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The Dunning-Kruger effect may just be a data artefact (2020)

mcgill.ca

101–110 of 191 posts

Re: The Dunning-Kruger effect may just be a data artefact (2020)

#101

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's called "engineer's disease" which is pretty appropriate for this community: https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/engineer%27s_disease

My experience has been that this isn't limited to engineers. I'm sure most people here have had people from other departments tell them how they need to do their jobs in one way or another. For example, there are always at least a few people who you have to consult regularly because their tickets are always written how they perceive a problem should be solved rather than explaining the underlying problem to be solved…

Medical doctors and physicists also regularly suffer from this. It’s more of a disease of expertise in general, it seems.

Re: The Dunning-Kruger effect may just be a data artefact (2020)

#103
post #27
post #10

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem is that the original formulation was "most people" are unaware of being unskilled, but by now the name is used to mean "some group of people" is unaware of being unskilled. In that sense the article confirms that “a small number are", 5-6%, and therefore the effect exists in the colloquial sense but not in the scientific sense. Mentioning the Dunning-Krueger effect incorrectly is wonderfully meta...

I've seen at least 3 different ideas on this topic: - people not skilled in a thing are bad at estimating their skills - people are generally bad at estimating their skills - people skilled in a particular areas often feel they are intellectually fit in other areas Out of these three I feel like there's some truth in it, at least anecdotally.

RationalWiki calls the third one 'Ultracrepidarianism', and says it's rather common with engineers in general:

https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Ultracrepidarianism

(the Wikipedia article has that as a subheading on the Ne supra crepidam page instead: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ne_supra_crepidam#Ultracrepida...)

But I'd say it's a subtype of the Dunning-Krueger effect rather than part of the general definition.

Personally I've always thought of Dunning-Krueger as an extension of the first definition here. Newbies/amateurs overestimating their skills and experts underestimating them, though I feel like the second definition is probably more true of human behaviour.

Re: The Dunning-Kruger effect may just be a data artefact (2020)

#104
post #10
post #4

It’s obviously real, at least as used in conversation, whether it meets some rigorous definition I’m sure there’s an out, but we’ve all known these people. With vibe coding they’re everywhere. Is this going to be a modern “begging the question” where everyone knows what you mean but someone pipes up that actually the technical meaning is different?

The problem is that the original formulation was "most people" are unaware of being unskilled, but by now the name is used to mean "some group of people" is unaware of being unskilled. In that sense the article confirms that “a small number are", 5-6%, and therefore the effect exists in the colloquial sense but not in the scientific sense. Mentioning the Dunning-Krueger effect incorrectly is wonderfully meta...

I think it's beautiful irony that many people have the dunning-kruger effect specifically concerning the dunning-kruger effect itself

Re: The Dunning-Kruger effect may just be a data artefact (2020)

#105
post #15

Replication crisis. More than half of all psychology studies are not reproducible. I'm at the point honestly, where I don't even consider psychology to be a science anymore.

If you ever took psych 101, it was immediately obvious it's mostly horse shit. Made up nonsense theory, with studies that have few participants and are done by people who don't know math.

It’s mostly just window dressing on blaming your parents.

Re: The Dunning-Kruger effect may just be a data artefact (2020)

#106

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's called "engineer's disease" which is pretty appropriate for this community: https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/engineer%27s_disease

My experience has been that this isn't limited to engineers. I'm sure most people here have had people from other departments tell them how they need to do their jobs in one way or another. For example, there are always at least a few people who you have to consult regularly because their tickets are always written how they perceive a problem should be solved rather than explaining the underlying problem to be solved…

I'd say celebrities and creatives in general are often big offenders here too. Lots of actors/athletes/musicians acting like being good at what they do means they're also qualified to talk about science and engineering. And a lot of reviewers, documentary creators and specialist writers that decide to wade into discussions about topics they have no knowledge of/cover something they're new to, only to look ridiculously out of touch as a result.

See the Nostalgia Critic review of the Wall. Or the Alex Meyers review of Obsession.

Re: The Dunning-Kruger effect may just be a data artefact (2020)

#109
post #10
post #4

It’s obviously real, at least as used in conversation, whether it meets some rigorous definition I’m sure there’s an out, but we’ve all known these people. With vibe coding they’re everywhere. Is this going to be a modern “begging the question” where everyone knows what you mean but someone pipes up that actually the technical meaning is different?

The problem is that the original formulation was "most people" are unaware of being unskilled, but by now the name is used to mean "some group of people" is unaware of being unskilled. In that sense the article confirms that “a small number are", 5-6%, and therefore the effect exists in the colloquial sense but not in the scientific sense. Mentioning the Dunning-Krueger effect incorrectly is wonderfully meta...

It can be true tho. You might be genuinely skilled in one domain and realize the extent of your skill, while being over-confident in one you have little experience.

I also noticed people really successful at one thing tend to underestimate other domains, either thinking they are easy or that they can have meaningful input while being essentially novice (see any time Musk opens his mouth for example)

Re: The Dunning-Kruger effect may just be a data artefact (2020)

#110

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's called "engineer's disease" which is pretty appropriate for this community: https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/engineer%27s_disease

Well, if I'm systems engineer and everything that exists can be modelled as a system...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_the_instrument
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