Although it's not the most important thing here, I love the IQ badge on the right side of the screen. At IQ 200, the AI is finally qualified to carry a pager for production. I'm in the pagerduty lineup, and shockingly, my IQ isn't even a mere 185.
It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)
71–80 of 143 posts
Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)
#72You should add a parallel timeline of how many times AI CEOs have claimed their next model is too dangerous to release, AGI is months away, or some white collar job will be obsolete within 6 months. I don’t know anyone in the tech industry who thinks AGI will never happen or that software engineering and white collar jobs can’t be automated. We all read sci fi, you’re not some unique visionary for anticipating AI. Th…
You don’t know me, but I am in the tech industry and believe AGI will never happen. Albeit that is because I did a BSc in psychology where I developed a deep distrust for intelligence research and concluded that intelligence is not a useful term in philosophy nor science (and especially not in engineering).
We are so much closer to 1G constant acceleration space flight than we are to AGI. We know, in principle, how to achieve 1G travel. We don't know, in principle how to achieve AGI. Our best guess so far is something along the lines of "emergence" which means "maybe if we do enough matrix math in the right way it'll wake up and become a being with agency and intelligence". Another way to say this is "hopes, prayers, and lots of GPUs".
Let's all get a grip. Without a coherent theory of intelligence, you aren't gonna make one in a lab. That's not how science works, it's not how engineering works. Start at the beginning.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Orion_%28nuclear_propu...
Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)
#73You forgot the first goalpost: the Turing test.
Passing specific tests to the point that the internet is now full of "Is that content AI generated or not" debates? Yes
Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)
#74Earlier quoted context omitted.
I agree. I don't think they're mutually exclusive. You can have something smarter than you which you use as a tool. My point was that there's nothing objectively special about our level of intelligence, so it shouldn't be used as a benchmark.
> You can have something smarter than you which you use as a tool. That sounds like how tech CEO's treat their employees! Kidding aside, I think the notion that you could control something (legitimately) smarter than you is a pretty risky proposition. (Fortunately one that I think is actually far off)
Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)
#75Earlier quoted context omitted.
I agree. I don't think they're mutually exclusive. You can have something smarter than you which you use as a tool. My point was that there's nothing objectively special about our level of intelligence, so it shouldn't be used as a benchmark.
> You can have something smarter than you which you use as a tool. That sounds like how tech CEO's treat their employees! Kidding aside, I think the notion that you could control something (legitimately) smarter than you is a pretty risky proposition. (Fortunately one that I think is actually far off)
Well, Trump seems to control a lot of people given how afraid they are.
Trump is also called not the smartest person out there.
So...
Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)
#76Earlier quoted context omitted.
If we don't have access to capital, we will abolish capital altogether. This still backfire to the oligarchs
Are you sure the capital-enabled won't abolish us for trying to do so?
It's probably a really bad idea to keep building them autonomous killing machines though
Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)
#77As my company experiments with AI-heavy programming, I don’t feel like my job’s going away, but as a “full stack” programmer who’s also good at and comfortable managing a task board, walking “stakeholders” and SMEs through requirements-gathering, et c., I am increasingly wondering why our “teams” still have a couple non-programmers doing that stuff. Dedicated QA, for that matter—all that test-writing and test-data-ge…
Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)
#78Earlier quoted context omitted.
I’m unaware of any humans that don’t have this error method also.
Look, I don't spend most of my time online criticizing AI progress. But what does your response even mean? People hallucinating work and solutions isn't commonplace at all, right? What industry do you work in where people hallucinate with frequency?
Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)
#79I like that this goofy fear-based boosterism is on the front page at the same time as an actually well reasoned and well written article about how fear-based boosterism has actually harmed the AI industry instead of making everyone panic-buy like they intended. I assume that’s entirely due to not being able to downvote submissions on HN. As for the article, as another user put it: > Call me when it stops making thing…
Re: It Still Can't Do My Job: Four Years of Moving Goalposts (2022–2026)
#80Earlier quoted context omitted.
Are you sure the capital-enabled won't abolish us for trying to do so?
They will certainly try, but they don't have the capability yet It's probably a really bad idea to keep building them autonomous killing machines though