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AI financial advice is surprisingly good, especially if you ask right questions

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Re: AI financial advice is surprisingly good, especially if you ask right questions

#141

People in this thread are massively underestimating the level of financial illiteracy in the general population. We've had multiple people try to convince us to set up bank accounts for our kids, so that they could accumulate interest over 18 years. More that tried to convince me to gamble on random pump and dump shitcoins. More still that talked about "investing" in random collectables like Funko Pops or Pokemon car…

Pokemon is a good investment IMO. My mom even bought me some as an investment in 2008.

Re: AI financial advice is surprisingly good, especially if you ask right questions

#142

People in this thread are massively underestimating the level of financial illiteracy in the general population. We've had multiple people try to convince us to set up bank accounts for our kids, so that they could accumulate interest over 18 years. More that tried to convince me to gamble on random pump and dump shitcoins. More still that talked about "investing" in random collectables like Funko Pops or Pokemon car…

Yes, and that's from supposed professionals too, not just crazy youtubers or tiktok channels. My neighborhood has enough old people that Edward Jones reps come over to try to manage your money. So I get to ask them questions, and see they are basically offering to rip me off. And that's in the US: You should see the investment recommendations people in Spain get when they talk to supposed advisors in real banks. Sear…

Careful just recently two old guys in Chino Hills, California. Brothers 66 and 67 years old were involved in some sort of apartment deal for 20 million dollars which went south.

They were so extremely dissatisfied with something and went to the house of the financial advisor or grifter depending upon your point of view and took it took on him. What is going to start happening with AI data centers?

Re: AI financial advice is surprisingly good, especially if you ask right questions

#143

People in this thread are massively underestimating the level of financial illiteracy in the general population. We've had multiple people try to convince us to set up bank accounts for our kids, so that they could accumulate interest over 18 years. More that tried to convince me to gamble on random pump and dump shitcoins. More still that talked about "investing" in random collectables like Funko Pops or Pokemon car…

“Pay your bills on time and fully” “Do what you can to eliminate addictive vices or never get them” “Max your Roth and 401k contributions before even thinking about anything else” “Try to budget” “Don’t live beyond your means. Monthly payment need to be considered carefully” If you can even TRY to do these things it puts you SO far ahead of the average person. It sucks because I get it, if you’re behind waiting years…

> God I still remember when a friend showed up on his 18th birthday with a pack of cigarettes to show how “mature” he was. I always think about how much that one decision cost him over the years.

The irony of taxing vices. I imagine most of it's paid by people who didn't know better at a young age, and helps encourage the downward spiral of poverty.

And if you say it discourages young people from starting on the addiction, I think we're barking up the wrong tree. Disposable vapes have the highest amount of nicotine they can put in their nicotine salts. Nicotine pouches like zyns sell the most at 6mg and above. Dispensaries and street weed have enough THC that would put a hippie in the 70's in a psychotic break.

God bless that Gen Z doesn't drink or smoke cigarettes. But they vape nicotine and marijuana. Or use pouches / edibles.

If we don't prevent first time users from getting an intense nicotine head high or accustomed to weed 5 to 10 times stronger than what their parents were used to, then I really don't see the point of excise taxes. It should be about preventing first-time use, and giving off-ramps to these potent products.

Re: AI financial advice is surprisingly good, especially if you ask right questions

#144
post #125

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The banks might pay 3% interest, whereas even non-volatile conservative investments like cap notes or bonds would pay something like 7%. Plugging it into a calculator: 1.03 ^ 18 = 1.70 1.07 ^ 18 = 3.37 Example numbers, but you're effectively taking half of the money that your kid would have had on their 18th birthday, and giving it to a banker.

3% is amazingly good. It’s not hard to beat that, but a savings account at a common bank can easily be below 0.05%. I looked up BoA. 0.04%.

I’ve been thinking about moving some money over by selling some shares and opening up a savings account with enough money to make a difference.

Re: AI financial advice is surprisingly good, especially if you ask right questions

#145
post #104

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What’s wrong with bank accounts for your kids? Sorry, this one doesn’t seem to fit with your other examples.

The banks might pay 3% interest, whereas even non-volatile conservative investments like cap notes or bonds would pay something like 7%. Plugging it into a calculator: 1.03 ^ 18 = 1.70 1.07 ^ 18 = 3.37 Example numbers, but you're effectively taking half of the money that your kid would have had on their 18th birthday, and giving it to a banker.

Truly conservative investments are more in the 3-4% range these days; money markets were running around 5% a few years back but they've come down. I have some bonds (including treasuries) that are higher than that but I bought them quite a while back. For long time horizons I'd be more weighted on equity indexes and maybe dividend-heavy stocks.

Re: AI financial advice is surprisingly good, especially if you ask right questions

#146

I wonder if telling (or somehow architecturally coaxing) the LLM it has 'skin in the game' will make it more risk-averse? I imagine it does. This makes me wonder too about the entire premise and worthiness of these evals. They orient themselves around normal one-shot interactions with a likely non-sys-prompted model with no built up context or memory of the person. I doubt the mentioned 'job loss' scenario is even co…

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Re: AI financial advice is surprisingly good, especially if you ask right questions

#147
post #14

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Financial advisors and tax accountants Financial advisors giving generic advice, sure. Tax accountants though? I'd be careful. I know the mistakes that llms make when complexity gets involved (especially tax codes and laws) and frankly I don't know enough about them to be able to verify whether what I'm getting out of it makes sense. I could probably verify it with enough research but then I just could so it myself…

Yeah, Claude told me what a great idea converting my LLC to an S Corp would be and how much I would save in taxes. When I asked my accountant about he told me it would actually cost me more, because of NYC taxes S Corps. I didn’t tell Claude I lived NYC, because it didn’t occur to me that it was relevant. I find tax stuff is full stuff like this (often more subtle than where you live).

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Re: AI financial advice is surprisingly good, especially if you ask right questions

#148

People in this thread are massively underestimating the level of financial illiteracy in the general population. We've had multiple people try to convince us to set up bank accounts for our kids, so that they could accumulate interest over 18 years. More that tried to convince me to gamble on random pump and dump shitcoins. More still that talked about "investing" in random collectables like Funko Pops or Pokemon car…

came here to say some version of this. for the average joe, good financial advice is simple and boring (low cost ETF tracking broad based index), and AI is definitely able to give that. the question has always been getting people to listen though, and I am not sure how effective AI will be at that. I continue to be amazed at the confidence that people place in hot stock tips from tiktok (yes, tiktok!). little has changed since the 1920s i guess.

Re: AI financial advice is surprisingly good, especially if you ask right questions

#150

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes… I also wouldn’t park money in a savings account for 18 years. But 7% is not the risk free rate! The S&P and these other things have risk! But show me a bond I can buy that’s paying 7% and I’ll show you below investment grade.

LFSPA. Not risk free, but not volatile either. Although even that underperforms compared to an index fund.

Index funds are not risk free! We have had a solid 15 years and everyone forgot that there are decades of declines or stagnation.
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