Live data from Hacker News

The glass backbone: Why the Army's logistics will break in the next war

mwi.westpoint.edu

511–520 of 701 posts

Re: The glass backbone: Why the Army's logistics will break in the next war

#511

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If China/Taiwan kicks off, you're not getting new parts from Taiwan

The US can produce these chips. South Korea can also do that.

You know that when there were COVID related supply chain disruptions to microchips coming out of Taiwan, Europe and the US actually found it impossible to make the right number of cars?

Re: The glass backbone: Why the Army's logistics will break in the next war

#512
It’s ok for it to break as long as the enemy’s breaks first. I don’t see anything comparing this to other armies. Air superiority doesn’t exist in the Ukraine war and I question how many lessons can truly be drawn from it for the US because of that. Not chest pumping here, this just feels a little too in the moment.

Re: The glass backbone: Why the Army's logistics will break in the next war

#513

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The US cannot produce most of what that TSMC can can. And those US factories aren't rolling yet either.

Most drones don't use anything cutting-edge. Even 15-year-old chips are more than enough.

You don't think neural networks are going to be a factor in drone wars? How far out do you think this prediction will hold?

Re: The glass backbone: Why the Army's logistics will break in the next war

#514
post #507

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Gameification of war is the literal worst thing I ever heard. Lords of War, eat your heart out.

There's nothing new about earning "points" for kills. Warriors have always tallied their kills and displayed their numbers, e.g. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Victory_marking or https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scalping , though the rewards were typically accolades, and only indirectly access to more materiel.

There is nothing new under the sun. You fail to address my clear moral objection with these irrelevant historical instances. It has no rhetorical value in this context.

Re: The glass backbone: Why the Army's logistics will break in the next war

#515

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There hasn't been a clear goal for an American war since the first Gulf War.

The goals for intervention in the Serbia/Bosnia conflict were clear and noble, IMO.

That wasn't an American operation though, that was a NATO and UN operation involving American, British, French and Dutch forces.

Re: The glass backbone: Why the Army's logistics will break in the next war

#516
post #474
post #348

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There have been rumblings of a Russian attack on Poland for awhile. https://youtu.be/NVnbtbtgu2Y?is=2lMFmF2kQ0SXqIw0 https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/07/03/russia-pla... https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/26/russia-provoca... Polish news: https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/07/09/8043294/ --- The head of Poland's Foreign Ministry noted that he cannot comment on intelligence data but stressed th…

Poland is delivering 90% of NATO’s support to Ukraine. France is one of the staunchest enemies of Russia. In this situation I just don’t understand what people expect Russia to do?? Sit and accept while those countries work hard to kill its soldiers and destroy its economy? I am surprised Russia hasn’t bombed transport depots in Poland that are known to be used for weapons delivery to Ukraine yet, but that seems very…

> In this situation I just don’t understand what people expect Russia to do??

To stay within its borders. And that counts for the others on this planet, too.

Re: The glass backbone: Why the Army's logistics will break in the next war

#517

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What diplomatic means should the United States (why the US and not others) take to stop Russia in Ukraine, stop Iran in the Middle East, stop North Korea, and stop China and its support for Russia or insistence of attacking Taiwan? Certainly there is some room for negotiation and diplomacy and frankly I think we've tried that and tried it until it was clearly insane and then we still tried it. We (the west) tried to…

russia makes sense to the extent that they're attacking other countries unprovoked, but what are you talking about stopping China, North Korea, and Iran, from actually doing? Being successful? Improving their country? Existing?

He literally said it for China: stopping an invasion. I would add limiting political influence from autocratic governments that don't respect individual rights, but I know that's opening another Pandora's box.

Re: The glass backbone: Why the Army's logistics will break in the next war

#518

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I just don't see how the fuel costs of getting things up to space winning out unless production is located up there. Starship's in theory targeting something like a million bucks in fuel for a launch. For a military that spends more than that on individual missiles , that's peanuts.

Starship is also in theory targetting to reach Mars in 2022.

There's an unavoidable physical cap here.

It's fueled with methane and oxygen, and its size is known.

It can't be, say, $50m/flight in fuel for the same reason a 747's flight can't be; there's not enough space for that much fuel.

Re: The glass backbone: Why the Army's logistics will break in the next war

#519

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What diplomatic means should the United States (why the US and not others) take to stop Russia in Ukraine, stop Iran in the Middle East, stop North Korea, and stop China and its support for Russia or insistence of attacking Taiwan? Certainly there is some room for negotiation and diplomacy and frankly I think we've tried that and tried it until it was clearly insane and then we still tried it. We (the west) tried to…

Conflating China with Russia is absolutely bonkers. No need to comment when you're already engorged on propaganda. Also don't understand what point you're trying to make outside of the US being explicitly poor actors that ignore treaties, allies, and are willing to start wars to run cover for unpopular domestic leadership while causing the unnecessary deaths of millions of people across the world. Also WTF does backs…

I'm guessing with backstabbing he means China's practice of stealing technology and closing off the market for foreign companies.

Lots of smaller and mid sized companies that tried to invest in the Chinese market lost everything because the government protected and supported local copycats, with no intention of giving the foreign company fair access to the market.

Re: The glass backbone: Why the Army's logistics will break in the next war

#520

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ukraine and Taiwan quietly cooperate in weapons development and production, especially drones.[1] They both have big, aggressive neighbors. Ukraine knows how to fight them, and Taiwan can make electronics in quantity. Ukraine is starting to get cooperation from Japan, too, but that's in an earlier stage.[2] With Taiwan, it's serious. The paper doesn't mention Ukraine at all, yet it's all about the kind of war that Uk…

In Taiwan's case, the question is how does China see the reunification. It could be a naval blockade until Taiwan runs out of food/fuel/medicines and they surrender. Or it could be "we will take the island no matter what" and if somebody survives OK, if not, also OK.

Wow, I just looked up how self-sufficient the island is and the answer is barely at all. Which initially seems surprising given the continual threat. But I guess they're counting on global support as a tech chokepoint.
Post reply on HN