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I am retiring from fulltime writing (& pseudonymity) to launch Guardian Angel

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Re: I am retiring from fulltime writing (& pseudonymity) to launch Guardian Angel

#61
post #30

As exciting as it sounds, but "As a constraint, a GA designer should aim at a system which costs, as of mid-2026, >$1,000⧸month" will make this an elite tool for the privileged. I don't even disagree with the premise that people are shocked if something costs no matter how much value it delivers, nor do I suggest they should make it cheaper. It is just the realization that AI will accelerate the widening of the gap b…

2026: $1,000/month 2027: $100/month 2028: $10/month

this is not how it's going to go if OpenAI and Anthropic get their way and the US outlaws use of open-weight models

Re: I am retiring from fulltime writing (& pseudonymity) to launch Guardian Angel

#63
post #56
post #47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Just because the hardware and inference costs may decrease in the future doesn't mean prices will. The AI vendor market is the furthest thing from a competitive industry where there are limited barriers to entry and new market entrants exert downward pressure on prices and profit margins. Every single company in this market is losing billions on this business, and the only way to make it back is to acquire paying cus…

Since Guardian Angel is an inference vendor [1] hopefully they will set sustainable prices from day one so they don't need to increase prices later. [1] The announcement explains that they can't use APIs for privacy reasons.

They don't control that. Pricing is controlled by the question of when RAM is once again made of semiconductors instead of unobtainium.

Re: I am retiring from fulltime writing (& pseudonymity) to launch Guardian Angel

#66
post #36

> The big AI labs are building a single mind for everyone Reminds me of Pluribus (I just started watching it on Apple TV so maybe this is a late realization for me)

I watched it maybe 12 months ago and had a similar 'parallel to AI' realisation.

A singular voice for all of humanity.

Gives me the creepy-shivers.

Re: I am retiring from fulltime writing (& pseudonymity) to launch Guardian Angel

#67
post #41

A few snippets from his full post here: https://gwern.net/guardian-angel . > "The chatbot personas are deeply misaligned with you, and aligned with their owners; and the economic incentives are to farm you with ads and subscriptions, while racing not to amplify you but to replace you." > "On my visits to the Bay Area, I would ask AI researchers or interns why they are doing their current research or projects, when in…

Leaving AI completely aside, it still amazes me that people finds "novel" the idea of removing highly-paid white collar intellectual workers (software developers or otherwise) completely out of the loop. No-code platforms date back to the 80's. Getting rid of engineers in general is even older [*]. Even relational databases and SQL were initially promoted as "ways to get rid of those expensive programmers to access y…

To colaborate a bit with the no-code part, I worked at a place where they had some flows made with n8n, but the last one from non tech/software engineering left the company and left a bunch of flows breaking, because of some edge cases the flows aren't handling like reissuing credentials, throtling or bad input. The people dependent of said flows reached out to the engineering team to help fix them!

Re: I am retiring from fulltime writing (& pseudonymity) to launch Guardian Angel

#68

LLM psychosis claims another victim... A reminder for anyone reading this: talk to people. Real humans[1]. They will remind you there's more to life than what ChatGPT can offer you. They might even remind you, for all their stupidity and flaws, what intelligence looks like as compared to a program that predicts tokens. Forums like these always get philosophical in high-minded discussions about intelligence, but there…

Did you even read Gwern's Guardian Angels post? It literally describes the concern pointed out here, that the large consumer models are not aligned with users' interests. If anything, I would argue that Gwern has maximal AI Lucidity, given everything going on.

Re: I am retiring from fulltime writing (& pseudonymity) to launch Guardian Angel

#69
Feels like the future that Accelerando (predicted / foretold?) describes is in its infancy, whereby automation/AI has the capability (and therefore uses it) to evolve at a rate beyond the ability for humans to, not just keep up with, but even comprehend; the vile offspring. And the different factions within humanity that this creates.

Re: I am retiring from fulltime writing (& pseudonymity) to launch Guardian Angel

#70
post #36

> The big AI labs are building a single mind for everyone Reminds me of Pluribus (I just started watching it on Apple TV so maybe this is a late realization for me)

> Reminds me of Pluribus - I just started watching it It is astoundingly good. A contender for the best show I've ever seen (and I saw the 1st run of Star Trek TOS).

It's a well-made show, for sure. Expertly crafted, visually, and very well-acted. Though I found the pacing questionable - there were (generously) 6 episodes worth of plot spread out over a 9-episode season.
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