Earlier quoted context omitted.
We're talking about exactly the same threat. What I'm pointing out is that state adversaries won't have to "notice" this; all they'll have to do is plug the device into a standard commercial forensics scanner product --- and we're stipulating that they're plugging the device in already (else what does it matter what bits are on it). They pay other people to notice this stuff for them!
> They pay other people to notice this stuff for them! Money, even at state level, is not some infinite resource (and neither is time). States put effort into what they consider worth investigating - no state strip searches every incoming traveller, and goes through every item in their possession - it's possible for them to do, and if they did they'd find a hang of a lot more contraband, but it's costly, time consumi…
If the idea is that there's no point in encrypting anything on a USB stick, and you just hope they don't look at it at all, sure.
But there is no threat model here that includes "check the USB stick" and does not automatically lead to finding and breaking "hidden" content.