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Elevated Errors for Opus 5

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Re: Elevated Errors for Opus 5

#51
post #14

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why would they have more spare capacity than Anthropic? Do you have a source for that?

If you watch the Dwarkesh interview with Dario, he is extremely conservative with compute allocation as of early 2026, where Sam has been compute-pilled for at least 3 years[1] and believes that we’re going to have several OOMs more FLOPs in the near future than we have today. You can also get a drift of it in their announcements - OpenAI has been far more aggressive in datacenter build-out partnerships as a more top…

Anthropic being very conservative about purchasing compute was a core theme of Dario's spot at NYT Dealbook in December[1]. At the time, he cast it as being wise and waiting to see where the chips fall. I'd say he might be regretting that position a bit now.

[1]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FEj7wAjwQIk

Re: Elevated Errors for Opus 5

#53
post #29
post #14

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why would they have more spare capacity than Anthropic? Do you have a source for that?

They were famous for committing to buying compute with future money that many people thought they would go bankrupt. Anthropic was afraid of going bankrupt and didn't do the same.

And then Anthropic had to go around, knock at every door and ask every neighbor for whether they have any spare compute to sell.

Re: Elevated Errors for Opus 5

#54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It was a one hour outage on a weekend. Unless you have an enterprise agreement with an SLA it's a bit silly to expect any compensation.

If I pay anything for a service, I expect a refund if that service doesn't work. Best would be a free week/month for anyone who sent a request during the downtime.

Are you crazy? Do you realize how much use they allow under a subscription already? I’m going through $200-400 in tokens per day on a $200/month subscription. Nobody has ever said anything, throttled me, encouraged me to go to API pricing, etc.

I wish it didn’t go down so frequently, but it does. Still, I get an enormous amount of value. I realize they probably prioritize API users over subscribers and I’m ok with that. I use the API and openrouter for the things that need to be resilient to outages.

I would be embarrassed to try to ask for a refund or free credits. They already give credits far in excess of what you pay for and you have practically the entire month to use them outside of a couple hours of downtime.

Re: Elevated Errors for Opus 5

#55
post #9

What happens one day when there is a significant outage of Claude or Codex and reliance on these tools as SaaS services is so great that it start to impact productivity and work? Will we just pack up our tools and go home?

You jest, but companies have sent people home fully paid, because power or internet were down and would be down for an extended period of time. Technically a small number could have kept working on white-boarding design topics, but without access to documentation, existing tickets, it would have been minimally effective.

It's not clear if or when these tools become as essential as power or internet to a developers or admins work, but if they do? Giving everyone a quarter day off at least generates some good-will, unlike forcing them to sit around unproductively because of working hours.

Re: Elevated Errors for Opus 5

#56

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If there is a hole in the street and you fall down it, you wouldn't expect a refund just for the 1 second it would have taken you to drive over that hole. Instead you should be compensated for your losses - the time and money it took you to repair that tyre. Same with a web service. If I pay for 24 * 7 service and it's not working when I go to use it, I want compensation for my time and effort resolving the matter. F…

Yeah, no, that's not how any of this works. This is the definition of inflated self importance! Your contract doesn't have an SLA. If you are important enough, you can certainly negotiate one - and it will be far more expensive than your prosumer subscription. And even then you will not get a 1:168 or 1:720 SLA like you are expecting - that's simply ludicrous and totally out of touch with every reality. Even if you w…

You do see that ratio in, for example, business Internet service. You’ll get a month’s credit immediately upon asking if they can also see the brief outage. Even typically awful Comcast was good about this. However, as you note, in exchange, you’ve probably signed a two or three year agreement with them and you’d owe the balance if you canceled early.

Re: Elevated Errors for Opus 5

#57
post #16

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If I pay anything for a service, I expect a refund if that service doesn't work. Best would be a free week/month for anyone who sent a request during the downtime.

Free month is insane for a bit of downtime

They’re down so often that if they gave a free month every time they’d have no paying customers lol.
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