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US oil inventories fall to 'precariously low' level as Iran war disrupts supply

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11–20 of 32 posts

Re: US oil inventories fall to 'precariously low' level as Iran war disrupts supply

#11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> There needs to be a certain level maintained Isn't that the "180mn to 200mn barrels"?

From what I understand, below 300 you start having issues, there's also a minimum national security level at 250 (not legally binding).

> below 300 you start having issues

Source?

Re: US oil inventories fall to 'precariously low' level as Iran war disrupts supply

#13

The fun part of this is the crack spread doesn't care about the relatively low price that crude is selling for. Refined petroleum is going for eye-watering prices, and will continue to do so for a very long time, even if peace breaks out tomorrow. Also seems pretty doubtful that oil prices would drop even if the war ended, given that everyone is going to be scrambling to refill their reserves for a very long time. On…

Will the tradespeople (contractor) crowd turn up in this thread and cheer on the oil companies for making good money, damn any effect on the rest of the economy? ;)

Re: US oil inventories fall to 'precariously low' level as Iran war disrupts supply

#14

The fun part of this is the crack spread doesn't care about the relatively low price that crude is selling for. Refined petroleum is going for eye-watering prices, and will continue to do so for a very long time, even if peace breaks out tomorrow. Also seems pretty doubtful that oil prices would drop even if the war ended, given that everyone is going to be scrambling to refill their reserves for a very long time. On…

> The real winners will be everyone who destroyed their own oil demand. I went out and bought an EV in May to replace an ICE vehicle, and the other car in the household hasn't burned through a full tank in the months since. They may have killed the EV subsidies in the US but they just went out and created a huge regressive tax on everyone not driving an EV.

LOL, I sold my car and bought an e-bike.

Re: US oil inventories fall to 'precariously low' level as Iran war disrupts supply

#15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

From what I understand, below 300 you start having issues, there's also a minimum national security level at 250 (not legally binding).

> below 300 you start having issues Source?

I'll try to find it again, it was in a Bloomberg podcast about energy.

Re: US oil inventories fall to 'precariously low' level as Iran war disrupts supply

#16

The fun part of this is the crack spread doesn't care about the relatively low price that crude is selling for. Refined petroleum is going for eye-watering prices, and will continue to do so for a very long time, even if peace breaks out tomorrow. Also seems pretty doubtful that oil prices would drop even if the war ended, given that everyone is going to be scrambling to refill their reserves for a very long time. On…

>the other car in the household hasn't burned through a full tank in the months

My gas car was filled in November and has half a tank. EV's are such a better experience and so much cheaper to operate[^1] that most owners don't want to go back to gas.

[1] - dependent on one's access to inexpensive electricity. In the U.S. using DC fast chargers is often more expensive than gasoline.

Re: US oil inventories fall to 'precariously low' level as Iran war disrupts supply

#17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, less than a year, much less. There needs to be a certain level maintained in order to keep pressure and lot of the bottom stuff is unusable because of contaminants - it's like sludge.

> There needs to be a certain level maintained Isn't that the "180mn to 200mn barrels"?

This is unfamiliar territory, and honestly it's still an assumption. No one is sure at what level the system needs to remain stable.

Re: US oil inventories fall to 'precariously low' level as Iran war disrupts supply

#18

The fun part of this is the crack spread doesn't care about the relatively low price that crude is selling for. Refined petroleum is going for eye-watering prices, and will continue to do so for a very long time, even if peace breaks out tomorrow. Also seems pretty doubtful that oil prices would drop even if the war ended, given that everyone is going to be scrambling to refill their reserves for a very long time. On…

> household hasn't burned through a full tank in the months since. They may have killed the EV subsidies in the US but they just went out and created a huge regressive tax on everyone not driving an EV.

Modern fuel blends are usually 10-15% ethanol. Ethanol is an alcohol, and thus is able to absorb ambient water from the air into the gasoline solution. Gasoline stored for a long time will generally increase in water content (if I am not mistaken lol), thus it maybe for future reference, try to avoid ethanol based fuels if possible if you're not gonna be using your ICE car. It's like how people who store their motorcycles or fancy performance cars during the winter leave it without fuel, or add a fuel stabilizer.

Re: US oil inventories fall to 'precariously low' level as Iran war disrupts supply

#19
post #13

The fun part of this is the crack spread doesn't care about the relatively low price that crude is selling for. Refined petroleum is going for eye-watering prices, and will continue to do so for a very long time, even if peace breaks out tomorrow. Also seems pretty doubtful that oil prices would drop even if the war ended, given that everyone is going to be scrambling to refill their reserves for a very long time. On…

Will the tradespeople (contractor) crowd turn up in this thread and cheer on the oil companies for making good money, damn any effect on the rest of the economy? ;)

> Will the tradespeople (contractor) crowd turn up in this thread and cheer on the oil companies for making good money

Huh?

Re: US oil inventories fall to 'precariously low' level as Iran war disrupts supply

#20
This directly because of the U.S. support of Israel. I also think as long as America keeps supporting Israeli military actions, there will be inflation. I won't forget how they enacted economic policies that knowingly caused layoffs of so many friends and colleagues but spared Israel with countless billions in spending. What was the point in increasing interest rates if we're going to enable genocides, increase gas prices, and spend so much money on defending America's worst ally?
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