The glass backbone: Why the Army's logistics will break in the next war

Post by lostlogin » Fri, Jul 10, 2026, 5:41 AM UTC

Robotbeat wrote: post #342

lostlogin wrote: post #250

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The next war is going to need the US to do something pretty spectacular if it’s going to reclaim the ground it’s lost in the Iran war. The situation there is an utter joke, and shows no sign of wrapping up any time soon.

That’s because there’s no political will for ground forces by the US because it’s a dumb war. If there was political will, then the area around the Hormuz strait would’ve been seized, as well as the nuclear sites secured. Carpet bombing, too, not just surgical strikes.

Post by t-3 » Fri, Jul 10, 2026, 5:45 AM UTC

dmsayer wrote: post #378

bix6 wrote: post #151

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Thanks for linking this is interesting. It sounds like they are still unable to produce many of the base components though? > most manufacturers of everything within Ukraine remain dependent on imported machining tools — traditionally Chinese, but increasingly Indian and, for those who can afford it, European. But for the cheapest components, simple base-line products like transistors, circuit boards, wiring, or sola…

Taiwan?

Post by Animats » Fri, Jul 10, 2026, 6:07 AM UTC

orthoxerox wrote: post #325

Animats wrote: post #199

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- Why don't they carpet bomb all of the Ukraine? Russia does not have anywhere near enough aircraft to do that. If they tried, they'd lose more of their air force.[1] Russia does not have much of an aircraft industry left. For one thing, much of the USSR's aircraft industry was in Ukraine. - Why not fire off a litany of missiles? Nuclear? Russia so far has not wanted to cross that threshold and start WWIII. Non-nucle…

> The draft in Russia now covers all males from 18 to 30. In that age range, men can no longer leave Russia. This is incorrect.

Post by antihero » Fri, Jul 10, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC

ponector wrote: post #314

AngryData wrote: post #266

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If you level a city you just removed 95% of the reason for trying to capture that city. Spending untold billions of dollars and tens of thousands of lives for a pile of ash would never pay itself off.

But this is exactly how russians are capturing Donbass: each sity they managed to capture for the last two years are total ruins.

Post by Zardoz84 » Fri, Jul 10, 2026, 6:11 AM UTC

TSiege wrote: post #232

pphysch wrote: post #189

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It absolutely does, it can simply choose to not bomb Iran after Iran enforces regulations on its (shared with Oman) waterway. Bombing Iran for a month because Iran fired on 4 ships that were violating its SoH rules is wildly disproportionate and optional.

This is not necessarily true. Yes the strait of hormuz is technically in their territorial waters, but it has been recognized as an international water way until recently. Every country with a port on the other side of the strait is going to lose access. This might not be a tolerable situation to those allies of ours and they also have the ability to force the war to drag on. Maybe we walk and pull out from our bases…