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After AI takes everything
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Re: After AI takes everything
#42Writing tip: you do not need to have LLMs expand your ideas into a longer form for you. Spreading out your ideas across a longer post does not make them better.
"I would have written a shorter letter, but I did not have the time." - Blaise Pascal
third time i see this cliche quote in two days
Re: After AI takes everything
#43> Once AI takes everything it can take, what is left for us?
This is a good question, but is perhaps too abstract to address well. I think a better question for right now is:
Once AI generates all the wealth it can generate, who benefits from that wealth?
If the answer is a small number of humans, that is probably a dystopia worth resisting.
If the answer is some number of AI agents, but no humans at all, that is probably also a dystopia worth resisting.
I think the only good outcome is one in which humanity benefits on the whole. If that means that we have to become a post-capitalist society in order to share in the wealth, so be it.
Re: After AI takes everything
#44Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yeah, I keep coming back to a point that the way people talk about AI is still entirely disconnected from what it can actually do. I think of the bell curve meme a lot when I see people talking about AI. the people most bullish to perpetuate that it's going to take over are people that have vested interested, or people that are fall on the bottom half of the bell curve. I mean ... come on, by design an AI is literall…
after the implementation was done, have you asked the model again, in a fresh context window, to review the code against the specification?
so much to unpack here and almost poetic that you say this
first is that the model will write out that it “thought” and “double checked” it’s output
Second, this was in a fresh context window of the latest model (that isn’t fable b/c we can’t use for reasons beyond this thread), and it was on it’s second highest thinking mode. I shouldn’t have to double check something that it claimed to have burned more tokens on to double check
Outside of it costing me more money to fix what it claims to do, the main point of this article is that models are implementing things nearly end to end, and if we scale it up, it will only continue to do that. I Intentionally chose the example of something that is My point is that time and time again on the most trivial examples, under the best of conditions, and with unlimited amounts of money, they can’t do what it claims
Outside of that, this follow up comment(s) that say, “oh you need to ask it to check its own work and be so involved in the process of it writing the code that you need to spot check it” goes against everything the article states
The best analogy I have for this is New speak in 1984, it’s just vibes dictating vibes and trying to make people claim that the vibes are right. and if you try to validate the vibes, your vibes are just wrong because you don’t get the vibes. The claims that it made have no data backing it. And if there is data, it’s cherry picked. Please use your brain and stop outsourcing your ability to think to a machine that is incorrectly thinking on your behalf
Edit: Typos
Re: After AI takes everything
#45These types of posts are tediously regular. Aschenbrenner’s “Situational Awareness” in 2024 [1]. Fraudster Matt Schumer’s “Something Big is Happening” in February [2].
Next viral doom post in September-ish?
[1] https://situational-awareness.ai/
[2] https://lowendbox.com/blog/ai-fraudster-matt-shumer-wrote-so...
Re: After AI takes everything
#46Re: After AI takes everything
#47Re: After AI takes everything
#48I really liked this quote:
“If in the future we write less code and only review, these abilities are hard to train — what do we do?”
That's a different question than the included Luddite example, which I take as "what do we do to prevent change?".
Related, I've been maintaining a list of anti-tech Luddite movements here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1M_UjOPxpbKMYes5CcWRW...
Re: After AI takes everything
#49> My answer: soon. By the end of this year or next, the year after at the very latest.
Which is based on what?
> AI can process the entire world
It can process what is in it's training set. Which is a monumental gap to step over. Failing to understand this leads to all kinds of silly predictions and mindless prognostication.
I'd like to see an AI article based on data and not paragraphs of internal monologue spewed out onto the internet.
Re: After AI takes everything
#50This "how to adapt" prop-slop is getting tiresome. So much of it is obviously intended to project and demoralize rather than provoke thought or give legitimate advice. The trick of this kind of writing is to skip arguing that something rather questionable will happen and go straight to giving advice about how everyone should adapt to the new, totally inevitable reality. This isn't even a particularly sophisticated method of manipulation.