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Five US tech giants' hidden debts soar to $1.65T on opaque AI funding

asia.nikkei.com

121–130 of 288 posts

Re: Five US tech giants' hidden debts soar to $1.65T on opaque AI funding

#121
post #97
post #82

It's hard not to be fatalistic about all of this now: In my mind, it's crystal clear that the investments will never be paid back. The revenue streams from all the companies involved don't add up. It must fail at this point. That means losses. Big losses for some. I assume that these off-the-books companies can quite literally be pinched off and the debt becomes the banks' problem, so the primary company, i.e. Meta,…

And every time some points all of this out, they are "denier", "left behind" and all the other everything-ai fanatics can come up with. As for the imminent crash - I'm all for it. There's a whole generation that is incapable of thinking for themselves without an LLM telling them what to do or worse still - do it for them. And for much of the tech world, that is becoming the single point of failure. As for China - I t…

Maybe the "left behind" rhetoric stems from the underlying anxiety of this whole thing imploding and taking the economy with it.

Re: Five US tech giants' hidden debts soar to $1.65T on opaque AI funding

#122
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If the US companies need trillions to barely beat Chinese companies spending billions, despite a multi year head start...

That's the difference between innovating and copying/distilling someone else's innovation. https://wccftech.com/chinas-kimi-k3-identifies-itself-as-ant...

This is a cope.

Re: Five US tech giants' hidden debts soar to $1.65T on opaque AI funding

#123

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don’t know if the public would be as accepting of a bailout for AI companies… trillion dollar businesses that pushed technology with the goal of eliminating 50% of white collar workers… that isn’t really mission critical. If they want the reward, they need to accept the risk when the bet doesn’t go their way. If they aren’t willing to accept that, they shouldn’t be making such big bets.

Society is already being rewarded from the investments AI companies have made. These investments have created something so valuable that society is paying billions of dollars for the product they are making. Even without access to the raw weights, the option of being able to pay for access to these models has tremendous value to society that can not be ignored.

How about cheap healthcare? Or affordable housing, water, electricity and food? Is AI improving human quality of life?

Re: Five US tech giants' hidden debts soar to $1.65T on opaque AI funding

#124
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I don’t know if the public would be as accepting of a bailout for AI companies That's putting it mildly, IMO. An AI bailout would be a poison pill that would electorally doom whichever party was behind it for decades.

After seeing _what_ level of buffoonery, incompetence, and pure idiocy the gerrymandered American electoral system is capable of producing, nope, no, AI bailout won’t matter at all.

> After seeing _what_ level of buffoonery, incompetence, and pure idiocy the gerrymandered American electoral system is capable of producing

I honestly can't tell if you're talking about the Right pandering (in words only) to the voters or the Left scoring own-goals in the last election?

Re: Five US tech giants' hidden debts soar to $1.65T on opaque AI funding

#125
post #122
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's the difference between innovating and copying/distilling someone else's innovation. https://wccftech.com/chinas-kimi-k3-identifies-itself-as-ant...

This is a cope.

Huh? What exactly do you think I'm trying to "cope" with? That American AI companies are overleveraged and some of them are going to go bankrupt? I've been predicting that for months. Why do you think I would need to cope with the idea?

Re: Five US tech giants' hidden debts soar to $1.65T on opaque AI funding

#127
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If the US companies need trillions to barely beat Chinese companies spending billions, despite a multi year head start...

That's the difference between innovating and copying/distilling someone else's innovation. https://wccftech.com/chinas-kimi-k3-identifies-itself-as-ant...

> That's the difference between innovating and copying/distilling someone else's innovation.

Aren't the models from Anthropic and OpenAI simply the distilled work of everyone else who ever put their work online, or in books?

Why is their distillation okay, but other distillations not ok?

Re: Five US tech giants' hidden debts soar to $1.65T on opaque AI funding

#128
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If the US companies need trillions to barely beat Chinese companies spending billions, despite a multi year head start...

That's the difference between innovating and copying/distilling someone else's innovation. https://wccftech.com/chinas-kimi-k3-identifies-itself-as-ant...

Or maybe China's math/science/population/gov investment powerhouse is pulling ahead and becoming unstoppable?

Re: Five US tech giants' hidden debts soar to $1.65T on opaque AI funding

#129

Well technically they don’t own the debt, the SPVs that own the data centers do. The giants just have long term commitments, but if shit hits the fan, it’s not the tech giants but the banks that lent the money to the SPVs that are at risk. This usually means all of us are on the hook.

But how could it be that the banks have lent the money without a leverage or proper risk assessment? Also what I don't understand is that how come the banks cannot claw back the money they lent if they found out corruption or any other ill intention by the borrowers.

Re: Five US tech giants' hidden debts soar to $1.65T on opaque AI funding

#130
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

After seeing _what_ level of buffoonery, incompetence, and pure idiocy the gerrymandered American electoral system is capable of producing, nope, no, AI bailout won’t matter at all.

> After seeing _what_ level of buffoonery, incompetence, and pure idiocy the gerrymandered American electoral system is capable of producing I honestly can't tell if you're talking about the Right pandering (in words only) to the voters or the Left scoring own-goals in the last election?

Both are part of “the American electoral system”
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