either.
Re: After Losses, Retail Investors Flock to 3x Leverage as 2x Product Are Restricted
#94Are other countries like the West where 'markets' (equities, derivatives, prediction) have a wide ranging pervasive effect on culture?
Do you consider South Korea the "West"?
> It is also used despite many developed countries or regions not being culturally Western (e.g. Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Macao)
Re: After Losses, Retail Investors Flock to 3x Leverage as 2x Product Are Restricted
#95For those who don't know what's going on in Korea, KOSPI is up 3x in the last year and a large amount of HBM employees have made huge amounts of bonus pay. This has led to an insane FOMO frenzy in a society that's already very competitive. Add to that, stock gains in Korea are often used to finance housing purchases (or real estate investment) so many retail investors are scared of being "locked out" of housing (whic…
I wish we had a word for this, where everyone’s getting rich, there’s a run on stocks, but prices of assets are all going up. Some people are missing out completely whereas a select few hoard wealth in other forms. And of course the government starting to notice and trying to intervene.
Re: After Losses, Retail Investors Flock to 3x Leverage as 2x Product Are Restricted
#96Re: After Losses, Retail Investors Flock to 3x Leverage as 2x Product Are Restricted
#97Re: After Losses, Retail Investors Flock to 3x Leverage as 2x Product Are Restricted
#98"Smart men go broke three ways: liquor, ladies, and leverage." -- Charlie Munger (Which is not to imply that these are smart men).
Some time ago it occurred to me that you can't just spend extreme amounts of money. You can only lose it by gambling. In a casino, on investment or on business, it doesn't matter.
Re: After Losses, Retail Investors Flock to 3x Leverage as 2x Product Are Restricted
#99Earlier quoted context omitted.
Some time ago it occurred to me that you can't just spend extreme amounts of money. You can only lose it by gambling. In a casino, on investment or on business, it doesn't matter.
Investment or business do also have some gambling factors in it. And both usually cost extreme amounts of money to get started. However, I found that if the bar of doing business is high enough, "investing" in stock market maybe safer than start a proper business. Because if a business failed, you likely lost a huge amount wealth, including everything you put into the business and maybe more. Whereas if you buy stock…
Re: After Losses, Retail Investors Flock to 3x Leverage as 2x Product Are Restricted
#100Earlier quoted context omitted.
If China takes over Taiwan, TMSC's assets are being reduced to rubble before Taiwan's first shot back.
> reduced to rubble By whom? China would be mad to destroy the most valuable building on that island. I doubt Taiwain would bomb themselves. I can't see anyone in the US acting like this either.