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My master plan for revolutionizing the future of publishing

marco.org

21–29 of 29 posts

Re: My master plan for revolutionizing the future of publishing

#21

How much of the 'future of publishing' discussions do you think are driven purely by ardent desire not to lose the status quo? I mean, it seems to me that looking at it objectively, the future is very self-evident. What product did publishers provide? Among other things, their business model was completely built upon distribution being a valuable service and the entire industry being impossible without it. This made…

While I agree with many of your thoughts on distribution losing its value, as someone in book publishing, I would argue that aggregation, though not in the exact same sense in which you use it, has always been and continues to be the special, important, and valuable product that publishers provide.

A lot of your insights make a tremendous amount of sense from the writer's/journalist's perspective, as in, 'what can I get out of my publisher, since I can distribute my content so easily... only their marketing team is valuable to me now, and they're not tremendously good at their jobs anyway.'

I think a good objection to raise to that way of looking at the situation is that we should really be considering the value of publishers from the consumer's perspective.

'The future of publishing' discussions are driven not only by some weird desire for the status quo (which can be found in any industry) but, in my experience, also by the huge fear that we will be living in a world in which there are no gatekeepers. The stodgy traditional industry chugs on because it serves as a quality stamp. I don't mean to just cite anecdotal experience but it's pretty clear to me that the majority of self-published 'journalism' is simply not up to the level of say, The Economist, and I know that the Amazon self-published scene is full of both unreadable, horribly formatted, typo-heavy books and straight up nutjobs, which doesn't happen too often in the big six. Another way of saying this, if I haven't gotten the point across, is that publishers DO find journalists and manage logistics for journalists. They also give them a soapbox that has a big stamp on it that reads, 'trust us, she's a great writer. All this stuff is true.' So yes, I do fear a world in which anyone can become a 'journalist.'

Re: My master plan for revolutionizing the future of publishing

#22
Imagine a platform for curating or writing your own intelligent magazine that edits itself autonomously to match the interests of every individual user. Now imagine a publishing network that users social filtering to identify the best articles and publications. Add adaptive web design never achieved before and you get NOOWIT.com (coming soon to change online publishing history).

Re: My master plan for revolutionizing the future of publishing

#23
post #9

How much of the 'future of publishing' discussions do you think are driven purely by ardent desire not to lose the status quo? I mean, it seems to me that looking at it objectively, the future is very self-evident. What product did publishers provide? Among other things, their business model was completely built upon distribution being a valuable service and the entire industry being impossible without it. This made…

> Now, distribution is a worthless service. Worthless? Distribution is about more than just shuffling bits from point A to point B. For one, it requires an building an audience.

Building an audience is not distribution. That's a separate service. Distribution is, by definition, just shuffling bits from point A to point B. This was for the longest time the single most valuable product the publishers offered both to consumers AND to journalists (most people seem to ignore that employers are required to provide a service to their employees in order to be able to obtain their services at a rate low enough that they can profit from it).

Building an audience is now handled by search engines and somewhat by marketing services... marketing services operate on a flat rate, not taking royalties let alone the 90%+ cut publishers want, and the sheer scale and reach of the Internet makes building an audience not terribly difficult. In addition, a MUCH smaller audience is necessary to support a single journalist than to support a large inefficient corporate publisher. Whereas you needed millions of readers to stay afloat, now far fewer are necessary and niche markets are entirely exploitable by individuals.

Re: My master plan for revolutionizing the future of publishing

#24

How much of the 'future of publishing' discussions do you think are driven purely by ardent desire not to lose the status quo? I mean, it seems to me that looking at it objectively, the future is very self-evident. What product did publishers provide? Among other things, their business model was completely built upon distribution being a valuable service and the entire industry being impossible without it. This made…

While I agree with many of your thoughts on distribution losing its value, as someone in book publishing, I would argue that aggregation, though not in the exact same sense in which you use it, has always been and continues to be the special, important, and valuable product that publishers provide. A lot of your insights make a tremendous amount of sense from the writer's/journalist's perspective, as in, 'what can I…

>has always been and continues to be the special, important, and valuable product that publishers provide.

I'd have to disagree with that. While I definitely think aggregation is a valuable service, it has never been able to hold a candle to distribution. Without distribution, a work could only be sold or acquired in extreme geographic proximity to where it was created. Distributing it far and wide is what creates the entire market, and makes it possible for publishers to exist. Once anyone at all is able to distribute things far and wide, however, that's no longer valuable and the publisher will hopefully simply go away. As for aggregation, there are 2 issues I see with seeing this as very valuable - first, publishers are terrible at it. See the book "A Drunkard's Walk" for some statistics on the matter, but the bottom line is that no one in publishing is capable of telling the difference between what will be a success or a failure. 9 publishers passed on the Harry Potter series before one 'took a chance' on it. It's not really their 'fault' exactly, it's just that the public responds to entertainent products randomly and anyone who claims to have noticed a pattern in the noise is a (usually self-deluded) charlatan. So, from that aspect, publishers cannot offer anything superior to what anyone else can offer. Secondly, machine-learning-based recommendation systems such as Amazon, Netflix, etc have completely automate the aggregation process and reduce the value of aggregation nearly as much as the Internet has reduced the value of distribution.

>They also give them a soapbox that has a big stamp on it that reads, 'trust us, she's a great writer. All this stuff is true.'

If there were evidence that publishers had an accuracy rate greater than random chance at this (there isn't), this would certainly be something they could profit from.

Re: My master plan for revolutionizing the future of publishing

#25
The problem with digital magazine apps is they are pushing an analog business model into a connected world.

Publishing! = Magazines. What is publishing? It used to be we print with a period of Y on paper type X, be that daily newsprint (newspapers), monthly super calendered paper (magazines), every few years on acid free paper (hardcover), and weekly super calendered Kraft paper (comics).

With digital the lines between the different publishing families are simply erased. Content can be put out at any point in time, and on any format. Further, complete works don’t have to be published all, serialized content is back after having been almost dead for decades.

What publishing needs is a business model that helps them sell content of all sorts of length that comes out at all sorts of time. Magazines have always been content buckets, where the taste and choices of the editor in chief and the publications self determined constraints determined if you wanted to buy that bucket.

The magazine in the connected world is going to have the problem of most topics they pick to have someone write about will be outdone by many other places on the net and available for free. Take a blog like footnoted.com, they’re doing deep dive financial journalism better than the Wall Street journal.

The future of "The Magazine" is BoingBoing.net, they deliver a bucket of curate content filtered through the tastes and choice of their editors. They make income off ads, referral links, and sponsored posts for $5k a pop.

Re: My master plan for revolutionizing the future of publishing

#26

How much of the 'future of publishing' discussions do you think are driven purely by ardent desire not to lose the status quo? I mean, it seems to me that looking at it objectively, the future is very self-evident. What product did publishers provide? Among other things, their business model was completely built upon distribution being a valuable service and the entire industry being impossible without it. This made…

I suspect that people WILL get their journalism directly from journalist, but most will get their start working on a piece rate basis then salary for websites like gawker.com.

From what I can see of Gawker business people CAN make good money by hiring journalists, it's just that the skill that will get you rich is the ability to spot talent as opposed to traditional business skills. Also of course those that build armies of digital ink stained techno slaves may become wealthy as well.

Re: My master plan for revolutionizing the future of publishing

#29
post #3

"There’s no master plan. I wanted Instapaper to exist, so I made it. Five years later, I wanted The Magazine to exist, so I made that. I don’t know how to save journalism, but I’m also not qualified to. I’m not a journalist and I don’t know much about that industry." This is essentially what every successful founder thinks before they end up starting a billion dollar company... I'm not saying that Marco is going to f…

"This is essentially what every successful founder thinks before they end up starting a billion dollar company" This is also what an enumerable number of failed founders think as well. Shipping is the important portion of your quote - not the deprecating position about one's relative importance to an industry/cause.

Sure, but it's clear at this point that Marco knows how to ship and does it well.
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