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Situational Awareness down 67% in July in AI stock rout

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Re: Situational Awareness down 67% in July in AI stock rout

#71
post #38

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Leopold Aschenbrenner’s hedge-fund firm Situational Awareness is down around 67% so far in July after incurring heavy losses on AI stocks...

Literally the first line

When I read a title it helps me to determine whether I want to read it or not. This one is tricky and confusing because the company name is stupid and was probably picked for the clickbait potential. This is absolutely one where I read the comments before the link.

Re: Situational Awareness down 67% in July in AI stock rout

#72
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why are you promoting content by Martin Shkreli? You know, the guy who committed securities fraud to rip off desperate patients?

Because hn is primarily about competence, knowledge and tech, which Martin has in spades. The arguments against him barely hold water in general anyway.

lmao

Re: Situational Awareness down 67% in July in AI stock rout

#73
post #31

> Aschenbrenner party blamed short sellers who targeted the firm’s positions for exacerbating the fund’s losses, the letter said. The letter compared Situational’s experience to a bank run. 4 years ago, it was SBF blaming Changpeng Zhao for shorting FTT and triggering a run on FTX. Now another EA has followed the path of making a lot of money relatively quickly and losing it just as fast, using the exact same argumen…

>Now another EA has followed the path of making a lot of money relatively quickly and losing it just as fast let's be clear here - he didn't actually "lose" a ton of money. he was up 439% net in the first half of 2026. his issue was getting margin called due to being short on software (which went up) and long on AI infra (which went down) - getting margin called != losing money.

> let's be clear here - he didn't actually "lose" a ton of money. he was up 439% net in the first half of 2026.

He's down 67% on the month. He most certainly lost alot of money.

He'll be fine and i think he'll be successful at raising more money, and he's still up on the year as far as I've been told by LP's, but he sure did lose alot of money this month.

Re: Situational Awareness down 67% in July in AI stock rout

#74

Quite the funny headline. It initially made me think that someone had come up with some sort of quantitative measure of the situational awareness of traders, and was claiming that there was an increase in traders making dumb trades that misread the situation or something. Ironically, I would describe this selloff as an increase in situational awareness.

Well, effectively that is kinda what it is saying, although it's the situational awareness of one particular trader it's referring to. The situational awareness of Citadel who scooped up their portfolio at fire sale prices seems quite good!

Re: Situational Awareness down 67% in July in AI stock rout

#75
post #58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Pardon for what? The crime of losing money?

Believe it or not, you are legally bound to act in the interests of shareholders. Though you cannot be pardoned from civil stuff, and the options to actually prosecute are pretty slim, so I doubt it. Though, even if this is just tongue-in-cheek, you can literally buy a pardon in America right now with just a little bit a money into the pockets of the Trump family, in case you didn't get the joke (that the US governme…

[deleted]

Re: Situational Awareness down 67% in July in AI stock rout

#76

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

> Leopold Aschenbrenner’s hedge-fund firm Situational Awareness is down around 67% so far in July after incurring heavy losses on AI stocks...

More than just down - liquidated (sold to Citadel) due to pending margin calls.

Re: Situational Awareness down 67% in July in AI stock rout

#77
post #34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Say more about how citadel made this happen with their trading?

Citadel spread the rumor that the Fed was going to hike rates this week. This led to Situational Awareness getting margin called on their longs.

That's a meme conspiracy theory on twitter that nobody in the industry takes seriously.

Re: Situational Awareness down 67% in July in AI stock rout

#78
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why are you promoting content by Martin Shkreli? You know, the guy who committed securities fraud to rip off desperate patients?

Because hn is primarily about competence, knowledge and tech, which Martin has in spades. The arguments against him barely hold water in general anyway.

A federal jury sure thought they held water.

Re: Situational Awareness down 67% in July in AI stock rout

#79
post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That’s truly the playbook when you are on the other side of a levered firm though.

Yeah, probably. Its too bad.

Not really.

Using leverage has risks that you're supposed to understand before you do it.

It's not a free lunch, unless you're putting the sharks' interest ahead of yours. Or clueless, which was the case here, as L.A. is not a trader and has no business running a fund.

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