Earlier quoted context omitted.
You’re trying to apply value based pricing (infinite margin upside) to a commodity. Pre-bubble pricing: $1400 gets a 128GiB iGPU optimized for inference. Glm and kimi need 800-1000GiB. Call it 1TiB. The $1400 boxes could be ganged into sets of 4-8, with a switch. Call the switch $1000. Each box has a TDP of 250W. 8 x 250/120V = 16.666A, or one household circuit in the US, so no new power infrastructure is needed. $14…
Right, that number is more of an estimate of the value proposition of the entire AI industry rather than projections of revenue or valuations... it's essentially an estimate on how much the market could theoretically bear. Whether the companies can capture that value is, to your point, rightly a different question. I do think open weight and other competitor models, especially with better harnesses, will play a signi…
Mate your logic is insanely broken, underpinned by wishy washy assumptions mixed with shaky predictions about the future.
Aka a whole lotta noise