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OpenAI's rogue model attack is just the beginning

blog.peterwildeford.com

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Re: OpenAI's rogue model attack is just the beginning

#4
If nothing else, the article has a really good timeline of the OpenAI/HuggingFace “incident”.

But to me, it underscores the impending cliff of doom from the continued release of open-weight models: there's no cryptographic or architectural way to give someone full weights while withholding the nefarious capabilities those weights encode.

As noted in this paper⁽¹⁾, “publicly releasing weights is an act of irreversible proliferation”.

I’m sure this will be an unpopular opinion on HN, but open weights are the thing that scares me the most about “A.I.”. There is a lot of research in this area⁽²⁾, and I think most of HN is unaware of it or ignores it. Stripping refusals from Kimi K2.5 took under $500 of compute and about 10 hours, taking HarmBench refusals from 100% to 5% while retaining nearly all capability; the resulting model gave detailed chemical-weapons synthesis instructions.

The gate is only as strong as the least-cautious releaser...

⁽¹⁾ https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qmQFHCgCyEEjuy5a7/lora-fine-...

⁽²⁾ https://arxiv.org/html/2604.03121v1

Re: OpenAI's rogue model attack is just the beginning

#7
post #4

If nothing else, the article has a really good timeline of the OpenAI/HuggingFace “incident”. But to me, it underscores the impending cliff of doom from the continued release of open-weight models: there's no cryptographic or architectural way to give someone full weights while withholding the nefarious capabilities those weights encode. As noted in this paper⁽¹⁾, “publicly releasing weights is an act of irreversible…

So... no different from a book of detailed chemical-weapons synthesis instructions. The "AI" angle is immaterial.

Re: OpenAI's rogue model attack is just the beginning

#8
post #7
post #4

If nothing else, the article has a really good timeline of the OpenAI/HuggingFace “incident”. But to me, it underscores the impending cliff of doom from the continued release of open-weight models: there's no cryptographic or architectural way to give someone full weights while withholding the nefarious capabilities those weights encode. As noted in this paper⁽¹⁾, “publicly releasing weights is an act of irreversible…

So... no different from a book of detailed chemical-weapons synthesis instructions. The "AI" angle is immaterial.

A change in kind is not the same as a change in degree. Ten orchestrated LLM PhD advisors is a genuinely different thing from a library.

Re: OpenAI's rogue model attack is just the beginning

#9
post #4

If nothing else, the article has a really good timeline of the OpenAI/HuggingFace “incident”. But to me, it underscores the impending cliff of doom from the continued release of open-weight models: there's no cryptographic or architectural way to give someone full weights while withholding the nefarious capabilities those weights encode. As noted in this paper⁽¹⁾, “publicly releasing weights is an act of irreversible…

> there's no cryptographic or architectural way to give someone full weights while withholding the nefarious capabilities those weights encode.

This is true of closed weights, and in fact the problem is worse because they cannot even be scrutinized. We should ban closed weight AI for the very reasons you have just given

Re: OpenAI's rogue model attack is just the beginning

#10
post #7
post #4

If nothing else, the article has a really good timeline of the OpenAI/HuggingFace “incident”. But to me, it underscores the impending cliff of doom from the continued release of open-weight models: there's no cryptographic or architectural way to give someone full weights while withholding the nefarious capabilities those weights encode. As noted in this paper⁽¹⁾, “publicly releasing weights is an act of irreversible…

So... no different from a book of detailed chemical-weapons synthesis instructions. The "AI" angle is immaterial.

There are plenty of cybersecurity books out there. None of them will launch an attack if you ask them to.
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