Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
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Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#2> Experts in artificial intelligence estimate...
The predictions of these "experts" have been drastically wrong for the last 3 years. At what point does someone lose their "expert" title?
Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#3> Experts in artificial intelligence estimate... The predictions of these "experts" have been drastically wrong for the last 3 years. At what point does someone lose their "expert" title?
They have been wrong in a way that's bad: underestimating the speed and size of progress. So if the "experts" claim a timeline and magnitude, it would be safest to assume an even faster timeline and a bigger impact.
Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#4Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#5Humanity doesn't fully leverage the intelligence it already has, so I think people are overestimating the disruption ahead.
Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#6Humanity doesn't fully leverage the intelligence it already has, so I think people are overestimating the disruption ahead.
For sure. Intelligence is an internal human problem, not one external. I cannot see how apps doing the thinking will help the ordinary person so substantially as imaginations anticipate.
Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#7> Experts in artificial intelligence estimate... The predictions of these "experts" have been drastically wrong for the last 3 years. At what point does someone lose their "expert" title?
They have been wrong in a way that's bad: underestimating the speed and size of progress. So if the "experts" claim a timeline and magnitude, it would be safest to assume an even faster timeline and a bigger impact.
In fairness, they've been operating with a lot of built up cynicism from major breakthroughs that have been 3-5 years away for the past five decades.
Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#8> Experts in artificial intelligence estimate... The predictions of these "experts" have been drastically wrong for the last 3 years. At what point does someone lose their "expert" title?
They have been wrong in a way that's bad: underestimating the speed and size of progress. So if the "experts" claim a timeline and magnitude, it would be safest to assume an even faster timeline and a bigger impact.
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Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#9Humanity doesn't fully leverage the intelligence it already has, so I think people are overestimating the disruption ahead.
For sure. Intelligence is an internal human problem, not one external. I cannot see how apps doing the thinking will help the ordinary person so substantially as imaginations anticipate.
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Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#10> "recursive self-improvement (RSI)"
My aching joints enter the chat...