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Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory

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Re: Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory

#21
post #5

URL appears to go to home page of RO military, another URL is: https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20260726-romanian-jet-sho...

Nice to see a France24 link in the wild, it is a very underrated news outlet

France24 does a lot of very solid work related to one of my particular areas of interest in the Iran/Afghanistan/Pakistan region. It's also a great alternative to any US news sources even for news about what's going on domestically in North America (though the CBC has more breadth of coverage, for sure).

Re: Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory

#22
post #2

Drones shot down in Romania, Poland, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Finland, etc. These are probes. Judging responses and response times. Rumor is Polish GROM have been inside Russia for months. Edit: See sources in my comment below. I bring receipts.

Can you elaborate on the last sentence? It sounds crazy.

There are rumours that Polish GROM has been taking “vacations” in Ukraine. As in “we cannot officially approve your presence there but we won’t stop you either”, from the government.

Re: Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory

#23
post #2

Drones shot down in Romania, Poland, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Finland, etc. These are probes. Judging responses and response times. Rumor is Polish GROM have been inside Russia for months. Edit: See sources in my comment below. I bring receipts.

Can you elaborate on the last sentence? It sounds crazy.

I watched a related Chris Cappy video the other day:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5RBY1cY-GF8

> Poland's elite GROM commandos have become legendary (...) in this episode, we explore (...) the covert war between Poland and Russia, and why Polish-speaking commandos are appearing inside Russian territory.

Re: Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory

#25
post #3

We seems scarily only one rogue actor or screw up from WW III in Eastern Europe and the Middle East.

Don't we already have that? It's just a smoulder instead of a conflagration.

Do you feel threatened that Russia and Iran will succeed in conquering all of Europe and the Middle East? I see it more like a couple of misbehaving misfits. That's very different than say, WWII.

Re: Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory

#27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can you elaborate on the last sentence? It sounds crazy.

yes, it is a big [citation needed] for me

See gattr's comment above

Basically GROM getting "leave" and then ending up with their whole team inside Ukraine as "contractors", just with deniability.

https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/polish-mercenaries...

Regarding efforts to provide deniability for their operations, a Polish officer informed him: “we worked out a formula for our presence in Ukraine … we were simply sent on paid leave. Politicians pretended not to see this.” The Polish Volunteer Corps has appeared to use the same model to provide cover for the mass deployment of Polish Armed Forces personnel, who are technically former personnel when entering the theatre, with their presence having for years been widely reported on multiple frontlines. In February 2026, the lower house of the Polish parliament adopted legislation to provide legal cover to Polish citizens who fought in the ongoing Russian-Ukrainian War.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/07/03/russia-pla...

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/07/12/8043770/

https://abcnews.com/International/wireStory/baltics-poland-w...

Edit:

Added: https://youtu.be/5RBY1cY-GF8?is=rVFFKVnBxkmsF9aM

Pic: https://x.com/intermarium24/status/1659954927299440641

Re: Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory

#28

Given how poor their Ukrainian war is going, this is a strange move. I guess it’s mostly just posturing?

They've been doing this for years.

I don't know if it's to try and circumvent Ukrainian defenses or to provoke a reaction to sell to domestic audiences though.

Re: Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory

#29
post #11
post #5

URL appears to go to home page of RO military, another URL is: https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20260726-romanian-jet-sho...

The home page shows 3 consecutive press releases for the past 3 days each detailing a similar incident. The first drone on 24.07 took ~80min to intercept and shoot down, well into the country. The other 2 were shot down within kilometers of the border so they’re paying closer attention.

The asymmetry between the drones and the F16 neutralising them quickly makes this financially unsustainable.

Re: Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory

#30
post #9
post #4

The big part that I didn’t see was whether this was a Russian drone or Ukrainian drone

They're Shahed drones, used by Russia.

In September the Russians accused the Ukrainians of having repairing downed Geran drone airframes at the Lviv LORTA plant, transferring them to Yavoriv, and launching them unarmed into Poland. They presented various evidence like serial numbers, photographs of silver-tape repairs, claims that a Ukrainian SIM-card was used, lack of impact destruction, etc.

What's true though? I don't believe that I have a way to find out.

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