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Running local models is good now

vickiboykis.com

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Re: Running local models is good now

#151

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But how smart is it? All the people running local models never seem to mention that they are way dumber than cloud models. I don't care how many tokens per second of nonsense it can generate.

Its not going to be as good as Claude, but if you know what you're doing, it may be good enough to get your work done.

This is task dependent.

I find devstral (even though it’s weak generally) much better at writing and documentation than Opus. I’m actually now delegating all documentation to devstral and away from Claude, which makes a mess.

Re: Running local models is good now

#152
post #7

This is the kind of thing that Anthropic et al should be worried about. As it becomes easier and easier to run local models, the ceiling of what they'll be able to charge will get lower and lower. Not that nobody will be willing to pay $$$$$ per month, but a lot of people are going to multiply the per-month charge by 12 or 24 and say "Could I set up a local model for less than that, and have it pay for itself within…

They are working hard on you not being able to run a thing locally. OpenAI buys all RAM on the spot market, causing the rise of RAM/VRAM prices 6x, making GPUs and decent computers unreachable for the majority of the population. OK, some richer folks might be able to get a 512GB MacStudio or a single RTX Pro 6000 for 13k and be able to run some decent local models, but the vast majority will need to use API. And at some point Nvidia might say: "We don't sell that many 6000s, so let's just cancel them altogether as we can gain 4x profit on datacenter-only GPUs" and then they'll become unobtainium and no private person would ever be able to run anything decent (~1 year behind the frontier) locally.

Re: Running local models is good now

#153
post #124

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I haven't spent a dime on cloud inference, so cannot make a direct comparison like you. But I can 100% attest to the fact that Qwen3.6-27B is a very capable local model for coding tasks. Over the last month and a half I've been using it almost daily, either on my M2 Ultra or on my RTX 5090 box. I use it for small mundane tasks at ggml-org [0] - nothing really impressive, but definitely a helpful tool for a maintainer…

What quant do you run it at? 32GB seems like cutting it close on the rtx 5090 if going 8b, but other commenters are saying 4b lobotomizes the model.

As a baseline, I run all models in Q8 [0] because I want to be confident that when I observe a problem, the root cause is not due to the quantization. However, in this specific case, I use Q8 on the mac and Q4 on the RTX machine because the latter does not fit the full context at Q8. So far, I don't have conclusive evidence that the Q4 quantization affects the quality in a significant way for this model and the tasks that I am using it for.

[0] https://huggingface.co/ggerganov/presets/blob/main/preset.in...

Re: Running local models is good now

#154
post #7

This is the kind of thing that Anthropic et al should be worried about. As it becomes easier and easier to run local models, the ceiling of what they'll be able to charge will get lower and lower. Not that nobody will be willing to pay $$$$$ per month, but a lot of people are going to multiply the per-month charge by 12 or 24 and say "Could I set up a local model for less than that, and have it pay for itself within…

The general consensus is that local models will continue to improve drastically, but hosted models will as well. There will _always_ be a pretty big gulf of capability between what you can do with a desk full of hardware at home vs a few racks of hardware in a datacenter. That seems to be the real "moat" of hosted models at this point in time: access to capital.

What's interesting/exciting is that local models are _already_ quite good at tasks we never imagined AI _ever_ doing before ChatGPT hit the scene just a few short years ago.

We're also in an interesting point in time where companies are releasing the fruits of their research/labor (the LLMs) to the general public for free. For now, I think they see it in their best interest to gain mindshare and rapport, as well as advancing the state of the art in smaller LLMs ("a rising tide lifts all boats") but I fear and expect that these will dry up as the major players buy the minor players, and all will seek a return on their considerable investments in AI research.

Re: Running local models is good now

#155

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But how smart is it? All the people running local models never seem to mention that they are way dumber than cloud models. I don't care how many tokens per second of nonsense it can generate.

Its not going to be as good as Claude, but if you know what you're doing, it may be good enough to get your work done.

A highly skilled carpenter may be able to 'get work done' by banging nails in with a heavy-bottomed cocktail glass, doesn't mean it's not painful to do so when it is continuously breaking and leaving shards of glass all over the workshop for you to find every day for the rest of your life until you clean up the mess you made using the wrong tool for the job.

Re: Running local models is good now

#158
I am happy to pay OpenAI for a cheaper model a few generations behind. But they deprecate models aggressively. They push you to bigger and smarter models, when 95% of my work doesn’t need it.

I’d love it if model providers just let old models run and let us pay less, but the deprecation makes me want to look into local models.

Re: Running local models is good now

#159
post #15

After having been a happy user of Qwen3.6-27B for a few weeks, due to being away from the hardware, I'm currently forced to use Claude Sonnet 4.6 It is such a downgrade. I don't understand how that's even possible. The thing has so many strongly-held opinions I did not ever ask it for, talking just way too much and generally feeling somehow dumber. Of course, being significantly larger, it will encode more knowledge,…

I haven't spent a dime on cloud inference, so cannot make a direct comparison like you. But I can 100% attest to the fact that Qwen3.6-27B is a very capable local model for coding tasks. Over the last month and a half I've been using it almost daily, either on my M2 Ultra or on my RTX 5090 box. I use it for small mundane tasks at ggml-org [0] - nothing really impressive, but definitely a helpful tool for a maintainer…

> About the generation speed: ~100-150 t/s on the RTX 5090 and ~40 t/s on the Mac

Curious if you can share the prefill speed too?

I run locally on a crappy desktop (some AMD iGPU with Vulkan llama.cpp, 32 GB DDR4 RAM) for experimentation. I get 15 tok/s on generation for the qwen & gemma4 MoE models. I get around 150 tok/s prefill speed.

Reason I'm asking about the prefill is looking at my stats at work, I use between 20M to peaks of 300M input tokens daily. Some of those token are cached but in general, I seem to have roughly 500x more input tokens than output. So interested in prefill tok/s stats.

Huge Thank you for llama.cpp btw!!

Re: Running local models is good now

#160
post #15

After having been a happy user of Qwen3.6-27B for a few weeks, due to being away from the hardware, I'm currently forced to use Claude Sonnet 4.6 It is such a downgrade. I don't understand how that's even possible. The thing has so many strongly-held opinions I did not ever ask it for, talking just way too much and generally feeling somehow dumber. Of course, being significantly larger, it will encode more knowledge,…

I haven't spent a dime on cloud inference, so cannot make a direct comparison like you. But I can 100% attest to the fact that Qwen3.6-27B is a very capable local model for coding tasks. Over the last month and a half I've been using it almost daily, either on my M2 Ultra or on my RTX 5090 box. I use it for small mundane tasks at ggml-org [0] - nothing really impressive, but definitely a helpful tool for a maintainer…

Not too shabby. I like the regular Qwen but prompt prefill on my m1max is slow as hell
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