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Dallas Fed: 30% of housing cost increase driven by unauthorized immigration [pdf]

dallasfed.org

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Re: Dallas Fed: 30% of housing cost increase driven by unauthorized immigration [pdf]

#11
The research is impressive in its granularity.

However, they seem to simply assert causality. It would seem far more likely that people (illegal or not) move to areas experiencing economic booms that, among other things, is push up home prices.

Re: Dallas Fed: 30% of housing cost increase driven by unauthorized immigration [pdf]

#12

Legal immigration also raise housing costs. And if we complain, we are labeled as racist.

Canada housing costs are coming down since temporary immigration has been strongly curtailed.

Immigration cannot outpace housing supply without impacting housing costs for everyone.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/12/canada-migrati...

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46304685 (citations)

Re: Dallas Fed: 30% of housing cost increase driven by unauthorized immigration [pdf]

#13

In a properly functioning market, new supply would be built when there is new demand. Perhaps they should try to figure out why that isn't happening.

I know it’s good for Blue Team redistricting, but I think we need to seriously reconsider the viability of moving every human on earth to 5 metro areas in the US.

Re: Dallas Fed: 30% of housing cost increase driven by unauthorized immigration [pdf]

#15

You know, if they'd said 5%, I would buy it. 30% is a lie on the face of it. No one single factor dies that much.

If I hadn't been hearing that the illegal immigrant population has remained unchanged at approximately 11 million _for decades_, I'd probably agree with you.

I think a lot of people are truly in denial about just how many illegal immigrants are in the country, and they all need housing.

Re: Dallas Fed: 30% of housing cost increase driven by unauthorized immigration [pdf]

#16

In a properly functioning market, new supply would be built when there is new demand. Perhaps they should try to figure out why that isn't happening.

I know it’s good for Blue Team redistricting, but I think we need to seriously reconsider the viability of moving every human on earth to 5 metro areas in the US.

Well it's those large metro areas that roll out the red carpet for them (assistance programs and sanctuary status), so I see no problem with it.

Re: Dallas Fed: 30% of housing cost increase driven by unauthorized immigration [pdf]

#18

Legal immigration also raise housing costs. And if we complain, we are labeled as racist.

Canada housing costs are coming down since temporary immigration has been strongly curtailed. Immigration cannot outpace housing supply without impacting housing costs for everyone. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/12/canada-migrati... https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46304685 (citations)

I've said this a million times, there is no free lunch with using immigration to paper over population decline. One of the main problems has to do with housing. A baby will require their own separate housing in ~20 years. An immigrant needs it _today_. It's irrefutable that bringing in 100K immigrants, illegal or otherwise, in a year will strain the housing market more than 100K babies. We used to have a sustainable way of keeping pace with population growth.

Re: Dallas Fed: 30% of housing cost increase driven by unauthorized immigration [pdf]

#19
post #15

You know, if they'd said 5%, I would buy it. 30% is a lie on the face of it. No one single factor dies that much.

If I hadn't been hearing that the illegal immigrant population has remained unchanged at approximately 11 million _for decades_, I'd probably agree with you. I think a lot of people are truly in denial about just how many illegal immigrants are in the country, and they all need housing.

[deleted]

Re: Dallas Fed: 30% of housing cost increase driven by unauthorized immigration [pdf]

#20
post #16

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I know it’s good for Blue Team redistricting, but I think we need to seriously reconsider the viability of moving every human on earth to 5 metro areas in the US.

Well it's those large metro areas that roll out the red carpet for them (assistance programs and sanctuary status), so I see no problem with it.

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