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Claude Sonnet 5

anthropic.com

811–820 of 822 posts

Re: Claude Sonnet 5

#811
post #519
post #347

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You’re trying to apply value based pricing (infinite margin upside) to a commodity. Pre-bubble pricing: $1400 gets a 128GiB iGPU optimized for inference. Glm and kimi need 800-1000GiB. Call it 1TiB. The $1400 boxes could be ganged into sets of 4-8, with a switch. Call the switch $1000. Each box has a TDP of 250W. 8 x 250/120V = 16.666A, or one household circuit in the US, so no new power infrastructure is needed. $14…

Right, that number is more of an estimate of the value proposition of the entire AI industry rather than projections of revenue or valuations... it's essentially an estimate on how much the market could theoretically bear. Whether the companies can capture that value is, to your point, rightly a different question. I do think open weight and other competitor models, especially with better harnesses, will play a signi…

A buzz word here, a buzz word there.

Mate your logic is insanely broken, underpinned by wishy washy assumptions mixed with shaky predictions about the future.

Aka a whole lotta noise

Re: Claude Sonnet 5

#813
post #253

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There’s no way to justify their valuations if they get downgraded to a pair programming tool. They need fully agentic stuff to work and replace human engineers to even come close. Offhand, I’m not even certain whether a model like that could justify the constant retraining we’re doing on the agentic models. It doesn’t make a lot of sense to spend millions or billions on training to reduce hallucinations by 0.3% if yo…

Some napkin math -- total global labor compensation is about 50% of the GDP, which puts it in the USD 50 - 60 Trillion range: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/labor-share-of-gdp This source claims that knowledge workers alone (probably because they are paid much more) account for 35 - 50 Trillion of that: https://github.com/danielmiessler/Substrate/blob/main/Data/K... If LLMs can boost their productivity even by an…

So, maybe a dumb question, but do we have any real reason to believe that productivity at any level is actually associated with the actual underlying profit and earnings of any of the companies that are heavily 'knowledge work' focused, like big tech? Sure, for a factory, or a farm it makes sense.

But for tech I get the impression that valuation has been fundamentally unmoored from actual production for decades already. Its less about 'productivity' and more about vibes.

Re: Claude Sonnet 5

#814
post #253

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Some napkin math -- total global labor compensation is about 50% of the GDP, which puts it in the USD 50 - 60 Trillion range: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/labor-share-of-gdp This source claims that knowledge workers alone (probably because they are paid much more) account for 35 - 50 Trillion of that: https://github.com/danielmiessler/Substrate/blob/main/Data/K... If LLMs can boost their productivity even by an…

This assumes the hand-wavvy "production" of knowledge workers translates directly and equally into money. Making a CEO 5% more productive might mean a billion dollars or it might mean nothing. Making a developer 5% more productive might mean the app gets finished faster or some more tickets are closed, but certainly direct monetary relationship between "work done" and "money made", especially if the knowledge work be…

yeah, my personal work experience has taught me that extra productivity is actual really just a problem for many companies. You do more work now I have to too. We don't have to work because we have special relationships with or as gatekeepers ensuring we receive regular income from government, other corps, etc.

Look at what happened to twitter. So many companies aren't 'productive', they are simply parked somewhere where they can charge a toll, and then they pretend legitimacy.

Re: Claude Sonnet 5

#815
post #132

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have tried to rewrite an article with GLM-5.2 and with Sonnet 4.6. Completely different results as LLM is non-deterministic. But GLM-5.2 made a lot of subtle mistakes that needed to be corrected by hand. On the opposite, Sonnet found and corrected all mistakes in the second round. Similar situation was with planning and coding. GLM-5.2 seems to be good “on paper” but the real usage results was different. And I am n…

We have found similar when plugging GLM 5.2 into actual benchmarks in our product. The open-source models are really dialled into the public benchmarks, until you try them in context you won't have a solid idea of how they perform (Sonnet is a higher quality model than 5.2, both in prose, reasoning, and alignment).

Probably because benchmarks are leaked. Included in their training or model can cheat by finding answer online.

Re: Claude Sonnet 5

#816
post #301

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is such a defeatist and low agency take. "means of production" are not a limited resource like gold that you have to extract from natural sources or divvy up. They are fundamentally skill and knowledge that anyone can attain and put to use, maybe not on the same scale as a well funded business but even those businesses had to start somewhere in order to grow to the size they are now. So rather than casting asper…

You think AI tech doesn't use rare earth metals?

Rare earth metals aren't rare, it's a misnomer.

Re: Claude Sonnet 5

#817
post #313

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Idk why you're perceiving silence. Feels to me like this is the main thing people talk about nowadays.

It has to do with the scope of what they're discussing. It seems extraordinarily small: e.g. what if AI increases productivity growth by 0.4%? Do data centers use too much water? Are AIs racist when reviewing resumes? The frontier labs, on the other hand, are thinking about replacing all human labor, ending death, and the risk of it causing human extinction. Most of the apparatus we're talking about approach it very…

Death is a quirk of the universe underwritten by the current understanding of the second thermodynamic law. I don’t think any AI companies are making progress on that any time soon.

Re: Claude Sonnet 5

#818
I switched to Sonnet 5.

My impression is, that Claude tries to use more and more tokens. E.g. doing playwright with screenshots for things that i could have easily confirmed. Doing unneccessari ntermediate builds with tons of logs to process, ...

Honestly, after the first good impression such behavior makes me start losing trust in Anthropic.

Re: Claude Sonnet 5

#819
post #816

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You think AI tech doesn't use rare earth metals?

Rare earth metals aren't rare, it's a misnomer.

Depends on how you define rare. Also irrelevant — the only thing important to the argument is that they are "limited resources."

Re: Claude Sonnet 5

#820

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What’s everyone favorite GLM provider? z.ai doesnt always have the most reliable AI but I don’t mind the party seeing my trade secrets and thoughts compared to an American corporation + the party seeing my trade secrets and thoughts. So thats not a functional difference to me, and the Chinese one won’t reply to subpoenas so thats a value add tbh So I’ll consider all, fastest tokens/sec wins

Run it on Amazon Bedrock or GCP vertex. No problems at all .

Bedrock does not have GLM 5.2 and likely will not for quite some time. It seems like they are doing that on purpose due to pressure from Anthropic. DigitalOcean has it though.
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