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Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake

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Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake

#32

I am short both Google and SpaceX RN; SpaceX's IPO smells foul. Google is an AI-bubble short; Anthropic and OpenAI haven't IPOed yet.

from your list, I think only Google has moat and something I would short least.

Google has hardware, software ecosystem, mobile ecosystem, controls browser, has access to 2B+ users, has talent to come up with ideas - perfect spot for AI

Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake

#33

I am short both Google and SpaceX RN; SpaceX's IPO smells foul. Google is an AI-bubble short; Anthropic and OpenAI haven't IPOed yet.

from your list, I think only Google has moat and something I would short least. Google has hardware, software ecosystem, mobile ecosystem, controls browser, has access to 2B+ users, has talent to come up with ideas - perfect spot for AI

Now Microsoft, them I'd short. In a way I have by starting my own company to undermine their various competitive advantages comprehensively

Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake

#34

100x return, I would sell immediately after this kind of gain, maybe that's why I am not a Google

if you are big company like google, another 100 billion is not gonna make you feel better since cold cash is liability at that scale

100 billion is nothing if that money can put you in better spot at technology landscape

Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake

#35
post #19

100x return, I would sell immediately after this kind of gain, maybe that's why I am not a Google

I'm sure at an $80 valuation they will tell everyone how it's time to buy as it slides down further

Average pre-ipo sale price is $6.xx

Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake

#37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

from your list, I think only Google has moat and something I would short least. Google has hardware, software ecosystem, mobile ecosystem, controls browser, has access to 2B+ users, has talent to come up with ideas - perfect spot for AI

Now Microsoft, them I'd short. In a way I have by starting my own company to undermine their various competitive advantages comprehensively

Microsoft has many of the same advantages but is incapable of judging the quality of the products it makes.

Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake

#38
post #11

FIFY: Google discloses $94B loss

They didn't invest 94B$ But yes the stock could go down much further and I hope they are willing to show the losses if they can show this as gains today. Imagine the next call being about how their 95$B went to sub 30B$.. Will that be a negative line item. I don't see the point in disclosing this stake as earnings. But I do get that accounting was made as a tool for companies to show off.

They don't have to be willing because hiding the losses would be a crime. And it still doesn't matter b/c anyone with a calculator can tell you exactly what the value of their position is on any given day. The $94 billion is 2.4% of Google's market cap, so even if SpaceX goes to zero it will be barely noticeable from the background noise of the stock price movement.

Re: Google Discloses $94.1B in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake

#40
post #20

100x return, I would sell immediately after this kind of gain, maybe that's why I am not a Google

This is a micro/macro mistake. You obviously can't dump a 6% stake at strike price on Robinhood. "The Market", at this scale, means "You find the buyer(s) yourself and work up the deal with a hundred lawyers and PR staff and hope the contract negotiation stays secret".

Actually, that's the service provided by GS, etc. They have those buyers on the other side of their Rolodex.
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