This is what happens when you give people tools that let them achieve an outcome, without necessarily giving them the judgement or expertise to know whether the outcome is any good. If you asked me to build a house, I could probably assemble something that would stand for a few months. Hopefully. It might even keep the rain out. But it might also fall on my head, because I do not know enough about building houses to…
I think this is where aggregate effects have to be considered. One person building an idiosyncratic house out of found materials: neat little project. One million people doing so: shanty town that can be seen from orbit and is a disaster waiting to happen. The Web already had a problem with externalizing costs onto users. Both the simple cost of poorly executing websites (power, mobile data, time), and more subtle on…
On the one hand: Amazing power! Look at how much more output everyone is generating!
On the other hand: Society maintaining guardrails that were engineered around human failure modes are completely inappropriate for bounding something that makes 10% random errors everywhere.
To re-use an example upthread... what if you had an LLM that could build an entire house? Foundation? Plumbing? Electrical? Roofing? Septic?
And then we let everyone guide that LLM to build their own house.
We'd drastically increase the housing supply, but every house would have 10% of its systems built incorrectly.
We could fix that by requiring grounding in building codes, automated reviews, etc. But none of that hard work updating guardrails is something AI accelerationists are interested in working on.
So you end up with a society where every septic system has a 10% chance of being misdesigned...