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Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

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Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#21

Post by rthomas6 »

Petrushka wrote: post #9

I have the Washington Post from Jan 1, 2000. Below the fold is an article on what the future would hold tech-wise for a child born that day. By 2010, we were all supposed to be wearing wristbands with all of our medical information on it, so doctors would simply have to scan them to gain our history. We also wouldn't have cheap (meaning not thousands upon thousands of dollars) mobile computers with the ability to acc…

What is stopping something like the medical wristband thing? Nobody would wear a bracelet like that, but why not an RFID card? That seems like a great idea. What would it take to start something like that?

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#22

Post by hcarvalhoalves »

Everytime these predictions are made, the outcome seems to be the exact opposite. That said, in 2030 I predict:

- After toying with 3D printers for a while, they will go back to vat-grown organs

- With widespread Internet access, remote work being a reality and local energy generation, people will leave the big cities seeking better life quality in smaller, country-side cities

- There won't be brain chips

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#23

Post by mattmanser »

swalsh wrote: post #19
indiecore wrote: post #2

What did forecast 2010 look like from 1990?

Honestly, not that far off... granted it seems to have more of a political perspective then technological: this is paragraph one from the section on Europe. "First, European governments will be absorbed by the need to renegotiate the social contract, i.e., the entitlement programs of the social welfare state hammered out in the post-1945 period. This is not a choice but a necessity: a large, aging population sits ato…

Huh? Not that far off?

That's totally off. There's no renegotiation going on of the social contract.

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#24

Post by batgaijin »

hcarvalhoalves wrote: post #22

Everytime these predictions are made, the outcome seems to be the exact opposite. That said, in 2030 I predict: - After toying with 3D printers for a while, they will go back to vat-grown organs - With widespread Internet access, remote work being a reality and local energy generation, people will leave the big cities seeking better life quality in smaller, country-side cities - There won't be brain chips

I think predictions overdo the 'physical' improvements like hover cars.

I mean, it's almost 2013 and a majority of the population has general computers connected to the internet in their pockets, through which we can watch almost any movie or listen to any song. Try explaining that to someone from the early 80's.

Too bad the head of wired is a pessimist when it comes to the singularity; I think he's just as deluded as everyone else when it comes to accepting what exponential means.

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#25

Post by DanI-S »

I love how our predictions of the future never account for the existence of poor people. That's why they're always so wildly off; the vast bulk of humanity are never factored into the equation.

While I don't doubt there'll be printable organs and brain-integrated silicon by 2030, the majority of people will not benefit, and the tensions brought about by escalating inequality will set progress back by years.

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#26

Post by cygx »

hcarvalhoalves wrote: post #22

Everytime these predictions are made, the outcome seems to be the exact opposite. That said, in 2030 I predict: - After toying with 3D printers for a while, they will go back to vat-grown organs - With widespread Internet access, remote work being a reality and local energy generation, people will leave the big cities seeking better life quality in smaller, country-side cities - There won't be brain chips

There won't be brain chips

Sure about that?

http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/142797-brain-pacemaker-he...

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#27

Post by cygx »

mattmanser wrote: post #23
swalsh wrote: post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Honestly, not that far off... granted it seems to have more of a political perspective then technological: this is paragraph one from the section on Europe. "First, European governments will be absorbed by the need to renegotiate the social contract, i.e., the entitlement programs of the social welfare state hammered out in the post-1945 period. This is not a choice but a necessity: a large, aging population sits ato…

Huh? Not that far off? That's totally off. There's no renegotiation going on of the social contract.

Perhaps not on a large scale, but things like Agenda 2010 and Riester-Rente in Germany are just that written small.

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#28

Post by trurl »

DanI-S wrote: post #25

I love how our predictions of the future never account for the existence of poor people. That's why they're always so wildly off; the vast bulk of humanity are never factored into the equation. While I don't doubt there'll be printable organs and brain-integrated silicon by 2030, the majority of people will not benefit, and the tensions brought about by escalating inequality will set progress back by years.

Yes, my first thought was with rising healthcare costs whether even I'd be able to afford these fancy manufactured organs should I need them.

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#29

Post by TDL »

hcarvalhoalves wrote: post #22

Everytime these predictions are made, the outcome seems to be the exact opposite. That said, in 2030 I predict: - After toying with 3D printers for a while, they will go back to vat-grown organs - With widespread Internet access, remote work being a reality and local energy generation, people will leave the big cities seeking better life quality in smaller, country-side cities - There won't be brain chips

Interesting, the second point flies right in the face of the entire arc of written history. Humanity has been increasingly migrating to urban areas. I doubt that changes with the pervasiveness of the internet.

Re: Intelligence Council Predicts 3D Printed Organs, Megacities, Brain Chips by 2030

#30

Post by MichaelSalib »

rthomas6 wrote: post #21
Petrushka wrote: post #9

I have the Washington Post from Jan 1, 2000. Below the fold is an article on what the future would hold tech-wise for a child born that day. By 2010, we were all supposed to be wearing wristbands with all of our medical information on it, so doctors would simply have to scan them to gain our history. We also wouldn't have cheap (meaning not thousands upon thousands of dollars) mobile computers with the ability to acc…

What is stopping something like the medical wristband thing? Nobody would wear a bracelet like that, but why not an RFID card? That seems like a great idea. What would it take to start something like that?

Security is a big problem. Do you want everyone who gets within 10 feet of you to have access to your complete medical history, name, social security number and insurance information? Then there's the fact that RFIDs can't send much data; you could have them send a UUID that allows doctors to look you up over the internet, but now your wristband is a universal tracking device that allows anyone to track your movements.

Beyond that, a medical history that can't be updated is pretty useless, but our fragmented healthcare system isn't able to agree on standards for electronic medical records or how to synchronize them across different providers. Actually, getting doctors to use EMRs will probably be the work of a generation.

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