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Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

stephendiehl.com

31–40 of 561 posts

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#31
post #19

> A shadow dollar system, newly blessed by federal statute, is quietly migrating the savings of the global poor onto the balance sheets of a handful of opaque private companies. I'm out of the loop on this one. Is he talking about some crypto thing?

When you go outside of the nice countries, local money becomes worthless. Nobody wants it, they'd much rather have dollars instead. Stablecoins for the first time offer a reasonable way for the global poor to store value in dollars, or in the form of any relatively stable currency. Obviously this comes with all kinds of issues, but it's still better than the original situation where "savings" simply didn't exist exce…

The global poor already had ways to store value in dollars. They could simply exchange whatever meager savings they had into... real dollars! And they have been doing that for decades. I don't know whether anyone in the west really believes in this bullshit of cryptocurrencies that give the global poor options.

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#32

Really wish we could go back to saying "cryptocurrency", it is incredibly depressing that the world has decided that "cryptocurrency" is more relevant than "cryptography"...

100% @dang can we edit these sort of titles for clarity?

Cryptography came first and has millions of practical applications, and will only become more frequent fodder for discussion as quantum computing advances. If any discipline deserves claim to "crypto" it's -graphy.

(I'd also accept cryptozoology as the one true 'crypto')

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#33
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

You should be kinder to people if you want them to come around to your way of thinking.

I was unkind? I would call telling people to prioritize circuses over learning and livelihood pretty damn cruel. Even if they did it in a friendly way.

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#34
post #23

Actually, this industry routinely runs what you'd call "hero marketing," and what makes it especially dangerous for young people is that they're being sold success stories by actors playing people who don't exist, fictional characters who supposedly got rich through crypto. 1.A tiny handful of success stories are pushed to the front. 2.The vast majority who lost money are made invisible. 3.It manufactures the expecta…

Yes, and: it's not completely exclusive to crypto. The UK FCA had to ban "binary options", a financial instrument using traditional money, due to the high volume of scams. https://www.fca.org.uk/consumers/binary-options-scams

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#35

Note that this post includes a major spoiler for the show The Good Place . The show is fantastic, so I'd suggest not reading unless you've already finished season 1, or have decided it's not for you.

I am ride or die Good Place; my family has the Trolley Problem party game. Don’t spoil it if you haven’t seen it.

But honestly I feel the Darkest Timeline is more apt, ala Community.

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#36
I think we have a clear idea on what sort of crypto is useful (stablecoins) and which ones are not (memecoins, Bitcoin).

As we have seen with Stripe [0], Shopify [1], PayPal [2] and many others have all figured out its utility is in stablecoins like USDC, which you can send them worldwide, same day, 24/7 in seconds close to $0 with no room for speculation and pay for things and soon agents will do the same. [3]

We get that the author is still upset about Cardano ruining his own crypto startup (Adjoint Inc.) in 2017, but I think we are way past the "crypto is scam" chantings and the companies that I mentioned would agree.

[0] https://stripe.com/en-es/payment-method/stablecoins-and-cryp...

[1] https://www.shopify.com/news/stablecoins-on-shopify

[2] https://www.paypal.com/us/digital-wallet/manage-money/crypto...

[3] https://tempo.xyz/

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#39

> At no point in this pipeline does Mike's capital touch productive enterprise. This is an interesting economic/philosophical angle. What is the logical conclusion of this? What happens as a higher fraction of people deploy their capital in zero-sum games? Is "deployment" even the right framing? A bet doesn't necessarily "tie up" capital in the same way as a real investment (you could place your bet moments before it…

The logical conclusion is it should be taxed as gambling, not investing. Some countries like India have already gotten this one right.

Re: Crypto in 2026: Oh, This Is the Bad Place

#40
post #23

Actually, this industry routinely runs what you'd call "hero marketing," and what makes it especially dangerous for young people is that they're being sold success stories by actors playing people who don't exist, fictional characters who supposedly got rich through crypto. 1.A tiny handful of success stories are pushed to the front. 2.The vast majority who lost money are made invisible. 3.It manufactures the expecta…

It's gambling, and it's gambling in dodgy unregulated casinos.

"This guy won big!" is absolutely a part of the marketing that pulls in the other suckers. It's not a counter-example, it's part of the scheme.

I know people who really enjoy a night out losing a 3-digit sum of money in a casino. Somehow they get sufficient reward from that to make the expense worthwhile for them.

The difference is, that unlike the Crypto enthusiasts, they don't afterwards try to convince me at length that gambling can and should replace money transfers, foreign exchange, banks in general, pension funds, the governmental exchequer etc. That would be cultish lunacy.

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