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2x, not 10x: coding with LLMs in 2026

obryant.dev

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Re: 2x, not 10x: coding with LLMs in 2026

#2
Even this is overstating it IMO.

I already convert from multipliers to percentage of increase, so when someone claims 10x they very likely mean +100% productivity, and here 2x means +20% productivity, which seems about right. Nobody that was normally productive before LLMs has suddenly 10x'ed their output now.

The problem is that 20% productivity when it comes to generating code, really doesn't translate in 20% productivity increase overall, when you take into account the fact that the code quality is worse, the fact that writing code is actually not the majority of your time spent, and that people get burnt out from the usage.

Re: 2x, not 10x: coding with LLMs in 2026

#5
This reminds me of themes I recently saw in [Harness Engineering is not Enough: Why Software Factories Fail](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ib5GBkD555M) (Warning: the last 3 slides seem like an advertisement). One thing I liked is how Dex has a little graphic he glossed over showing software development is

- 25% planning & aligning with other teams

- 25% coding

- 25% testing/verifying

- 25% code review/rework

One argument was that agentic coding speeds up that coding part a bunch. So maybe there's 2x speedup in coding. But that's only a small speedup in the totality of everything software engineers do.

Re: 2x, not 10x: coding with LLMs in 2026

#6
> As for documentation, I've found this simple instruction to vastly improve LLMs' output:

> Never write READMEs, docstrings, or comments. I will write those myself later. And yes, I really mean this.

This is quite validating as I came to the exact same conclusion myself. We’re required to use an LLM for every task at work that touches code†, and I was really struggling to get Claude to stop with the long waffly comments that reiterate the next few lines of code in 3x as many characters, making contextless references to subtasks in whatever harness du jour we’re using this week.

No amount of examples or explanation of what I wanted would make it stop. And then I realised of course, I’m asking something which has no concept of meaning (or, indeed, anything) to only add meaningful comments. More fool me I guess.

Of course, it’s ultimately pointless given all of my colleagues are regularly opening PRs with more comments than code anyway. 80% of my code review responses these days are just increasingly exasperated “pointless comment, please remove”.

† This is just as infantilising as it sounds, by the way

Re: 2x, not 10x: coding with LLMs in 2026

#7
post #5

This reminds me of themes I recently saw in [Harness Engineering is not Enough: Why Software Factories Fail]( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ib5GBkD555M ) (Warning: the last 3 slides seem like an advertisement). One thing I liked is how Dex has a little graphic he glossed over showing software development is - 25% planning & aligning with other teams - 25% coding - 25% testing/verifying - 25% code review/rework One…

> So maybe there's 2x speedup in coding. But that's only a small speedup in the totality of everything software engineers do.

Amdahl's Law should be familiar to anyone with a 4y computer science/engineering degree. Why aren't they applying it to their own throughput?

Re: 2x, not 10x: coding with LLMs in 2026

#8
post #5

This reminds me of themes I recently saw in [Harness Engineering is not Enough: Why Software Factories Fail]( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ib5GBkD555M ) (Warning: the last 3 slides seem like an advertisement). One thing I liked is how Dex has a little graphic he glossed over showing software development is - 25% planning & aligning with other teams - 25% coding - 25% testing/verifying - 25% code review/rework One…

The other hard to measure part is that I see/hear a lot of LLM usage going towards dev work that was never prioritized before.

Suddenly devs who were cranking out features with no interest in infrastructure are attacking giant refactors to make the code more understandable to the LLM.

Other devs are using LLMs to build themselves quality of life SDLC tools completely separate from the core code base.

Plenty of other examples of this.

Re: 2x, not 10x: coding with LLMs in 2026

#9
post #3

Does a 60x speedup count? Are you still copying and pasting from chatgpt, because if so your definitely doing it wrong.

Wait, how about an infinite speedup? A friend of mine couldn't code, and now he can. So he is infinity-x better at coding thanks to LLMS!

Take that, you mere 10x-ers! Your days are toast!

Re: 2x, not 10x: coding with LLMs in 2026

#10

> As for documentation, I've found this simple instruction to vastly improve LLMs' output: > Never write READMEs, docstrings, or comments. I will write those myself later. And yes, I really mean this. This is quite validating as I came to the exact same conclusion myself. We’re required to use an LLM for every task at work that touches code†, and I was really struggling to get Claude to stop with the long waffly comm…

You can create a PostToolUse hook [0] which will automatically chastise Claude to shrink comments to one line. It's not perfect but better than the sea of prose it tends to generate by default. Bonus is that it would apply to your colleagues as well!

[0] https://github.com/chrisvariety/branch-fiction/blob/deb37f2b...

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