Earlier quoted context omitted.
Now Microsoft, them I'd short. In a way I have by starting my own company to undermine their various competitive advantages comprehensively
Time will tell but that feels foolish. MSFT is a terrible product company (look at copilot) but what they sell is a safe decision which is one of the most important factors for enterprise software. Nobody is close to replacing that.
Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake
191–200 of 344 posts
Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake
#192Earlier quoted context omitted.
Generally the 10x shares aren't traded so it's impossible to see if they trade at a premium. One exception is GOOG / GOOGL which both trade actively, and there's not much difference in price. The mechanism for a price divergence could be accumulation of the 10x shares to seize control, but even if you could buy the entire float, it wouldn't be enough to take control, so that mechanism never happens.
There are three classes of Google stock. By voting rights, they have 10x (founder stock), 1x (trading as GOOGL), and 0x (trading as GOOG). The class with 10x voting rights does not trade publicly. The class with 1x voting rights does not have enough voting power to control the direction of the company so there is no real difference in perceived value between GOOG and GOOGL. Employee stock awards are IIRC all in restr…
Interestingly, the 10x shares held by Brin and Page constitute only 11% of the economic value of Alphabet, but 51% of the voting control.
And the 10x shares automatically convert to 1x shares upon transfer or inheritance, so if the founders cash out or die, the 10x supervoting power disappears.
Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake
#193This investment has never been secret. Google (now under parent company Alphabet) invested roughly $900 million as the majority of a ~$1 billion funding round alongside Fidelity Investments. This gave Google an initial equity stake of about 7–7.5% in SpaceX at a valuation of roughly $10–12 billion.
Remember this was also when SpaceX was actually about space, instead of mostly AI and Twitter. Long-term shareholders that were sold on the space, have to be thinking about how to get out once their lockups expire.
A huge mistake, I'm sure the relevant parties have been punished appropriately.
Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake
#194Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don't think anyone is arguing SpaceX is actually valuable, just overvalued and the repeated recipient of obvious corruption.
Which corruption exactly? NASDAQ giving them fast entry so the biggest IPO in history is done on NASDAQ and not on NYSE who was also competing for it? Both are fighting for OpenAI and Anthropic listings as well which likely influenced their choice to get in early with SpaceX
Corruption that stands out to me would be regarding starlink, Elon got the FCC to change power emission rules to hamper competitors with better satellites, but the competitors were able to comply and offer a better service still, while starlink’s existing fleet cannot. meaning elon still would actually have to compete and make a new starlink fleet, which he is doing now. (Basically competitors dont need a base station, and future starlink wont meed a base station either, direct to device ubiquity high speed service is coming) but before that path, he then tried to get an exception from the fcc regulation he promulgated, which was extremely grimy. The fcc didn’t go along.
Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake
#195Alphabet is the modern day berkshire hathaway. Alphabet’s investment holdings (eg, spacex, anthropic..) are worth in the same order of magnitude of BRK’s (~$300B) The track record of google’s M&A is pretty good. Except for search and cloud, many of Google’s important products were from M&A - Maps, Docs, android, doubleclick, youtube , deep mind, etc.
The companies you listed have great synergy with Google's core business. What's Google's play with SpaceX? Data centers in space?
Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake
#196Earlier quoted context omitted.
Short Google? Early is wrong you know?
That’s a pretty weird take considering they’re down 21% in the last 2 months. How, exactly, is this early?
[0] By net income. By operating income, still like top 5 to top 10 depending on how you interpret the numbers.
Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake
#197Earlier quoted context omitted.
It’s so weird to see people actively try to criticize arguably the most successful person in the history of Earth.
Some of the richest people the world has ever seen seem to tick all the same boxes as the least likeable and most devoid of love and empathy. If only some billionaires (trillionaires?) could strike a better balance between successful and human. Especially since most wealth is actually wealth transfer from the poor and from taxpayer coffers to the rich.
Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake
#198This investment has never been secret. Google (now under parent company Alphabet) invested roughly $900 million as the majority of a ~$1 billion funding round alongside Fidelity Investments. This gave Google an initial equity stake of about 7–7.5% in SpaceX at a valuation of roughly $10–12 billion.
Remember this was also when SpaceX was actually about space, instead of mostly AI and Twitter. Long-term shareholders that were sold on the space, have to be thinking about how to get out once their lockups expire.
Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake
#199100x return, I would sell immediately after this kind of gain, maybe that's why I am not a Google
I'm sure at an $80 valuation they will tell everyone how it's time to buy as it slides down further
Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake
#200Earlier quoted context omitted.
Love the typo. I think Musk's luck is running out, he's been too political this past year and he seems to also have run out of geek "street cred". Remember youtubers visiting (whatever the Tesla trade show was called) were more perplexed than impressed with what has been shown. Similar sentiment seen across trade shows (like CES) where everything was AI and no one seemed to ask themselves "why are we putting AI in th…
It’s so weird to see people actively try to criticize arguably the most successful person in the history of Earth.