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Tell HN: Who wants to be hired" posts outpace "Who's hiring" 2 to 1

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Tell HN: Who wants to be hired" posts outpace "Who's hiring" 2 to 1

#1

Post by santiagobasulto »

Lately I've noticed that "Who wants to be hired" posts are getting more comments than the "Who's hiring" ones.

I pulled the data using HN API and confirmed this "reversal". "Who wants to be hired" posts are getting 2x more comments than "Who's hiring" posts (and seems to be accelerating). For reference, in 2022 it used to be 0.25.

I'm old, I'm from the times where demand for software devs greatly outpaced supply, but maybe we're seeing a reversal of it?

I don't want to draw any conclusions yet, there could be many things going on. My initial thoughts would be AI-related. We're either entering a general recession because the AI bubble is bursting, or the job market is changing due to AI.

Again, I don't have any answers, but it's something definitively interesting to discuss!

Here's the source code (including data): https://github.com/santiagobasulto/hn-who-is-hiring-analysis

Re: Tell HN: Who wants to be hired" posts outpace "Who's hiring" 2 to 1

#2

Post by ddorian43 »

Started to reverse before ai though. With the law in US (which was reverted) that you couldn't use all software research as expense so you needed to pay tax on no-profit.

Then with increased interest rates. Which are still active and weirdly should've caused more hardship than ~3 months lower stocks.

And now ai, but this depends on demand for software too, which I don't how big it is, like can demand scale too with ai?

Like when you lower electricity cost people just use more electricity.

Re: Tell HN: Who wants to be hired" posts outpace "Who's hiring" 2 to 1

#3

Post by gokuljs »

ddorian43 wrote: post #2

Started to reverse before ai though. With the law in US (which was reverted) that you couldn't use all software research as expense so you needed to pay tax on no-profit. Then with increased interest rates. Which are still active and weirdly should've caused more hardship than ~3 months lower stocks. And now ai, but this depends on demand for software too, which I don't how big it is, like can demand scale too with a…

It all starter from With the law in US (which was reverted) that you couldn't use all software research as expense so you needed to pay tax on no-profit. Then you cannat hire people remotly if you do that you will loose tax benefits and stuff. then ai picked up . basically we are screwed

Re: Tell HN: Who wants to be hired" posts outpace "Who's hiring" 2 to 1

#8

Post by Tade0 »

Back in 2023 when I was reading the "Who's hiring" for March I wanted to ask aloud "truly, who is?".

I'm happy my junior years passed before all this and I don't envy those who are just coming into this field.

And it's not just tech - all over my extended social circle there are people in various fields who were laid off. It's a crawling, largely invisible in the usual indicators, crisis.

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